Keswick, VA

4:32 PM EST on February 10, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 443 ft
Lon: 78.4° W
Lat: 38.0° N
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Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Jessica Parker
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Keswick Weather at a Glance
Updated 4:32 PM EST
Elevation
385 ft
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Now
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Temperature
47.7 °F
Feels Like 48 °F
Wind(mph)
0.0
Sunrise / Set
7:09 AM
5:46 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Tonight
Chance of Snow 34 °F
Chance of Snow
80% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Chance of Snow 43 °F
Chance of Snow
40% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow Night
Chance of Snow 20 °F
Chance of Snow
30% chance of precipitation
Sunday
Clear 38 | 22 °F
Clear
Monday
Clear 47 | 31 °F
Clear
Tuesday
Chance of Rain 49 | 32 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow is forecast to be Much Cooler than today.
Conditions
Pressure
29.48 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Few 6500 ft
Mostly Cloudy 11000 ft
Moisture
Humidity
56%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KCHO 102053Z 00000KT 10SM FEW065 BKN110 08/M02 A2998 RMK AO2 RAB1958E08 SLP155 P0000 60000 T00781022 56019
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Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Windchill
48 °F
Dew Point
33 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
Calm
Wind Gust
0.0 mph
Health
UV
1 out of 16
Pollen
3.00 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Regional
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Albemarle
Rest of This Afternoon
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
nt_snow Rain...snow...mainly in the evening. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds around 5 mph... becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Saturday
snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Saturday Night
nt_snow Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers in the evening. Lows around 20. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the lower 20s.
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Tuesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Wednesday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s.
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
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Nowcast as of 3:14 PM EST on February 10, 2012
There may be a few sprinkles in central Virginia and the northern Shenandoah Valley this afternoon and early evening. Temperatures will range from the mid lower to mid 40s...but start to drop after sunset.
Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 22947
Friday, 10
Mostly Cloudy
54 | 34 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Saturday, 11
Chance of Snow
43 | 20 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Sunday, 12
Clear
38 | 22 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Clear
47 | 31 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Rain
49 | 32 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Partly Cloudy
52 | 32 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Mostly Cloudy
52 | NA
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Albemarle
Rest of This Afternoon
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
nt_snow Rain...snow...mainly in the evening. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds around 5 mph... becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 31 | 22 47 | 28 47 | 30 41 | 29
Wind 0 mph WSW 4 mph ESE 1 mph SSW 1 mph NW
Humidity 70% 45% 51% 62%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 10% 80%
Cloud Cover 38% 64% 83% 100%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:09 AM
5:46 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Albemarle
Saturday
snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Saturday Night
nt_snow Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers in the evening. Lows around 20. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 37 | 28 42 | 22 35 | 14 28 | 8
Wind 2 mph North 7 mph WNW 16 mph NW 15 mph NW
Humidity 71% 47% 40% 41%
Chance of Precip. 80% 40% 40% 30%
Cloud Cover 100% 63% 77% 46%
Conditions Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:08 AM
5:47 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Albemarle
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the lower 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 23 | 7 34 | 7 33 | 9 28 | 11
Wind 10 mph NW 13 mph WNW 9 mph WNW 3 mph West
Humidity 47% 32% 36% 48%
Chance of Precip. 30% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 40% 23% 11% 1%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:07 AM
5:48 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Albemarle
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 25 | 11 40 | 14 41 | 19 35 | 22
Wind 4 mph West 6 mph West 4 mph WSW 2 mph South
Humidity 52% 34% 40% 55%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 3% 10% 33% 80%
Conditions Clear Clear Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:06 AM
5:49 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Albemarle
Tuesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 22 45 | 30 44 | 32 37 | 34
Wind 1 mph WSW 5 mph SSW 3 mph SSW 1 mph SSW
Humidity 62% 56% 65% 85%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 82% 93% 82% 71%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:50 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Albemarle
Wednesday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 36 | 32 47 | 35 46 | 34 39 | 32
Wind 1 mph SW 4 mph West 2 mph West 0 mph NNW
Humidity 82% 62% 66% 71%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 67% 60% 65% 41%
Conditions Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:50 PM
Source: NWS at 3:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Albemarle
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 36 | 29 47 | 35 46 | 38 39 | 32
Wind 1 mph NW 4 mph North 2 mph SSW 0 mph NNW
Humidity 75% 63% 71% 71%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 52% 68% 78% 41%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:50 PM
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Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
Active Notice: Public Information Statement  (US Severe Weather)
History & Almanac
February 10, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KCHO) - -
Record (KCHO) 72 °F (1932) -8 °F (1899)
Yesterday 49 °F 33 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 24
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
Feb. 10, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:09 AM EST 5:46 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:42 AM EST 6:13 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:11 AM EST 6:44 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:40 AM EST 7:15 PM EST
Moon 9:17 PM EST 8:21 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 30m
Length of Day
10h 36m
Tomorrow will be 2m 11s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 89% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
53 °F
Chesapeake
53 °F
Franklin
53 °F
Suffolk
53 °F
Williamsburg
51 °F
West Point
19 °F
Hot Springs
21 °F
Jonesville
21 °F
Richlands
22 °F
Staunton
23 °F
Lynchburg
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Charlottesville 46 °F Mostly Cloudy 3:53 PM EST
Louisa 46 °F Clear 4:15 PM EST
Orange 45 °F Mostly Cloudy 4:15 PM EST
Staunton 43 °F Mostly Cloudy 4:15 PM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
JIA2369
Charlotte, NC 		KCHO 05:04PM On Time
EGF4380
Chicago, IL 		KCHO 05:08PM On Time
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KCHO)
Wind Speed: 0.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 0° (North)
Ceiling: 11000 ft

METAR KCHO 102053Z 00000KT 10SM FEW065 BKN110 08/M02 A2998 RMK AO2 RAB1958E08 SLP155 P0000 60000 T00781022 56019

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Average High 71° F/ 21° C
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 10, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 47 °F
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 11, 2012 Chance of Rain, 45 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Fluvanna WX, Lake Monticello, VA 47.7 °F 48 °F 33 °F 56% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 385 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire
VADOT I-64_over_Rivanna_River, Charlottesville, VA 48 °F 48 °F 28 °F 46% NE  at  2 mph 0.00 in / hr 411 ft 3:41 PM EST MADIS
River Run Weather, Charlottesville, VA 46.9 °F 47 °F 22 °F 37% ENE  at  0.9 mph 0.00 in / hr 486 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Mountain Brook, Troy, VA 46.7 °F 47 °F 30 °F 52% East  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 517 ft 4:30 PM EST Normal
Forum Student News, Charlottesville, VA 46.9 °F 47 °F 31 °F 54% West  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 482 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire
Charlottesville 2W, Charlottesville, VA 45.7 °F 46 °F 30 °F 55% East  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 866 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire
Charlottesville 2W: McCormick Observator, Charlottesville, VA 44.9 °F 45 °F 30 °F 56% SE  at  0.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 866 ft 4:32 PM EST Normal
Off Hydraulic Road, Charlottesville, VA 45.8 °F 46 °F 31 °F 56% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 558 ft 4:30 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Hollymead, Charlottesville, VA 46.3 °F 46 °F 30 °F 54% NE  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 482 ft 4:30 PM EST Normal  
Daniel Morris Lane, Charlottesville, VA 48.2 °F 48 °F 29 °F 47% WNW  at  1.1 mph 0.00 in / hr 518 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire
N. Albemarle Co., Beau Mont Farm, VA 46.2 °F 46 °F 34 °F 61% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 574 ft 4:29 PM EST Normal  
Between Scottsville, Scottsville, VA 47.6 °F 48 °F 32 °F 55% SW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 520 ft 4:31 PM EST Normal
Fairgrove Subdivision, Earlysville, VA 46.0 °F 46 °F 34 °F 62% SSW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 540 ft 4:31 PM EST Normal  
The Vineyards, Barboursville, VA 44.8 °F 45 °F 32 °F 60% SW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 520 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire
Ivy, Charlottesville, VA 45.8 °F 46 °F 32 °F 59% SSE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 650 ft 4:31 PM EST Normal  
VA45, Gordonsville, VA 45.4 °F 45 °F 29 °F 53% SSW  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 460 ft 4:31 PM EST Normal  
In the country, White Hall, VA 45.3 °F 45 °F 32 °F 59% NNW  at  0.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 722 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Louisa - Northside, Louisa, VA 46.2 °F 46 °F 31 °F 56% SW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 392 ft 4:32 PM EST Normal  
Yancey Mills, Crozet, VA 45.0 °F 45 °F 31 °F 58% East  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 600 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire  
MesoWest N PIEDMONT AREC , Orange, VA 45 °F 42 °F 26 °F 47% SSW  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 520 ft 3:00 PM EST MADIS
Little Edge Farm - 2.1 Miles WNW of, Stanardsville, VA 42.4 °F 42 °F 30 °F 60% SSW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 783 ft 4:32 PM EST Rapid Fire
5 miles S of Mineral, VA, Louisa, VA 48.0 °F 48 °F 34 °F 58% WSW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 419 ft 4:18 PM EST Normal  
Pollak Vineyards, Greenwood, VA 45.7 °F 46 °F 32 °F 59% SE  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 817 ft 4:32 PM EST Normal  
RAWS SAWMILL RIDGE VA, Greenwood, VA 37 °F 33 °F 32 °F 81% South  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 2080 ft 3:13 PM EST MADIS
Blue Ridge Observatory - Flattop Mtn, Dyke, VA 32.6 °F 33 °F 27 °F 79% WSW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 3250 ft 4:26 PM EST Normal
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Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on February 10, 2012

... Flood stages to change on the Shenandoah and Rapidan rivers...

On Tuesday... March 13th 2012... the flood stages at two river
forecast locations will be lowered in response to local needs and
impacts.

On the Shenandoah River... the flood stage at Millville in Jefferson
County will be lowered from 13.5 feet to 10.0 feet. Several roads
along the river flood at levels around 10 feet... and lowering the
flood stage will provide transportation officials and local
residents additional notice that these roads are expected to flood.
This change will result in a modest increase in flood warnings at
this location. The Reach of this forecast point affects both
Jefferson County West Virginia... and Clarke County Virginia... and
both counties will be warned when the new... lower... flood stage is
expected to be exceeded.

On the Rapidan river... the flood stage at the gauge south of
Culpeper on the Culpeper-Orange County border will be lowered from
14 feet to 13 feet. Roads and agricultural lands along the river
begin to flood at the 13 foot level... and therefore the lowering of
the flood stage will provide additional warning of these
occurrences. As a result of this change... the action stage... which
was previously 13 feet... will be lowered to 11 feet.

If you have questions about these changes... please contact
Jason Elliott
senior service hydrologist
Jason.Elliott@noaa.Gov


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