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Special Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 8:45 PM EDT on May 25, 2012

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

Satellite pictures and reports from NOAA buoy 41002 indicate that
the low pressure area...centered about 300 miles east of Charleston
South Carolina...is becoming better defined and has developed
thunderstorm activity near the center. If current trends
continue...advisories could be initiated later tonight. This system
has a high chance...near 100 percent...of becoming a subtropical or
tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Little motion is
expected tonight...but a west-southwestward or southwestward motion
should begin tomorrow and continue through Sunday. Coastal
interests from the Carolinas southward through northeastern Florida
should monitor the progress of this system over the Memorial Day
weekend. In addition...locally heavy rainfall and flooding will
continue through at least tonight over portions of central Cuba and
the central Bahamas.  For additional information on this
system...please see high seas forecasts issued by the National
Weather Service...and products from your local weather office.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

&&

High seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header nfdhsfat1 and WMO header fznt01 kwbc.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain/Beven



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