Wintergreen, VA

11:54 AM EST on February 10, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 909 ft
Lon: 78.9° W
Lat: 37.9° N
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Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Jessica Parker
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Wintergreen Weather at a Glance
Updated 11:54 AM EST
Elevation
746 ft
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Now
Clear
Clear
Temperature
44.4 °F
Feels Like 42 °F
Wind(mph)
4.0
Sunrise / Set
7:11 AM
5:48 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Today
Mostly Cloudy 52 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Tonight
Chance of Snow 32 °F
Chance of Snow
80% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Chance of Snow 41 | 18 °F
Chance of Snow
30% chance of precipitation
Sunday
Clear 36 | 22 °F
Clear
Monday
Partly Cloudy 49 | 31 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday
Chance of Rain 50 | 31 °F
Chance of Rain
20% chance of precipitation
Today is forecast to be nearly the same temperature as yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
30.11 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Clear -
Moisture
Humidity
49%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KCHO 101553Z 07006KT 10SM CLR 06/M05 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP200 T00561050
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Weather Radio
Launch Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
42 °F
Dew Point
26 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
4.0 mph from NE
Wind Gust
7.0 mph
Health
UV
3 out of 16
Pollen
3.00 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Regional
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Nelson
Rest of Today
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
nt_snow Rain in the evening...then a chance of rain or snow after midnight. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph...becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy in the morning...then becoming partly sunny. A chance of rain. A chance of snow...mainly in the morning. Breezy with highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph...increasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening...then clearing. Blustery with lows 14 to 20. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill values as low as 1 below.
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 2 below in the morning.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the lower 20s.
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Tuesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Wednesday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s.
Source: NWS at 10:01 am EST on February 10, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 22958
Friday, 10
Mostly Cloudy
52 | 32 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Saturday, 11
Chance of Snow
41 | 18 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Sunday, 12
Clear
36 | 22 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Monday, 13
Partly Cloudy
49 | 31 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Rain
50 | 31 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Wednesday, 15
Partly Cloudy
52 | 29 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Chance of Rain
52 | NA
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Source: NWS at 10:01 am EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Rest of Today
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
nt_snow Rain in the evening...then a chance of rain or snow after midnight. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph...becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 31 | 19 46 | 28 45 | 32 40 | 33
Wind 0 mph West 5 mph South 2 mph SSW 1 mph WSW
Humidity 61% 47% 61% 76%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 10% 80%
Cloud Cover 35% 70% 83% 100%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:11 AM
5:48 PM
Source: NWS at 10:01 am EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy in the morning...then becoming partly sunny. A chance of rain. A chance of snow...mainly in the morning. Breezy with highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph...increasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening...then clearing. Blustery with lows 14 to 20. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill values as low as 1 below.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 35 | 31 41 | 24 33 | 14 25 | 6
Wind 2 mph NW 9 mph West 15 mph NW 14 mph NW
Humidity 87% 50% 43% 44%
Chance of Precip. 80% 30% 30% 20%
Cloud Cover 88% 57% 58% 29%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Rain Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:10 AM
5:49 PM
Source: NWS at 10:01 am EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 2 below in the morning.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the lower 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 21 | 4 32 | 6 33 | 9 24 | 11
Wind 12 mph NW 13 mph WNW 10 mph WNW 6 mph WNW
Humidity 48% 34% 38% 56%
Chance of Precip. 20% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 20% 16% 8% 1%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:09 AM
5:50 PM
Source: NWS at 10:01 am EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 26 | 8 42 | 12 42 | 17 37 | 20
Wind 4 mph WNW 6 mph West 5 mph West 3 mph WSW
Humidity 47% 28% 37% 51%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 3% 12% 41% 80%
Conditions Clear Clear Partly Cloudy Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:08 AM
5:51 PM
Source: NWS at 10:01 am EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Tuesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 22 45 | 30 44 | 32 37 | 32
Wind 4 mph WSW 6 mph SW 3 mph SW 2 mph SW
Humidity 60% 53% 64% 82%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 20% 20%
Cloud Cover 85% 90% 78% 71%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:07 AM
5:52 PM
Source: NWS at 10:01 am EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Wednesday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 30 47 | 33 44 | 34 37 | 32
Wind 2 mph West 4 mph WNW 2 mph WNW 0 mph WNW
Humidity 82% 59% 70% 80%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 66% 54% 62% 57%
Conditions Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:07 AM
5:52 PM
Source: NWS at 10:01 am EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 33 | 29 46 | 35 49 | 36 37 | 32
Wind 0 mph NW 2 mph NE 0 mph South 0 mph WNW
Humidity 84% 65% 60% 80%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 44% 55% 86% 57%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:07 AM
5:52 PM
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Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
Active Notice: Public Information Statement  (US Severe Weather)
History & Almanac
February 10, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KCHO) - -
Record (KCHO) 72 °F (1932) -8 °F (1899)
Yesterday 49 °F 33 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 24
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Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
Feb. 10, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:11 AM EST 5:48 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:44 AM EST 6:15 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:13 AM EST 6:46 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:42 AM EST 7:17 PM EST
Moon 9:19 PM EST 8:23 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 31m
Length of Day
10h 36m
Tomorrow will be 2m 11s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 90% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
53 °F
Franklin
51 °F
Chesapeake
51 °F
Suffolk
51 °F
Williamsburg
50 °F
Wallops Island
19 °F
Hot Springs
21 °F
Jonesville
21 °F
Richlands
22 °F
Staunton
23 °F
Lynchburg
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Charlottesville 42 °F Clear 10:53 AM EST
Staunton 40 °F Mostly Cloudy 11:35 AM EST
Lynchburg 42 °F Clear 10:54 AM EST
Farmville 48 °F Clear 11:35 AM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
PDT4225
Philadelphia, PA 		KCHO 12:25PM On Time
ASQ5246
Atlanta, GA 		KCHO 12:29PM On Time
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KCHO)
Wind Speed: 6.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 53° (NE)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KCHO 101553Z 07006KT 10SM CLR 06/M05 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP200 T00561050

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Average High 71° F/ 21° C
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 10, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 47 °F
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 11, 2012 Chance of Rain, 45 °F
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Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Spruce Creek Park, Nellysford, VA 44.4 °F 42 °F 26 °F 49% NE  at  4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 746 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire
Nelson Co Life Magazine, Greenfield-Rockfish Valley, VA 48.2 °F 48 °F 31 °F 52% WSW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 785 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire
Idlebrink Farm, Greenfield, VA 45.7 °F 46 °F 28 °F 50% SE  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 665 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire
Old Rockfish Post Office, Rockfish, VA 45.5 °F 46 °F 29 °F 49% ESE  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 482 ft 11:52 AM EST Rapid Fire
VADOT I-64_@_Rt_250_Afton_Mtn, Waynesboro, VA 36 °F 36 °F 22 °F 57% ESE  at  3 mph 0.00 in / hr 1900 ft 11:01 AM EST MADIS
Pollak Vineyards, Greenwood, VA 45.6 °F 46 °F 27 °F 48% SW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 817 ft 11:54 AM EST Normal  
366 Draft Ave., Stuarts Draft, VA 40.9 °F 33 °F 29 °F 62% West  at  15.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1389 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire
Old White Hill Road, Stuarts Draft, VA 40.8 °F 41 °F 27 °F 57% West  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1510 ft 11:50 AM EST Normal
Basic City Weather, Waynesboro, VA 41.5 °F 42 °F 26 °F 54% WSW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1319 ft 11:54 AM EST Normal  
Yancey Mills, Crozet, VA 47.3 °F 47 °F 28 °F 47% NNE  at  2.2 mph 0.00 in / hr 600 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire  
Cold Springs Rd. Central to Stuarts Dra, Stuarts Draft, VA 34.4 °F 34 °F 25 °F 68% SW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1635 ft 9:32 AM EST Rapid Fire  
Windy Hill, Stuarts Draft, VA 39.5 °F 35 °F 28 °F 63% WNW  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1509 ft 11:54 AM EST Normal  
APRSWXNET Stuarts Draft VA , Stuarts Draft, VA 40 °F 36 °F 26 °F 56% West  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 1528 ft 11:30 AM EST MADIS
Emerald Hills, Fishersville, VA 44.2 °F 43 °F 23 °F 43% SSW  at  3.1 mph 0.00 in / hr 1350 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire
MesoWest SHENANDOAH , Steeles Tavern, VA 34 °F 29 °F 24 °F 67% SSW  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 1763 ft 10:00 AM EST MADIS
Daniel Morris Lane, Charlottesville, VA 49.6 °F 50 °F 27 °F 41% ENE  at  1.1 mph 0.00 in / hr 518 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire
Ivy, Charlottesville, VA 44.5 °F 44 °F 28 °F 51% SSE  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 650 ft 11:54 AM EST Normal  
In the country, White Hall, VA 45.6 °F 46 °F 28 °F 49% SW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 722 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire  
Charlottesville 2W: McCormick Observator, Charlottesville, VA 44.0 °F 44 °F 26 °F 50% South  at  0.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 866 ft 11:54 AM EST Normal
Charlottesville 2W, Charlottesville, VA 45.3 °F 45 °F 28 °F 50% SE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 866 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire
Forum Student News, Charlottesville, VA 42.9 °F 43 °F 27 °F 53% NW  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 482 ft 11:54 AM EST Rapid Fire
APRSWXNET Staunton VA , Staunton, VA 38 °F 38 °F 25 °F 58% SW  at  0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1683 ft 11:33 AM EST MADIS
RAWS SAWMILL RIDGE VA, Greenwood, VA 36 °F 30 °F 22 °F 57% SW  at  7 mph 0.00 in / hr 2080 ft 11:13 AM EST MADIS
APRSWXNET Montebello VA , Raphine, VA 35 °F 35 °F 25 °F 66% NW  at  0 mph 0.00 in / hr 2864 ft 11:30 AM EST MADIS
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Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on February 10, 2012

... Flood stages to change on the Shenandoah and Rapidan rivers...

On Tuesday... March 13th 2012... the flood stages at two river
forecast locations will be lowered in response to local needs and
impacts.

On the Shenandoah River... the flood stage at Millville in Jefferson
County will be lowered from 13.5 feet to 10.0 feet. Several roads
along the river flood at levels around 10 feet... and lowering the
flood stage will provide transportation officials and local
residents additional notice that these roads are expected to flood.
This change will result in a modest increase in flood warnings at
this location. The Reach of this forecast point affects both
Jefferson County West Virginia... and Clarke County Virginia... and
both counties will be warned when the new... lower... flood stage is
expected to be exceeded.

On the Rapidan river... the flood stage at the gauge south of
Culpeper on the Culpeper-Orange County border will be lowered from
14 feet to 13 feet. Roads and agricultural lands along the river
begin to flood at the 13 foot level... and therefore the lowering of
the flood stage will provide additional warning of these
occurrences. As a result of this change... the action stage... which
was previously 13 feet... will be lowered to 11 feet.

If you have questions about these changes... please contact
Jason Elliott
senior service hydrologist
Jason.Elliott@noaa.Gov


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