Shenandoah, VA

4:49 PM EST on February 10, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 1027 ft
Lon: 78.6° W
Lat: 38.5° N
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Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Jessica Parker
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Shenandoah Weather at a Glance
Updated 4:49 PM EST
Elevation
954 ft
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Now
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Temperature
43.9 °F
Feels Like 41 °F
Wind(mph)
5.0
Sunrise / Set
7:11 AM
5:46 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Tonight
Snow 29 °F
Snow
80% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Chance of Snow 38 °F
Chance of Snow
50% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow Night
Chance of Snow 18 °F
Chance of Snow
30% chance of precipitation
Sunday
Partly Cloudy 34 | 18 °F
Partly Cloudy
Monday
Partly Cloudy 43 | 27 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday
Chance of Rain 47 | 31 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow is forecast to be Much Cooler than today.
Conditions
Pressure
29.95 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Few 6500 ft
Mostly Cloudy 11000 ft
Moisture
Humidity
63%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KCHO 102053Z 00000KT 10SM FEW065 BKN110 08/M02 A2998 RMK AO2 RAB1958E08 SLP155 P0000 60000 T00781022 56019
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Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Windchill
41 °F
Dew Point
32 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
5.0 mph from South
Wind Gust
8.0 mph
Health
UV
1 out of 16
Pollen
1.40 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Regional
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Page
Rest of This Afternoon
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
nt_snow Rain and snow in the evening...then snow likely after midnight. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds around 5 mph...becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. A chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Brisk with highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Saturday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers in the evening. Blustery with lows around 17. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Sunday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows around 20.
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Tuesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid 40s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Wednesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
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Nowcast as of 4:20 PM EST on February 10, 2012
There may be a few sprinkles or flurries in the Potomac Highlands...northern and central Shenandoah Valley...and the Martinsburg Hagerstown area through the evening. Occasional light snow will become more common after sunset in the Potomac Highlands...where a dusting will be possible by 7pm. Elsewhere...no snow accumulation is expected until after 7pm.
Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 22849
Friday, 10
Chance of Rain
49 | 29 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Saturday, 11
Chance of Snow
38 | 18 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Sunday, 12
Partly Cloudy
34 | 18 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Partly Cloudy
43 | 27 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Rain
47 | 31 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Mostly Cloudy
49 | 31 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Mostly Cloudy
49 | NA
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Page
Rest of This Afternoon
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
nt_snow Rain and snow in the evening...then snow likely after midnight. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the upper 20s. West winds around 5 mph...becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 30 | 20 43 | 24 42 | 30 36 | 30
Wind 0 mph West 5 mph SSW 2 mph SSW 0 mph WNW
Humidity 69% 45% 61% 77%
Chance of Precip. 0% 20% 20% 80%
Cloud Cover 38% 63% 86% 100%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:11 AM
5:46 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Page
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. A chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Brisk with highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Saturday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers in the evening. Blustery with lows around 17. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 32 | 26 37 | 22 31 | 14 24 | 8
Wind 3 mph North 9 mph NW 18 mph NW 17 mph NW
Humidity 80% 53% 48% 46%
Chance of Precip. 80% 50% 50% 30%
Cloud Cover 88% 67% 69% 49%
Conditions Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:10 AM
5:47 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Page
Sunday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows around 20.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 21 | 5 30 | 5 29 | 8 23 | 9
Wind 13 mph NW 15 mph WNW 10 mph WNW 5 mph West
Humidity 52% 35% 42% 55%
Chance of Precip. 30% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 27% 35% 21% 6%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:09 AM
5:48 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Page
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 22 | 9 37 | 13 38 | 17 32 | 18
Wind 5 mph West 7 mph West 3 mph West 2 mph SSW
Humidity 55% 37% 43% 55%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 7% 12% 38% 79%
Conditions Clear Clear Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:08 AM
5:49 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Page
Tuesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid 40s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 31 | 21 43 | 30 41 | 31 37 | 31
Wind 2 mph SW 5 mph SSW 3 mph SSW 1 mph SSW
Humidity 66% 59% 68% 83%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 86% 95% 85% 82%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:06 AM
5:50 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Page
Wednesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 29 45 | 33 42 | 32 37 | 29
Wind 1 mph WSW 4 mph West 3 mph West 1 mph NW
Humidity 82% 64% 66% 74%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 77% 70% 71% 48%
Conditions Chance of Snow Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:06 AM
5:50 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Page
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 27 45 | 33 44 | 34 37 | 29
Wind 1 mph WNW 4 mph NNW 2 mph SSW 1 mph NW
Humidity 74% 62% 68% 74%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 51% 70% 83% 48%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:06 AM
5:50 PM
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Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
Active Notice: Public Information Statement  (US Severe Weather)
History & Almanac
February 10, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KCHO) - -
Record (KCHO) 72 °F (1932) -8 °F (1899)
Yesterday 49 °F 33 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 24
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Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
Feb. 10, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:11 AM EST 5:46 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:44 AM EST 6:13 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:12 AM EST 6:45 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:41 AM EST 7:16 PM EST
Moon 9:18 PM EST 8:22 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 29m
Length of Day
10h 34m
Tomorrow will be 2m 14s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 89% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
53 °F
Chesapeake
53 °F
Franklin
53 °F
Suffolk
53 °F
Williamsburg
51 °F
West Point
19 °F
Hot Springs
21 °F
Jonesville
21 °F
Richlands
22 °F
Staunton
23 °F
Lynchburg
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Staunton - N/A 4:35 PM EST
Charlottesville 46 °F Mostly Cloudy 3:53 PM EST
Orange 45 °F Mostly Cloudy 4:15 PM EST
Culpeper 46 °F Overcast 3:55 PM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
JIA2369
Charlotte, NC 		KCHO 05:04PM On Time
EGF4380
Chicago, IL 		KCHO 05:09PM On Time
JIA369
Charlotte, NC 		KCHO 05:15PM On Time
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KCHO)
Wind Speed: 0.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 177° (South)
Ceiling: 11000 ft

METAR KCHO 102053Z 00000KT 10SM FEW065 BKN110 08/M02 A2998 RMK AO2 RAB1958E08 SLP155 P0000 60000 T00781022 56019

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Average High 71° F/ 21° C
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 10, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 47 °F
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 11, 2012 Chance of Rain, 45 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Shenandoah Speedway, Shenandoah, VA 43.9 °F 41 °F 32 °F 63% South  at  5.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 954 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Lacey Springs MC, Harrisonburg, VA 41.0 °F 38 °F 28 °F 59% ESE  at  4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1100 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire
Stanley Weather Pod, Stanley, VA 41.6 °F 38 °F 31 °F 66% WSW  at  5.5 mph 0.00 in / hr 1100 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Elkton, Elkton, VA 43.6 °F 41 °F 32 °F 64% South  at  4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 978 ft 4:38 PM EST Normal
Massanutten, Massanutten, VA 42.3 °F 42 °F 25 °F 50% South  at  2.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 1350 ft 4:48 PM EST Normal
Focal Point, McGaheysville, VA 42.3 °F 42 °F 24 °F 48% South  at  1.3 mph 0.00 in / hr 1350 ft 4:46 PM EST Normal  
Rt 259 Mayland, Broadway, VA 41.5 °F 39 °F 30 °F 63% SSE  at  4.3 mph 0.00 in / hr 1250 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Fairway Manor, New Market, VA 43.3 °F 43 °F 36 °F 75% SSE  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 960 ft 4:45 PM EST Normal  
VADOT Rt211@_Shenandoah, New Market, VA 39 °F 35 °F 28 °F 64% NW  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 1794 ft 4:04 PM EST MADIS
Mcgaheysville, VA 43.6 °F 44 °F 33 °F 66% SW  at  1.1 mph 0.00 in / hr 1126 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
LINVILLE, Harrisonburg, VA 41.2 °F 36 °F 30 °F 64% SSW  at  7.4 mph 0.00 in / hr 1300 ft 4:48 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Vine Street, Harrisonburg, VA 42.1 °F 38 °F 29 °F 60% South  at  5.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 1445 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire
FIELDSMITH, New Market, VA 40.6 °F 38 °F 34 °F 76% North  at  4.0 mph - / hr 1000 ft 4:46 PM EST Normal  
APRSWXNET Greenmount VA , Harrisonburg, VA 41 °F 38 °F 32 °F 70% SSW  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 1348 ft 4:30 PM EST MADIS
Greenmount Road, Harrisonburg, VA 40.7 °F 36 °F 32 °F 71% SSW  at  7.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 1350 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Little Edge Farm - 2.1 Miles WNW of, Stanardsville, VA 42.2 °F 38 °F 30 °F 63% SSW  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 783 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire
Parklawn, Harrisonburg, VA 41.9 °F 42 °F 31 °F 66% SSW  at  2.5 mph 0.00 in / hr 1329 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Mt Jackson, VA 38.6 °F 39 °F 33 °F 80% NNE  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 915 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
RAWS HEADQUARTERS VA, Luray, VA 43 °F 41 °F 28 °F 55% NW  at  4 mph 0.00 in / hr 1200 ft 4:22 PM EST MADIS
South Breeze - Dayton, Dayton, VA 41.3 °F 41 °F 31 °F 66% South  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1295 ft 4:48 PM EST Normal
Duet, Etlan, VA 45.0 °F 42 °F 33 °F 29% NNW  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 742 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Ottobine Road (Stemphleytown), Dayton, VA 42.1 °F 40 °F 33 °F 69% SSW  at  3.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 1317 ft 4:45 PM EST Normal  
Mount Crawford, Mount Crawford, VA 42.3 °F 40 °F 24 °F 47% WSW  at  3.9 mph 0.00 in / hr 1210 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire
Stanley, VA 40.5 °F 40 °F 10 °F 28% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 0 ft 4:40 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Madison Cnty; 3 miles NE Haywood, Haywood, VA 44.6 °F 45 °F 30 °F 57% South  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 597 ft 4:45 PM EST Normal  
Clover Hill, Dayton, VA 39.8 °F 40 °F 32 °F 74% WSW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1480 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire
Madison, Madison, VA 45.3 °F 45 °F 32 °F 61% West  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 469 ft 4:49 PM EST Rapid Fire  
In the country, White Hall, VA 45.1 °F 45 °F 31 °F 58% NNW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 722 ft 4:48 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Fairgrove Subdivision, Earlysville, VA 47.0 °F 47 °F 35 °F 62% SSW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 540 ft 4:45 PM EST Normal  
APRSWXNET Stanley VA , Stanley, VA 34 °F 34 °F 28 °F 78% WSW  at  2 mph 0.00 in / hr 2598 ft 4:22 PM EST MADIS
Blue Ridge Observatory - Flattop Mtn, Dyke, VA 32.6 °F 33 °F 27 °F 79% WSW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 3250 ft 4:26 PM EST Normal
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Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on February 10, 2012

... Flood stages to change on the Shenandoah and Rapidan rivers...

On Tuesday... March 13th 2012... the flood stages at two river
forecast locations will be lowered in response to local needs and
impacts.

On the Shenandoah River... the flood stage at Millville in Jefferson
County will be lowered from 13.5 feet to 10.0 feet. Several roads
along the river flood at levels around 10 feet... and lowering the
flood stage will provide transportation officials and local
residents additional notice that these roads are expected to flood.
This change will result in a modest increase in flood warnings at
this location. The Reach of this forecast point affects both
Jefferson County West Virginia... and Clarke County Virginia... and
both counties will be warned when the new... lower... flood stage is
expected to be exceeded.

On the Rapidan river... the flood stage at the gauge south of
Culpeper on the Culpeper-Orange County border will be lowered from
14 feet to 13 feet. Roads and agricultural lands along the river
begin to flood at the 13 foot level... and therefore the lowering of
the flood stage will provide additional warning of these
occurrences. As a result of this change... the action stage... which
was previously 13 feet... will be lowered to 11 feet.

If you have questions about these changes... please contact
Jason Elliott
senior service hydrologist
Jason.Elliott@noaa.Gov


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