Basye, VA

3:13 PM EST on February 10, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 1506 ft
Lon: 78.8° W
Lat: 38.8° N
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Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Jessica Parker
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Forecast for Friday, February 10, 2012.

Expect active weather to move into the East on Friday, as a trough of low pressure moves from the Southern Plains and into the Eastern Valleys. Flow around this system will pull moisture and energy in from the Gulf of Mexico. This will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley throughout the day. There is a slight chance that these storms will turn severe with strong winds and heavy downpours. The northern side of this system will push a cold front into the Midwest, which will move through the Great Lakes and into the Ohio River Valley. Expect light and scattered snow showers to develop along the front as it passes through northern Michigan and into the eastern Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians. Warmer temperatures ahead of this system will allow for rain showers to develop in parts of the Mid-Atlantic states and the Tennessee Valley.

Out West, a weak trough of low pressure moves onshore from the Pacific Ocean, bringing some moisture onshore with it. This will produce more rain and high elevation snow showers over the Pacific Northwest. Some of this moisture will stretch southward into northern California, allowing for light rain and high elevation snow showers to spread into the northern Sierras.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Basye Weather at a Glance
Updated 3:13 PM EST
Weather Station - report
Mt Jackson
Elevation
915 ft
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Now
Overcast
Overcast
Temperature
42.2 °F
Feels Like 38 °F
Wind(mph)
6.0
Sunrise / Set
7:12 AM
5:46 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Today
Chance of Rain 45 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Tonight
Snow 27 °F
Snow
80% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Chance of Snow 34 | 14 °F
Chance of Snow
50% chance of precipitation
Sunday
Partly Cloudy 27 | 18 °F
Partly Cloudy
Monday
Partly Cloudy 40 | 27 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday
Chance of Rain 43 | 29 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Today is forecast to be Warmer than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
30.00 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Scattered Clouds 5500 ft
Scattered Clouds 7000 ft
Overcast 8500 ft
Moisture
Humidity
57%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KW99 101955Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT055 SCT070 OVC085 06/M05 A3000 RMK AO2
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Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Windchill
38 °F
Dew Point
28 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
6.0 mph from NNE
Wind Gust
6.0 mph
Health
UV
1 out of 16
Pollen
.30 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Regional
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Shenandoah
This Afternoon
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Snow or rain likely in the evening...then a chance of snow after midnight. Total snow accumulation around an inch. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Brisk with highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph... increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight. Blustery with lows around 17. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Sunday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs around 30. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows around 20.
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Tuesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid 40s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Wednesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 22810
Friday, 10
Chance of Rain
45 | 27 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Saturday, 11
Chance of Snow
34 | 14 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Sunday, 12
Partly Cloudy
27 | 18 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Partly Cloudy
40 | 27 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Rain
43 | 29 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Mostly Cloudy
45 | 29 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Mostly Cloudy
45 | NA
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Shenandoah
This Afternoon
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
nt_chancesnow Snow or rain likely in the evening...then a chance of snow after midnight. Total snow accumulation around an inch. Lows in the upper 20s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 26 | 18 39 | 21 38 | 26 33 | 26
Wind 0 mph West 4 mph South 2 mph WSW 1 mph West
Humidity 71% 48% 65% 76%
Chance of Precip. 0% 30% 30% 80%
Cloud Cover 41% 61% 86% 100%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:12 AM
5:46 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Shenandoah
Saturday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Brisk with highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph... increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight. Blustery with lows around 17. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 28 | 23 33 | 19 28 | 11 21 | 6
Wind 4 mph NNW 11 mph WNW 20 mph WNW 20 mph NW
Humidity 78% 53% 48% 51%
Chance of Precip. 80% 50% 50% 30%
Cloud Cover 87% 77% 71% 56%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:11 AM
5:47 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Shenandoah
Sunday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs around 30. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows around 20.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 17 | 4 24 | 4 24 | 8 22 | 9
Wind 15 mph NW 17 mph WNW 13 mph WNW 7 mph West
Humidity 56% 42% 49% 58%
Chance of Precip. 30% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 35% 45% 33% 11%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:10 AM
5:48 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Shenandoah
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 22 | 9 34 | 12 34 | 17 32 | 18
Wind 6 mph West 8 mph West 5 mph West 2 mph WSW
Humidity 57% 41% 49% 56%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 10% 13% 41% 80%
Conditions Clear Clear Partly Cloudy Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:09 AM
5:50 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Shenandoah
Tuesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the mid 40s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 29 | 20 39 | 28 39 | 31 35 | 31
Wind 4 mph SSW 6 mph SSW 4 mph SW 4 mph SW
Humidity 69% 63% 75% 90%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 88% 95% 88% 89%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:08 AM
5:51 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Shenandoah
Wednesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 32 | 29 41 | 32 41 | 31 35 | 29
Wind 2 mph West 5 mph West 4 mph West 2 mph WNW
Humidity 92% 70% 72% 80%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 83% 79% 76% 53%
Conditions Chance of Snow Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:08 AM
5:51 PM
Source: NWS at 12:30 PM EST on February 10, 2012
Regional Forecast for Shenandoah
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 32 | 27 41 | 33 41 | 34 35 | 29
Wind 2 mph WNW 4 mph NW 2 mph SW 2 mph WNW
Humidity 81% 72% 77% 80%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 54% 73% 86% 53%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:08 AM
5:51 PM
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Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
Active Notice: Public Information Statement  (US Severe Weather)
History & Almanac
February 10, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KSHD) 47 °F 26 °F
Record (KSHD) 69 °F (2009) 10 °F (2007)
Yesterday 46.6 °F 26.3 °F
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
Feb. 10, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:12 AM EST 5:46 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:45 AM EST 6:14 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:13 AM EST 6:45 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:42 AM EST 7:16 PM EST
Moon 9:19 PM EST 8:22 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 29m
Length of Day
10h 33m
Tomorrow will be 2m 15s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 89% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
53 °F
Williamsburg
53 °F
Chesapeake
53 °F
Franklin
53 °F
Suffolk
51 °F
Richmond
19 °F
Hot Springs
21 °F
Jonesville
21 °F
Richlands
22 °F
Staunton
23 °F
Lynchburg
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Petersburg 43 °F Overcast 2:55 PM EST
Staunton 44 °F Overcast 2:55 PM EST
Winchester 41 °F Mostly Cloudy 2:55 PM EST
Charlottesville 46 °F Overcast 2:53 PM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
No flights were found.
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KW99)
Wind Speed: 0.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 29° (NNE)
Ceiling: 8500 ft

METAR KW99 101955Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT055 SCT070 OVC085 06/M05 A3000 RMK AO2

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Average High 71° F/ 21° C
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 10, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 47 °F
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 11, 2012 Chance of Rain, 45 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Mt Jackson, VA 42.2 °F 38 °F 28 °F 57% NNE  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 915 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
APRSWXNET Lost River WV , Lost River, WV 37 °F 37 °F 24 °F 58% NW  at  0 mph 0.00 in / hr 2209 ft 2:47 PM EST MADIS
Lost River, WV, Lost River, WV 36.7 °F 37 °F 24 °F 59% West  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 2051 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
FIELDSMITH, New Market, VA 42.6 °F 43 °F 29 °F 60% North  at  3.0 mph - / hr 1000 ft 3:01 PM EST Normal  
St. Luke, Woodstock, VA 40.3 °F 40 °F 11 °F 30% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1450 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Fairway Manor, New Market, VA 45.9 °F 46 °F 33 °F 61% NNE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 960 ft 3:10 PM EST Normal  
VADOT Rt211@_Shenandoah, New Market, VA 39 °F 35 °F 25 °F 58% NW  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 1794 ft 2:24 PM EST MADIS
Rt 259 Mayland, Broadway, VA 44.1 °F 41 °F 27 °F 50% SW  at  4.9 mph 0.00 in / hr 1250 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Woodstock West, Woodstock, VA 40.5 °F 40 °F 27 °F 58% WNW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 991 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire
Wetzel Road, Woodstock, VA 41.5 °F 39 °F 24 °F 50% NW  at  3.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 961 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Little North Mtn, Maurertown, VA 40.1 °F 40 °F 25 °F 55% South  at  0.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 1280 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
The Back Road, Maurertown, VA 40.0 °F 40 °F 28 °F 61% SW  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1040 ft 3:10 PM EST Normal
LINVILLE, Harrisonburg, VA 43.2 °F 38 °F 29 °F 57% SSW  at  9.4 mph 0.00 in / hr 1300 ft 3:12 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Lacey Springs MC, Harrisonburg, VA 43.9 °F 44 °F 26 °F 48% NE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1100 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire
Greenmount Road, Harrisonburg, VA 42.8 °F 39 °F 30 °F 60% South  at  5.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 1350 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Mt View Addition, Moorefield, WV 40.6 °F 41 °F 22 °F 47% ESE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 866 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire
APRSWXNET Greenmount VA , Harrisonburg, VA 43 °F 38 °F 29 °F 58% SW  at  9 mph 0.00 in / hr 1348 ft 2:50 PM EST MADIS
RAWS FORT VALLEY VA, Fort Valley, VA 42 °F 40 °F 22 °F 45% NW  at  4 mph 0.00 in / hr 799 ft 2:11 PM EST MADIS
Stanley Weather Pod, Stanley, VA 44.5 °F 38 °F 29 °F 55% WSW  at  13.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 1100 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Shenandoah Speedway, Shenandoah, VA 46.2 °F 43 °F 30 °F 54% South  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 954 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Park View, Harrisonburg, VA 38.8 °F 33 °F -4 °F 16% SSW  at  8.7 mph 0.00 in / hr 1355 ft 12:03 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Vine Street, Harrisonburg, VA 43.3 °F 38 °F 27 °F 53% SSW  at  9.2 mph 0.00 in / hr 1445 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire
Ashton Woods, Moorefield, WV 36.8 °F 37 °F 25 °F 62% WSW  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1735 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire
Parklawn, Harrisonburg, VA 44.1 °F 42 °F 30 °F 57% SSW  at  4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1329 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Mountain Meadows, Mathias, WV 34.8 °F 35 °F 24 °F 65% WSW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 2700 ft 3:13 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Stanley, VA 40.5 °F 40 °F 10 °F 28% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 0 ft 3:09 PM EST Rapid Fire  
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Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on February 10, 2012

... Flood stages to change on the Shenandoah and Rapidan rivers...

On Tuesday... March 13th 2012... the flood stages at two river
forecast locations will be lowered in response to local needs and
impacts.

On the Shenandoah River... the flood stage at Millville in Jefferson
County will be lowered from 13.5 feet to 10.0 feet. Several roads
along the river flood at levels around 10 feet... and lowering the
flood stage will provide transportation officials and local
residents additional notice that these roads are expected to flood.
This change will result in a modest increase in flood warnings at
this location. The Reach of this forecast point affects both
Jefferson County West Virginia... and Clarke County Virginia... and
both counties will be warned when the new... lower... flood stage is
expected to be exceeded.

On the Rapidan river... the flood stage at the gauge south of
Culpeper on the Culpeper-Orange County border will be lowered from
14 feet to 13 feet. Roads and agricultural lands along the river
begin to flood at the 13 foot level... and therefore the lowering of
the flood stage will provide additional warning of these
occurrences. As a result of this change... the action stage... which
was previously 13 feet... will be lowered to 11 feet.

If you have questions about these changes... please contact
Jason Elliott
senior service hydrologist
Jason.Elliott@noaa.Gov


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