Modest Town, Virginia

... Coastal Flood Warning remains in effect until 6 PM EST
Friday...
... High surf advisory remains in effect until 6 PM EST Friday...

A coastal Flood Warning remains in effect until 6 PM EST Friday.
A high surf advisory remains in effect until 6 PM EST Friday.

The approaching new phase of the moon... in tandem with the strong
onshore flow... will lead to increasing tidal anomalies for the
upcoming tide cycles tonight and Friday morning. The greatest
threat for severe flooding can be expected during the high tide
cycle Friday morning... as anomalies reach 3 to 4 feet above
normal. The anomalies will diminish to 2 to 3 feet above normal
by late Friday afternoon and evening.

The high tide cycles this afternoon saw water levels referenced
to mean lower low water... reaching 5.08 feet at Ocean City... 6.47
feet at Kiptopeke... and 6.93 feet at Wachapreague. These values
represent moderate to severe flooding.

The high tide cycles Friday morning will occur at 322 am EST at
Ocean City Inlet... at 500 am EST at Wachapreague... and at 442 am
EST at Kiptopeke. Water levels with these high tides referenced to
mean lower low water... are expected to reach 5.5 to 6.5 feet at
Ocean City Inlet... 7.0 to 8.0 feet at Wachapreague... and 6.5 to
7.5 feet at Kiptopeke... resulting in moderate to severe flooding.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A coastal Flood Warning means that flooding is occurring or
imminent. Coastal residents in the warned area should be alert
for rising water... and take appropriate action to protect life
and property.

A high surf advisory means that high surf will affect beaches in
the advisory area... producing rip currents and localized beach
erosion.

1007 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2009

... Flood Watch remains in effect through Friday morning...

The Flood Watch continues for

* portions of the lower Eastern Shore of Maryland and Virginia...
including the following areas... in the lower Eastern Shore of
Maryland... Dorchester... inland Worcester... Maryland beaches...
Somerset and Wicomico. In Virginia... Accomack... Chesapeake...
Isle of Wight... Newport News/Hampton... Norfolk/Portsmouth...
Northampton VA... Southampton... Suffolk... Virginia Beach and
York.

* Through Friday morning

* periods of rain will continue overnight into Friday morning.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected across
the area... with locally higher amounts possible. Total rainfall
amounts from this storm will will range between 8 and 12
inches... with locally higher amounts.

* Additional rainfall may cause flooding of creeks and small
streams through Friday morning. Also... flooding may occur in
poor drainage areas.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

... High Wind Warning remains in effect until 6 am EST Friday...

A High Wind Warning remains in effect until 6 am EST Friday.

The combination of strong high pressure over northern New
England... and low pressure along the Carolina coast will result
in a continuation of very strong and gusty northeast winds
through early Friday. These winds will average 30 to 40 mph with
gusts 55 to 70 mph... overnight and continue into Friday morning.
The winds will gradually weaken Friday afternoon into Saturday as
the high pressure system moves northeast into the northern
Atlantic... and the area of low pressure moves southeast... out to
sea.

Very strong winds and saturated ground will result in downed
trees... and cause widespread power outages.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Winds this strong
can also make driving difficult... especially for high profile
vehicles. Use extra caution.

... Record daily maximum rainfall set at Norfolk VA...

A record rainfall for this date was set at Norfolk VA.

So far today... 3.30 inches fell today. This breaks the old record of
3.12 set in 1937.

An update will be sent on Fri morning.

... Intense coastal storm continues to bring areas of rain and strong
winds to the mid Atlantic region...

Areas of moderate to heavy rain continue across portions eastern and
central Virginia. Excessive wind gusts occurred over portions of
southeast Virginia... reaching in excess of 70 mph at times.

Low pressure system near Cape Hatteras at 9 PM was moving very slowly
toward the north and northeast.

Rainfall amounts have varied over the region during the past 60 hours
... With the heaviest rainfall occurring over southeast Virginia.
Rainfall amounts in this region have ranged from 6 to 9 inches since
Tuesday night... with locally higher amounts.

The following are unofficial peak wind gusts from ASOS and AWOS
sites across southeast Virginia... the Delmarva Peninsula and
northeastern Virginia... since 600 am Wednesday through 3 PM this
afternoon.

***************************************************************

Location peak wind gust (mph)

Cbbv2 (chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel va) 71 (800 PM est)
chyv2 (cape Henry va) 72 (543 PM est)
ykrv2 (york river light va) 66 (506 PM est)
korf (norfolk va) 74 (611 PM est)
rplv2 (rappahannock light va) 60 (230 PM est)
kwal (wallops island va) 59 (758 PM est)
wahv2 (wachapreague va) 57 (600 PM est)
kntu (oceana va) 75 (614 PM est)
koxb (ocean city md) 56 (1215 PM est)
kecg (elizabeth city nc) 54 (204 PM est)
ocim2 (ocean city inlet MD 44 (848 am est)
44009 (15nm E of Fenwick is de) 62 (400 PM est)
dukn7 (duck pier nc) 53 (1012 am est)

Here are the latest unofficial reports in inches from storm spotters
and cocorahs... along with a few official reports from area airports.
Precipitation amounts are storm totals unless otherwise specified.

***************************************************************

Location rainfall (in)

In Virginia...

... Newport News...

   Newport News/Williamsburg Intl Arpt (kphf) 8.99 (through 8 pm)

... Norfolk...

   Norfolk Intl Airport (korf) 6.06 (through 8 pm)

... Hampton...

   Langley Air Force Base (klfi) 9.07 (through 8 pm)

... Virginia Beach...

   Oceana Naval Air Station (kntu) 7.82 (through 8 pm)

... Chesapeake...

   Chesapeake Municipal Airport (kcpk) 4.67 (through 8 pm)

... Suffolk...

   Suffolk Municipal Airport (ksfq) 5.70 (through 8 pm)

... Sussex County...

   Wakefield Municipal Airport (kakq) 5.65 (through 8 pm)

... Petersburg...

   Petersburg/Dinwiddie cnty Arpt (kptb) 4.34 (through 8 pm)

... Hanover County...

   Hanover County Municipal Arpt (kofp) 5.44 (through 8 pm)


... Henrico County...

   Glen Allen 5.01 (through 9 pm)
   Richmond Intl Airport (kric) 4.54 (through 8 pm)

... Prince Edward County...

   Farmville (kfvx) 4.31 (through 9 pm)

... Accomack County...

   Wallops Island (kwal) 3.64 (through 8 pm)

... Chesterfield County...

   Chester 4.94 (through 6 pm)

... Powhatan County...

   Powhatan 2.39 (through 9 am)


In North Carolina...

... Pasquotank County...

   Elizabeth City Coast Guard (kecg) 6.32 (through 9 pm)

In Maryland...

... Worcester County...

   Ocean City (koxb) 3.60 (through 9 pm)

... Wicomico County...

   Salisbury (ksby) 3.10 (through 8 pm)