152 

abpw10 pgtw 071500

msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//

subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the western and

/South Pacific oceans reissued/071500z-080600zoct2008//

rmks/

1. Western North Pacific area (180 to Malay Peninsula):

   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.

   B. Tropical disturbance summary:

      (1) an area of convection has persisted near 6.7n 137.5e,

approximately 184 nm east-southeast of Koror. Recent animated

infrared satellite imagery shows flaring convection developing

near a reagion of tight troughing also evident in a 071308z amsub

pass. The disturbance lies in an area of low to moderate vertical

wind shear and fair poleward outflow. A 070919z qscat pass confirms

the region of troughing with 15 to 20 knot westerly wind south of

the suspected center. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated

at 15 to 20 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be

near 1009 mb. The potential for the development of a significant

tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is poor.

      (2) no other suspect areas.

2. South Pacific area (west coast of South America to 135 east):

   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.

   B. Tropical disturbance summary: none.

3. Justification for reissue: added area in para 1.B.(1) as a poor.

Forecast team: Delta//



152 


abpw10 pgtw 071500

msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//

subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the western and

/South Pacific oceans reissued/071500z-080600zoct2008//

rmks/

1. Western North Pacific area (180 to Malay Peninsula):

   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.

   B. Tropical disturbance summary:

      (1) an area of convection has persisted near 6.7n 137.5e,

approximately 184 nm east-southeast of Koror. Recent animated

infrared satellite imagery shows flaring convection developing

near a reagion of tight troughing also evident in a 071308z amsub

pass. The disturbance lies in an area of low to moderate vertical

wind shear and fair poleward outflow. A 070919z qscat pass confirms

the region of troughing with 15 to 20 knot westerly wind south of

the suspected center. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated

at 15 to 20 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be

near 1009 mb. The potential for the development of a significant

tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is poor.

      (2) no other suspect areas.

2. South Pacific area (west coast of South America to 135 east):

   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.

   B. Tropical disturbance summary: none.

3. Justification for reissue: added area in para 1.B.(1) as a poor.

Forecast team: Delta//