Somerville, VA

2:52 PM EST on February 10, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 410 ft
Lon: 77.6° W
Lat: 38.5° N
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Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Jessica Parker
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Somerville Weather at a Glance
Updated 2:52 PM EST
Weather Station - report
N4JOW Stafford
Elevation
402 ft
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Now
Overcast
Overcast
Temperature
46.5 °F
Feels Like 46 °F
Wind(mph)
2.0
Sunrise / Set
7:07 AM
5:42 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Today
Partly Cloudy 49 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tonight
Chance of Snow 32 °F
Chance of Snow
90% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Snow Showers 41 | 20 °F
Snow Showers
60% chance of precipitation
Sunday
Partly Cloudy 34 | 22 °F
Partly Cloudy
Monday
Clear 43 | 29 °F
Clear
Tuesday
Chance of Rain 47 | 32 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Today is forecast to be nearly the same temperature as yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
30.02 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Overcast 10000 ft
Moisture
Humidity
60%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KHWY 101935Z AUTO 23003KT 10SM OVC100 10/02 A3002 RMK AO2 T00970015
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Weather Radio
Launch Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
46 °F
Dew Point
33 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
2.0 mph from WNW
Wind Gust
7.0 mph
Health
UV
1 out of 16
Pollen
1.40 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Regional
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Southern Fauquier
This Afternoon
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50. South winds around 5 mph.
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Rain. A chance of snow after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. Light and variable winds...becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Saturday
snow Mostly cloudy. Rain and snow showers likely...mainly in the afternoon. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Saturday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight. Blustery with lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Sunday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s.
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Tuesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Wednesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Thursday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs around 50.
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 22739
Friday, 10
Partly Cloudy
49 | 32 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Saturday, 11
Snow Showers
41 | 20 °F
Snow Showers
Chance of
Precipitation
60%
Sunday, 12
Partly Cloudy
34 | 22 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Clear
43 | 29 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Rain
47 | 32 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Partly Cloudy
49 | 32 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Partly Cloudy
49 | NA
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Fauquier
This Afternoon
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50. South winds around 5 mph.
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Rain. A chance of snow after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. Light and variable winds...becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 28 | 23 43 | 26 44 | 31 39 | 31
Wind 1 mph NNE 4 mph ENE 1 mph SSW 3 mph North
Humidity 80% 50% 59% 71%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 10% 90%
Cloud Cover 62% 44% 78% 100%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:07 AM
5:42 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Fauquier
Saturday
snow Mostly cloudy. Rain and snow showers likely...mainly in the afternoon. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Saturday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight. Blustery with lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 35 | 29 40 | 27 34 | 19 28 | 12
Wind 5 mph North 9 mph NW 18 mph NW 19 mph NW
Humidity 83% 58% 55% 52%
Chance of Precip. 90% 60% 60% 50%
Cloud Cover 100% 67% 88% 55%
Conditions Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy Snow Showers Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:06 AM
5:43 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Fauquier
Sunday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 23 | 9 31 | 9 31 | 10 26 | 11
Wind 14 mph NW 16 mph NW 11 mph WNW 6 mph WNW
Humidity 53% 37% 43% 54%
Chance of Precip. 50% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 58% 33% 40% 7%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:44 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Fauquier
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 25 | 13 38 | 14 38 | 19 33 | 22
Wind 5 mph West 7 mph West 5 mph West 2 mph SSW
Humidity 58% 38% 45% 60%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 3% 8% 23% 74%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Mostly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:04 AM
5:45 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Fauquier
Tuesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 31 | 22 43 | 28 42 | 31 37 | 32
Wind 2 mph WSW 5 mph SW 4 mph SSW 2 mph South
Humidity 67% 55% 65% 82%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 81% 92% 84% 71%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Mostly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:02 AM
5:46 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Fauquier
Wednesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 31 45 | 35 44 | 34 39 | 32
Wind 2 mph WSW 5 mph NNW 4 mph NW 2 mph NNW
Humidity 88% 67% 71% 77%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 67% 66% 73% 49%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:02 AM
5:46 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Southern Fauquier
Thursday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs around 50.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 35 | 29 45 | 33 44 | 36 39 | 32
Wind 2 mph NNW 4 mph NNW 2 mph West 2 mph NNW
Humidity 81% 62% 70% 77%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 48% 57% 76% 49%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:02 AM
5:46 PM
BestForecast (what's this?)
Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
Active Notice: Public Information Statement  (US Severe Weather)
History & Almanac
February 10, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KDCA) 45 °F 29 °F
Record (KDCA) 68 °F (1959) -8 °F (1899)
Yesterday 47 °F 33 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 25
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Coastal Water Temperatures
Place Temperature
Washington, DC 43.0 °F
Lewisetta, VA 44.1 °F
Solomons Island, MD 43.0 °F
Marine Forecast
Astronomy
Feb. 10, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:07 AM EST 5:42 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:40 AM EST 6:09 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:08 AM EST 6:41 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:37 AM EST 7:11 PM EST
Moon 9:14 PM EST 8:18 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 29m
Length of Day
10h 34m
Tomorrow will be 2m 14s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 89% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
53 °F
Williamsburg
53 °F
Chesapeake
53 °F
Franklin
53 °F
Suffolk
51 °F
Richmond
19 °F
Hot Springs
21 °F
Jonesville
21 °F
Richlands
22 °F
Staunton
23 °F
Lynchburg
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Warrenton 50 °F Overcast 2:35 PM EST
Stafford 48 °F Mostly Cloudy 2:35 PM EST
Culpeper 46 °F Scattered Clouds 2:35 PM EST
Manassas 43 °F Clear 11:45 AM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
No flights were found.
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KHWY)
Wind Speed: 3.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 294° (WNW)
Ceiling: 10000 ft

METAR KHWY 101935Z AUTO 23003KT 10SM OVC100 10/02 A3002 RMK AO2 T00970015

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Average High 71° F/ 21° C
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 10, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 47 °F
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 11, 2012 Chance of Rain, 45 °F
AT&T National 8:30 AM EDT on June 28, 2012 Average High 86° F/ 29° C
AT&T National 8:30 AM EDT on June 29, 2012 Average High 87° F/ 30° C
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
N4JOW Stafford, VA 46.5 °F 46 °F 33 °F 60% WNW  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 402 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Stafford County, Hartwood, VA 46.6 °F 44 °F 33 °F 60% West  at  5.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 236 ft 2:50 PM EST Normal  
Country Woods Estates, Stafford, VA 48.8 °F 49 °F 32 °F 52% WSW  at  1.1 mph 0.00 in / hr 292 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
VADOT Fredricksburg, Garrisonville, VA 47 °F 47 °F 25 °F 41% SW  at  0 mph 0.00 in / hr 252 ft 2:03 PM EST MADIS
Park Ridge/Woods (The Wireman's), Stafford, VA 46.9 °F 47 °F 30 °F 51% West  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 106 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Ashley Glen, Bealeton, VA 46.8 °F 47 °F 22 °F 37% NW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 388 ft 2:50 PM EST Normal  
Battle Ridge, Remington, VA 46.9 °F 45 °F 29 °F 49% NW  at  4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 352 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Independent Hill, VA, Nokesville, VA 47.5 °F 48 °F 7 °F 19% NNW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 326 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire
Northwestern Spotsylvania, Fredericksburg, VA 50.0 °F - 3 °F 14% SSW  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 230 ft 2:40 PM EST Normal  
Green Meadows, Bealeton, VA 46.6 °F 47 °F 28 °F 49% SW  at  1.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 449 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
1 NW Opal, VA, Opal, VA 45.0 °F 45 °F 30 °F 55% WSW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 463 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire
Fox Post Farm Opal ,Virginia, Bealeton, VA 44.7 °F 45 °F 28 °F 51% West  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 375 ft 2:48 PM EST Normal
Flint Hill Station & Elys Ford Road, Fredericksburg, VA 47.4 °F 47 °F 28 °F 47% SSE  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 324 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire
Macgregor Ridge, Stafford, VA 46.5 °F 46 °F 25 °F 43% East  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 148 ft 2:43 PM EST Normal  
McQ Inc, Fredericksburg, VA 47.8 °F 48 °F 31 °F 52% WSW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 145 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire
Lake of the Woods, Locust Grove, VA 45.6 °F 46 °F -8 °F 10% NNE  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 0 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire
Greenwich, Nokesville, VA 45.9 °F 46 °F 26 °F 45% SSE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 361 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Brookside, Warrenton, VA 47.9 °F 45 °F 28 °F 47% SW  at  6.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 371 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Heritage Woods, Manassas, VA 45.9 °F 46 °F 29 °F 52% South  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 275 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire
Lee Manor, Manassas, VA 46.4 °F 46 °F 25 °F 42% SSE  at  2.9 mph 0.00 in / hr 275 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire
Cedar Ridge Subd, Manassas, VA 46.6 °F 47 °F 25 °F 42% SSW  at  1.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 275 ft 2:51 PM EST Normal  
Morris Farm, Gainesville, VA 47.5 °F 48 °F 24 °F 40% SE  at  0.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 269 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
(K4AAV) Ashleigh Park South, Fredericksburg, VA 45.6 °F 46 °F 30 °F 55% SSW  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 285 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire
lakeview and flat run rd, Locust Grove, VA 47.3 °F 47 °F 15 °F 27% NW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 347 ft 2:52 PM EST Normal
Bridlewood, Gainesville, VA 49.6 °F 50 °F 31 °F 49% ESE  at  1.3 mph 0.00 in / hr 285 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
APRSWXNET Warrenton VA, New Baltimore, VA 43 °F 43 °F 25 °F 48% WSW  at  2 mph 0.00 in / hr 571 ft 2:21 PM EST MADIS
Bear Creek, Manassas, VA 50.9 °F - 32 °F 37% WNW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 282 ft 2:38 PM EST Normal  
Beckford Grant, Manassas, VA 46.7 °F 47 °F 29 °F 50% SW  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 299 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Laurianne Woods, Gainesville, VA 46.8 °F 47 °F 30 °F 51% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 204 ft 2:52 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Fitzhugh, Fredericksburg, VA 48.6 °F 47 °F 29 °F 46% SSE  at  3.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 197 ft 2:10 PM EST Rapid Fire  
APRSWXNET Fredericksburg VA , Fredericksburg, VA 48 °F 48 °F 29 °F 48% South  at  1 mph 0.00 in / hr 165 ft 2:33 PM EST MADIS
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Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on February 10, 2012

... Flood stages to change on the Shenandoah and Rapidan rivers...

On Tuesday... March 13th 2012... the flood stages at two river
forecast locations will be lowered in response to local needs and
impacts.

On the Shenandoah River... the flood stage at Millville in Jefferson
County will be lowered from 13.5 feet to 10.0 feet. Several roads
along the river flood at levels around 10 feet... and lowering the
flood stage will provide transportation officials and local
residents additional notice that these roads are expected to flood.
This change will result in a modest increase in flood warnings at
this location. The Reach of this forecast point affects both
Jefferson County West Virginia... and Clarke County Virginia... and
both counties will be warned when the new... lower... flood stage is
expected to be exceeded.

On the Rapidan river... the flood stage at the gauge south of
Culpeper on the Culpeper-Orange County border will be lowered from
14 feet to 13 feet. Roads and agricultural lands along the river
begin to flood at the 13 foot level... and therefore the lowering of
the flood stage will provide additional warning of these
occurrences. As a result of this change... the action stage... which
was previously 13 feet... will be lowered to 11 feet.

If you have questions about these changes... please contact
Jason Elliott
senior service hydrologist
Jason.Elliott@noaa.Gov


View All U.S. Severe Weather