Nellysford, VA

3:43 AM EST on February 11, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 909 ft
Lon: 78.9° W
Lat: 37.9° N
Rapid Fire Updates™ Updated 3:43 AM EST Make this Location a Weather Sticker® Share:
Your Custom Weather Sticker®

Copy the following lines of HTML:
Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Weather Underground Forecast for Saturday, February 11, 2012.

Precipitation will spread across the East Coast on Saturday, while more rain and mountain snow showers are anticipated for parts of the West. A trough of low pressure and associated cold front continue moving eastward across the Eastern Valleys into the Eastern Seaboard. Cool temperatures to the north will allow for snow showers to develop across the Northeast and New England, while rain showers are likely over the Mid-Atlantic states. Rain showers over the Southeastern states should wind down in the early morning hours as the tail end of the system pushes offshore early in the day. Expect the New York metropolitan area to see 1 to 3 inches of snow, while the Washington D.C. area will see a messy combination of snow and freezing rain as high temperatures reach into the lower 40s.

Behind this system, a ridge of high pressure continues to build in from the Plains, pushing cold and dry air in from Canada. This allows for plenty of sunshine to spread from the Plains over the Mississippi River Valley and into the Eastern Valleys. Expect the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest to see highs in the teens again, while the Midwest will see highs in the 20s. Strong winds will accompany this system, pushing windchill values below zero in these areas. The Southern Plains will remain in the 40s on Saturday.

Out West, a trough of low pressure pushes a cold front over the Pacific Northwest and continues pulling moisture onshore with it. This will kick up more rain showers with high elevation snow showers likely in the Cascades. The tail end of the frontal boundary will sweep through California, bringing light rain showers to the coasts and interior valleys. Expect light snow showers in the Sierra Nevadas by Saturday evening.
Weather Underground Forecast for Saturday, February 11, 2012.

Precipitation will spread across the East Coast on Saturday, while more rain and mountain snow showers are anticipated for parts of the West. A trough of low pressure and associated cold front continue moving eastward across the Eastern Valleys into the Eastern Seaboard. Cool temperatures to the north will allow for snow showers to develop across the Northeast and New England, while rain showers are likely over the Mid-Atlantic states. Rain showers over the Southeastern states should wind down in the early morning hours as the tail end of the system pushes offshore early in the day. Expect the New York metropolitan area to see 1 to 3 inches of snow, while the Washington D.C. area will see a messy combination of snow and freezing rain as high temperatures reach into the lower 40s.

Behind this system, a ridge of high pressure continues to build in from the Plains, pushing cold and dry air in from Canada. This allows for plenty of sunshine to spread from the Plains over the Mississippi River Valley and into the Eastern Valleys. Expect the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest to see highs in the teens again, while the Midwest will see highs in the 20s. Strong winds will accompany this system, pushing windchill values below zero in these areas. The Southern Plains will remain in the 40s on Saturday.

Out West, a trough of low pressure pushes a cold front over the Pacific Northwest and continues pulling moisture onshore with it. This will kick up more rain showers with high elevation snow showers likely in the Cascades. The tail end of the frontal boundary will sweep through California, bringing light rain showers to the coasts and interior valleys. Expect light snow showers in the Sierra Nevadas by Saturday evening.
Nellysford Weather at a Glance
Updated 3:43 AM EST
Elevation
746 ft
Report Station
You are about to report this weather station for bad data.

Please select the information which is incorrect and click 'Submit' otherwise click 'Cancel'.

Cancel

Now
Overcast
Overcast
Temperature
35.7 °F
Feels Like 36 °F
Wind(mph)
1.0
Sunrise / Set
7:10 AM
5:49 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Tonight
Snow 32 °F
Snow
100% chance of precipitation
Saturday
Chance of Snow 38 °F
Chance of Snow
40% chance of precipitation
Saturday Night
Chance of Snow 18 °F
Chance of Snow
30% chance of precipitation
Sunday
Partly Cloudy 38 | 20 °F
Partly Cloudy
Monday
Clear 45 | 29 °F
Clear
Tuesday
Chance of Rain 49 | 31 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Today is forecast to be Much Cooler than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
29.83 in
Visibility
4.0 miles
Clouds
Mostly Cloudy 2500 ft
Mostly Cloudy 3200 ft
Overcast 11000 ft
Moisture
Humidity
96%
Rainfall
0.02 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KSHD 110835Z AUTO 00000KT 4SM BR BKN025 BKN032 OVC110 02/01 A2979 RMK AO2 T00170006
Don't speak METAR? Read our FAQ.
Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
36 °F
Dew Point
35 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
1.0 mph from WNW
Wind Gust
2.0 mph
Health
UV
0 out of 16
Pollen
3.00 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Regional
View Flu Map
Loading…
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Rest of the Overnight
nt_snow Snow and rain likely. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Today
chancesnow Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers...mainly in the afternoon. Breezy with highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph...increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph in the afternoon. Chance of snow 50 percent.
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers in the evening. Windy with lows 15 to 21. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows around 20. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Tuesday
snow Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Tuesday Night
nt_snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Wednesday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Thursday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Thursday Night
nt_snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Friday
chancerain Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 50s.
Source: NWS at 3:30 am EST on February 11, 2012
Loading…
 
First Previous Last Next  
Updated:  
 
 

 

Nowcast as of 3:22 am EST on February 11, 2012
Light rain...with snow along the ridges...will taper off across the next hour across the southern Shenandoah Valley and the Highway 29 corridor through north-central Virginia. Through 430 am...expect a couple hundredths of an inch of additional rainfall in the valleys...with up to a couple tenths of an inch of additional snowfall along the ridges.
Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 22958
Saturday, 11
Chance of Snow
38 | 18 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Sunday, 12
Partly Cloudy
38 | 20 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Clear
45 | 29 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Rain
49 | 31 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Partly Cloudy
52 | 31 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Mostly Cloudy
52 | 36 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Friday, 17
Chance of Rain
54 | NA
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Source: NWS at 3:30 am EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Rest of the Overnight
nt_snow Snow and rain likely. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Today
chancesnow Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers...mainly in the afternoon. Breezy with highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph...increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph in the afternoon. Chance of snow 50 percent.
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers in the evening. Windy with lows 15 to 21. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 35 | 27 37 | 22 33 | 12 26 | 5
Wind 3 mph NW 10 mph WNW 16 mph NW 16 mph NW
Humidity 75% 54% 38% 40%
Chance of Precip. 100% 40% 40% 30%
Cloud Cover 88% 64% 65% 70%
Conditions Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy Chance of Snow Mostly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:10 AM
5:49 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 am EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows around 20. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 22 | 4 32 | 4 31 | 7 26 | 9
Wind 12 mph NW 13 mph WNW 9 mph WNW 5 mph West
Humidity 42% 29% 35% 50%
Chance of Precip. 30% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 42% 33% 9% 5%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:09 AM
5:50 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 am EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 24 | 7 40 | 12 41 | 17 35 | 20
Wind 5 mph West 6 mph WSW 4 mph SW 2 mph SW
Humidity 48% 31% 39% 55%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 4% 5% 27% 61%
Conditions Clear Clear Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:08 AM
5:51 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 am EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Tuesday
snow Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Tuesday Night
nt_snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 32 | 22 45 | 30 42 | 32 37 | 32
Wind 2 mph WSW 5 mph SW 4 mph SW 2 mph SSW
Humidity 62% 55% 66% 82%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 85% 94% 80% 77%
Conditions Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:07 AM
5:52 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 am EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Wednesday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 30 47 | 33 46 | 34 39 | 30
Wind 2 mph WSW 5 mph West 3 mph West 1 mph WNW
Humidity 79% 60% 64% 71%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 72% 59% 62% 39%
Conditions Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:53 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 am EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Thursday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Thursday Night
nt_snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 35 | 27 47 | 35 46 | 36 41 | 36
Wind 2 mph WNW 5 mph NW 2 mph SSW 2 mph South
Humidity 75% 63% 68% 83%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 47% 69% 82% 75%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:53 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 am EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Nelson
Friday
chancerain Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 38 | 33 50 | 37 46 | 36 41 | 36
Wind 2 mph SW 5 mph SW 4 mph SW 2 mph South
Humidity 79% 64% 69% 83%
Chance of Precip. 40% 40% 30% 10%
Cloud Cover 80% 75% 70% 75%
Conditions Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:53 PM
BestForecast (what's this?)
Nearby
History & Almanac
February 11, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KCHO) - -
Record (KCHO) 84 °F (1932) -9 °F (1899)
Yesterday 47 °F 27 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 28
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
Astronomy
Feb. 11, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:10 AM EST 5:49 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:43 AM EST 6:16 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:12 AM EST 6:47 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:41 AM EST 7:18 PM EST
Moon 10:29 PM EST 8:57 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 33m
Length of Day
10h 39m
Tomorrow will be 2m 12s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 85% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
45 °F
Fort Eustis
45 °F
Newport News
44 °F
Suffolk
44 °F
Farmville
26 °F
Hot Springs
30 °F
Richlands
32 °F
Winchester
32 °F
Wise
32 °F
Leesburg
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
WunderPhotos®
Arctic Front Roars in
cyclone Ismet
Uploaded by: MichiganSnowLvr
1,456,380 photos uploaded!
WunderBlogs®
Native wood
By ShenValleyFlyFish 6 days ago
Travel & Activities
Travel Planning
Destination? *
When are you going?
to
Is there an activity you would like to explore?
* Required field
Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Staunton 35 °F Overcast 3:35 AM EST
Charlottesville 37 °F Light Rain Mist 3:25 AM EST
Lynchburg 38 °F Overcast 2:54 AM EST
Farmville 43 °F Overcast 3:35 AM EST
Flight To ETA Status
No flights were found.
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
Type Condition
Flight Rule: MVFR (KSHD)
Wind Speed: 0.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 285° (WNW)
Ceiling: 2500 ft

METAR KSHD 110835Z AUTO 00000KT 4SM BR BKN025 BKN032 OVC110 02/01 A2979 RMK AO2 T00170006

Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Average High 71° F/ 21° C
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 11, 2012 Chance of Rain, 45 °F
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 12, 2012 Mostly Cloudy, 45 °F
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Spruce Creek Park, Nellysford, VA 35.7 °F 36 °F 35 °F 96% WNW  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 746 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire
Nelson Co Life Magazine, Greenfield-Rockfish Valley, VA 37.2 °F 37 °F 34 °F 89% NW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 785 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire
Idlebrink Farm, Greenfield, VA 36.6 °F 37 °F 36 °F 97% East  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 665 ft 3:42 AM EST Rapid Fire
Old Rockfish Post Office, Rockfish, VA 36.5 °F 36 °F 35 °F 91% NE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 482 ft 3:42 AM EST Normal
VADOT I-64_@_Rt_250_Afton_Mtn, Waynesboro, VA 33 °F 27 °F 33 °F 99% SSE  at  6 mph 0.00 in / hr 1900 ft 3:01 AM EST MADIS
Pollak Vineyards, Greenwood, VA 39.7 °F 40 °F 35 °F 82% WNW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 817 ft 3:43 AM EST Normal  
366 Draft Ave., Stuarts Draft, VA 36.1 °F 29 °F 34 °F 92% West  at  9.2 mph 0.00 in / hr 1389 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire
Old White Hill Road, Stuarts Draft, VA 35.8 °F 36 °F 33 °F 88% WSW  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1510 ft 3:40 AM EST Normal
Basic City Weather, Waynesboro, VA 37.0 °F 33 °F 30 °F 75% North  at  4.5 mph 0.04 in / hr 1319 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire  
Yancey Mills, Crozet, VA 44.8 °F 45 °F 31 °F 58% East  at  0.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 600 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire  
Cold Springs Rd. Central to Stuarts Dra, Stuarts Draft, VA 35.8 °F 36 °F 33 °F 89% West  at  2.0 mph 0.04 in / hr 1635 ft 12:07 AM EST Rapid Fire  
Windy Hill, Stuarts Draft, VA 33.8 °F 34 °F 33 °F 96% WSW  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1509 ft 3:43 AM EST Normal  
APRSWXNET Stuarts Draft VA , Stuarts Draft, VA 36 °F 36 °F 33 °F 88% WSW  at  2 mph 0.00 in / hr 1528 ft 3:10 AM EST MADIS
Emerald Hills, Fishersville, VA 34.9 °F 35 °F 32 °F 90% SSW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1350 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire
Daniel Morris Lane, Charlottesville, VA 36.5 °F 36 °F 34 °F 90% WNW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 518 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire
Ivy, Charlottesville, VA 37.1 °F 37 °F 36 °F 94% SSE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 650 ft 3:42 AM EST Normal  
In the country, White Hall, VA 37.9 °F 38 °F 34 °F 86% WNW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 722 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire  
Charlottesville 2W: McCormick Observator, Charlottesville, VA 37.4 °F 37 °F 35 °F 90% WSW  at  0.9 mph 0.00 in / hr 866 ft 3:43 AM EST Normal
Charlottesville 2W, Charlottesville, VA 37.9 °F 38 °F 35 °F 90% NNW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 866 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire
Forum Student News, Charlottesville, VA 37.9 °F 38 °F 36 °F 93% ENE  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 482 ft 3:43 AM EST Rapid Fire
APRSWXNET Staunton VA , Staunton, VA - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 1683 ft 3:18 AM EST MADIS
RAWS SAWMILL RIDGE VA, Greenwood, VA 33 °F 26 °F 32 °F 97% SW  at  8 mph 0.00 in / hr 2080 ft 3:13 AM EST MADIS
APRSWXNET Montebello VA , Raphine, VA 30 °F 30 °F 29 °F 96% NW  at  0 mph 0.00 in / hr 2864 ft 3:17 AM EST MADIS
Would you like to share your weather data with the rest of the world? Add Your Weather Station!
Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 2:12 am EST on February 11, 2012

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 28
hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation
is extended to Highway departments... cooperative observers... Skywarn
spotters and media for these reports. This summary is also available
on our home Page at weather.Gov/Baltimore

********************storm total snowfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     /inches/ measurement

Maryland

... Allegany County...
   Frostburg 0.5 941 PM 2/10 trained spotter

... Baltimore County...
   Hunt Valley 0.2 200 am 2/11 broadcast media
   2 NW Long Green T 1115 PM 2/10 trained spotter

... Montgomery County...
   2 WSW Damascus 0.9 155 am 2/11 co-op observer

Virginia

... City of Winchester...
   2 S Winchester 0.3 115 am 2/11 trained spotter

... Loudoun County...
   3 NW Dulles internat 0.2 210 am 2/11 NWS office

West Virginia

... Berkeley County...
   1 WNW Bunker Hill 0.3 1015 PM 2/10 cocorahs

... Grant County...
   Bayard 0.8 756 PM 2/10 co-op observer

... Hampshire County...
   Romney T 510 PM 2/10 public

... Pendleton County...
   6 WSW Cherry Grove 2.4 1101 PM 2/10 trained spotter