Ellisburg, NY

4:33 PM EST on February 11, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 374 ft
Lon: 76.1° W
Lat: 43.7° N
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Active Advisory: Wind Chill Advisory (US Severe Weather) Active Notice: Public Information Statement
Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Saturday, February 11, 2012.

Precipitation will spread across the East Coast on Saturday, while more rain and mountain snow showers are anticipated for parts of the West. A trough of low pressure and associated cold front continue moving eastward across the Eastern Valleys into the Eastern Seaboard. Cool temperatures to the north will allow for snow showers to develop across the Northeast and New England, while rain showers are likely over the Mid-Atlantic states. Rain showers over the Southeastern states should wind down in the early morning hours as the tail end of the system pushes offshore early in the day. Expect the New York metropolitan area to see 1 to 3 inches of snow, while the Washington D.C. area will see a messy combination of snow and freezing rain as high temperatures reach into the lower 40s.

Behind this system, a ridge of high pressure continues to build in from the Plains, pushing cold and dry air in from Canada. This allows for plenty of sunshine to spread from the Plains over the Mississippi River Valley and into the Eastern Valleys. Expect the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest to see highs in the teens again, while the Midwest will see highs in the 20s. Strong winds will accompany this system, pushing windchill values below zero in these areas. The Southern Plains will remain in the 40s on Saturday.

Out West, a trough of low pressure pushes a cold front over the Pacific Northwest and continues pulling moisture onshore with it. This will kick up more rain showers with high elevation snow showers likely in the Cascades. The tail end of the frontal boundary will sweep through California, bringing light rain showers to the coasts and interior valleys. Expect light snow showers in the Sierra Nevadas by Saturday evening.
Weather Underground Forecast for Saturday, February 11, 2012.

Precipitation will spread across the East Coast on Saturday, while more rain and mountain snow showers are anticipated for parts of the West. A trough of low pressure and associated cold front continue moving eastward across the Eastern Valleys into the Eastern Seaboard. Cool temperatures to the north will allow for snow showers to develop across the Northeast and New England, while rain showers are likely over the Mid-Atlantic states. Rain showers over the Southeastern states should wind down in the early morning hours as the tail end of the system pushes offshore early in the day. Expect the New York metropolitan area to see 1 to 3 inches of snow, while the Washington D.C. area will see a messy combination of snow and freezing rain as high temperatures reach into the lower 40s.

Behind this system, a ridge of high pressure continues to build in from the Plains, pushing cold and dry air in from Canada. This allows for plenty of sunshine to spread from the Plains over the Mississippi River Valley and into the Eastern Valleys. Expect the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest to see highs in the teens again, while the Midwest will see highs in the 20s. Strong winds will accompany this system, pushing windchill values below zero in these areas. The Southern Plains will remain in the 40s on Saturday.

Out West, a trough of low pressure pushes a cold front over the Pacific Northwest and continues pulling moisture onshore with it. This will kick up more rain showers with high elevation snow showers likely in the Cascades. The tail end of the frontal boundary will sweep through California, bringing light rain showers to the coasts and interior valleys. Expect light snow showers in the Sierra Nevadas by Saturday evening.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Ellisburg Weather at a Glance
Updated 4:25 PM EST
Elevation
531 ft
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Now
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Temperature
12.4 °F
Feels Like 2 °F
Wind(mph)
7.0
Sunrise / Set
7:09 AM
5:28 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Tonight
Partly Cloudy 4 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tomorrow
Snow 20 °F
Snow
50% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow Night
Chance of Snow 13 °F
Chance of Snow
30% chance of precipitation
Monday
Chance of Snow 31 | 22 °F
Chance of Snow
40% chance of precipitation
Tuesday
Chance of Snow 36 | 29 °F
Chance of Snow
30% chance of precipitation
Wednesday
Mostly Cloudy 38 | 29 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Tomorrow is forecast to be nearly the same temperature as today.
Conditions
Pressure
29.70 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Few 3000 ft
Moisture
Humidity
81%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KART 112056Z AUTO 02013KT 10SM FEW030 M10/M15 A2984 RMK AO2 SLP115 60000 T11001150 55003 TSNO $
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Weather Radio
Launch Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
2 °F
Dew Point
8 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
7.0 mph from WNW
Wind Gust
14.0 mph
Health
UV
1 out of 16
Pollen
.10 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Jefferson
Tonight
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy and cold with lows 5 below to 10 below zero. North winds 10 to 20 mph...becoming northwest 10 mph or less. Wind chill values as low as 20 below.
Sunday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Cold with highs 15 to 20. North winds 10 mph or less...becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Not as cold with lows ranging from 5 to 10 above across the Tug Hill to 10 to 20 along the Lake Ontario shore. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the evening. Chance of snow 50 percent.
Monday
chancesnow Snow likely in the morning...then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 20s. West winds 10 to 20 mph...becoming southwest with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy with scattered flurries in the evening...then mostly cloudy overnight. Lows ranging from around 20 across the Tug Hill to the upper 20s along the Lake Ontario shore. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
Tuesday
chancesnow Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancesnow Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s.
Wednesday
chancesnow Cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
Thursday
snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Thursday Night
nt_chancesnow Cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Friday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.
Friday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows 15 to 20.
Source: NWS at 3:52 PM EST on February 11, 2012
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Nowcast as of 4:30 PM EST on February 11, 2012
The short term forecast for the Eastern Lake Ontario region, including Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville. As 430 PM...scattered light snow shower and flurry activity will taper off from north to south across the Eastern Lake Ontario region as head through the early evening hours. Snowfall accumulations through 630 PM will be very light with no more than a tenth of an inch expected. Motorists should expect some slick spots on area roadways from earlier snows when driving this evening.
Wind Chill Advisory in effect from 11 PM this evening to 6 am EST Sunday...
Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 13636
Saturday, 11
Snow
19 | 4 °F
Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Sunday, 12
Snow
20 | 13 °F
Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Monday, 13
Chance of Snow
31 | 22 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Snow
36 | 29 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Mostly Cloudy
38 | 29 °F
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Chance of Snow
40 | 27 °F
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Friday, 17
Chance of Snow
36 | NA
Chance of Snow
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Source: NWS at 3:52 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Jefferson
Tonight
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy and cold with lows 5 below to 10 below zero. North winds 10 to 20 mph...becoming northwest 10 mph or less. Wind chill values as low as 20 below.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 22 | 18 15 | 12 11 | 8 10 | 4
Wind 10 mph NNE 14 mph NNE 12 mph North 8 mph NNW
Humidity 80% 79% 83% 78%
Chance of Precip. 80% 50% 50% 40%
Cloud Cover 84% 100% 82% 61%
Conditions Snow Showers Snow Showers Chance of Snow Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:09 AM
5:28 PM
Source: NWS at 3:52 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Jefferson
Sunday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Cold with highs 15 to 20. North winds 10 mph or less...becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Not as cold with lows ranging from 5 to 10 above across the Tug Hill to 10 to 20 along the Lake Ontario shore. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in the evening. Chance of snow 50 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 4 | 4 16 | 9 17 | 9 15 | 11
Wind 3 mph NNW 9 mph NNW 10 mph WNW 8 mph WNW
Humidity 98% 72% 68% 83%
Chance of Precip. 40% 60% 60% 40%
Cloud Cover 78% 94% 83% 73%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:08 AM
5:29 PM
Source: NWS at 3:52 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Jefferson
Monday
chancesnow Snow likely in the morning...then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 20s. West winds 10 to 20 mph...becoming southwest with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy with scattered flurries in the evening...then mostly cloudy overnight. Lows ranging from around 20 across the Tug Hill to the upper 20s along the Lake Ontario shore. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 13 | 11 27 | 19 28 | 20 24 | 22
Wind 7 mph WNW 9 mph West 13 mph WSW 11 mph WSW
Humidity 90% 69% 73% 92%
Chance of Precip. 40% 50% 50% 50%
Cloud Cover 69% 58% 41% 31%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:06 AM
5:31 PM
Source: NWS at 3:52 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Jefferson
Tuesday
chancesnow Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancesnow Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 22 | 22 32 | 23 32 | 25 31 | 25
Wind 11 mph SW 12 mph SSW 7 mph SW 6 mph SSW
Humidity 75% 65% 71% 80%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 39% 83% 100% 99%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:05 AM
5:32 PM
Source: NWS at 3:52 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Jefferson
Wednesday
chancesnow Cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 29 | 25 35 | 28 34 | 29 32 | 29
Wind 6 mph South 6 mph SSE 5 mph SSW 6 mph SSW
Humidity 84% 74% 80% 87%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 91% 98% 89% 94%
Conditions Chance of Snow Overcast Mostly Cloudy Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:03 AM
5:33 PM
Source: NWS at 3:52 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Jefferson
Thursday
snow Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Thursday Night
nt_chancesnow Cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 29 | 27 38 | 27 35 | 27 30 | 25
Wind 5 mph SW 6 mph SW 6 mph SW 7 mph SE
Humidity 88% 66% 73% 86%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 50% 50%
Cloud Cover 77% 77% 61% 80%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:03 AM
5:33 PM
Source: NWS at 3:52 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Jefferson
Friday
chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 30s.
Friday Night
nt_chancesnow Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows 15 to 20.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 27 | 27 35 | 29 33 | 27 30 | 25
Wind 9 mph SSE 7 mph SE 6 mph SW 7 mph SE
Humidity 91% 80% 81% 86%
Chance of Precip. 50% 50% 40% 50%
Cloud Cover 96% 100% 92% 80%
Conditions Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:03 AM
5:33 PM
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Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
February 11, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KART) 31 °F 8 °F
Record (KART) 57 °F (1999) -34 °F (1979)
Yesterday 35 °F 28 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 33
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Air Quality
  Air Quality AQ Index Pollutant
Saturday Good
PM2.5
Sunday Good
PM2.5
Monday Good
PM2.5
Coastal Water Temperatures
Place Temperature
Alexandria Bay, NY 34.0 °F
Ogdensburg, NY 37.9 °F
Marine Forecast
Astronomy
Feb. 11, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:09 AM EST 5:28 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:39 AM EST 5:58 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:05 AM EST 6:32 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:32 AM EST 7:05 PM EST
Moon 10:26 PM EST 8:39 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 18m
Length of Day
10h 18m
Tomorrow will be 2m 44s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 80% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
39 °F
Poughkeepsie
37 °F
Westhampton Beach
37 °F
Montgomery
37 °F
White Plains
37 °F
Shirley
8 °F
Fort Drum
10 °F
Watertown
10 °F
Massena
12 °F
Plattsburgh
14 °F
Wellsville
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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News
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Travel Planning
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Watertown 14 °F Partly Cloudy 3:56 PM EST
Fort Drum 12 °F Mostly Cloudy 4:27 PM EST
Fulton 17 °F Overcast 3:54 PM EST
Syracuse 20 °F Light Snow 3:54 PM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
PDT4638
Philadelphia, PA 		KSYR 04:34PM On Time
RPA3230
Washington, DC 		KSYR 04:38PM On Time
ASQ6054
Chicago, IL 		KSYR 05:01PM On Time
EGF4249
Chicago, IL 		KSYR 05:14PM On Time
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
View U.S. Airport Delays
Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KART)
Wind Speed: 13.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 296° (WNW)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KART 112056Z AUTO 02013KT 10SM FEW030 M10/M15 A2984 RMK AO2 SLP115 60000 T11001150 55003 TSNO $

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Average High 71° F/ 21° C
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 11, 2012 Rain Showers, 45 °F
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 12, 2012 Mostly Cloudy, 45 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Grand Venture Dairy, Adams, NY 12.4 °F 2 °F 8 °F 81% WNW  at  7.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 531 ft 4:25 PM EST Normal  
Henderson, Henderson, NY 14.5 °F -3 °F 8 °F 75% North  at  19.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 371 ft 4:33 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Deer Run Dairy, Adams, NY 13.1 °F 3 °F 7 °F 76% NNE  at  7.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 420 ft 4:30 PM EST Normal  
Windsong dairy, Adams Center, NY 11.5 °F -2 °F 7 °F 82% NNE  at  10.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 810 ft 4:33 PM EST Normal  
Orwell NY, Orwell, NY 18.0 °F 12 °F -1 °F 42% NNE  at  4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 1099 ft 4:32 PM EST Normal  
HADS BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN NY, Watertown, NY - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 374 ft 3:30 PM EST MADIS
Lorton Lake Back End, Altmar, NY 21.0 °F 21 °F 11 °F 65% SE  at  1.0 mph - / hr 870 ft 4:22 PM EST Normal  
Main Street, Copenhagen, NY 12.7 °F -1 °F 5 °F 71% North  at  11.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 1164 ft 4:33 PM EST Rapid Fire  
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Wind Chill Advisory
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 3:59 PM EST on February 11, 2012

... Wind Chill Advisory in effect from 11 PM this evening to 6 am
EST Sunday...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind Chill
Advisory... which is in effect from 11 PM this evening to 6 am EST
Sunday.

* Locations... Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* Timing... overnight Saturday and early Sunday morning.

* Winds... northwest 5 to 15 mph.

* Wind chill values... 20 to 25 below zero.

* Impacts... wind chills will create dangerously cold conditions
for exposed skin.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when strong wind will combine
with cold temperatures to create dangerously cold conditions for
exposed skin. The wind will make it feel like it is 15 degrees
below zero or colder for a period of several hours. If you will
be outdoors use common sense and dress warmly... making sure that
all exposed skin is covered. If possible... avoid prolonged
exposure to the cold to prevent frostbite and hypothermia.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can also be found at www.Weather.Gov/Buffalo.




Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 10:20 am EST on February 11, 2012

**********************24 hour snowfall**********************

Location 24 hour time/date comments
                     snowfall of
                     /inches/ measurement

New York

... Allegany County...
   5 SW West Almond 0.7 800 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Cattaraugus County...
   se West Valley 1.0 700 am 2/11 cocorahs
   5 N Allegany 0.2 700 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Cayuga County...
   3 ESE Cayuga 0.6 630 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Chautauqua County...
   4 SSE Frewsburg 0.8 700 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Erie County...
   2 NE Boston 2.0 900 am 2/11 cocorahs
   2 se Glenwood 2.0 800 am 2/11 cocorahs
   3 NE Tonawanda 1.8 730 am 2/11 cocorahs
   2 se West Seneca 1.7 830 am 2/11 cocorahs
   2 W West Seneca 1.7 730 am 2/11 cocorahs
   1 NW Williamsville 1.5 800 am 2/11 cocorahs
   2 SSW Blasdell 1.5 700 am 2/11 cocorahs
   1 N Clarence Center 1.5 700 am 2/11 cocorahs
   WSW Hamburg 1.5 700 am 2/11 cocorahs
   NY Buffalo Intl Arpt 1.4 700 am 2/11 ASOS
   2 ENE Colden 1.4 800 am 2/11 cocorahs
   ESE Kenmore 1.4 600 am 2/11 cocorahs
   ENE East Aurora 1.2 800 am 2/11 cocorahs
   3 E Williamsville 0.6 700 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Genesee County...
   2 NE Stafford 0.8 900 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Jefferson County...
   3 S Theresa 2.8 800 am 2/11 cocorahs
   2 SW Carthage 2.0 900 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Livingston County...
   4 WSW Dansville 0.7 600 am 2/11 cocorahs
   1 ENE Dansville 0.5 705 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Monroe County...
   2 ENE Brockport 2.0 950 am 2/11 cocorahs
   Rochester Intl Arpt 1.1 700 am 2/11 ASOS
   5 WNW Rochester 1.0 700 am 2/11 cocorahs
   4 SSE Pittsford 1.0 730 am 2/11 cocorahs
   3 NNW Rochester 0.9 700 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Niagara County...
   1 NNE north tonawand 2.0 700 am 2/11 cocorahs
   1 NE Lockport 2.0 720 am 2/11 cocorahs
   1 NE Pendleton 1.6 700 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Oswego County...
   se Minetto 0.4 800 am 2/11 cocorahs
   4 SSE Lacona 0.2 600 am 2/11 cocorahs

... Wayne County...
   2 SW Walworth 1.0 700 am 2/11 cocorahs
   2 NW Palmyra 0.7 830 am 2/11 cocorahs


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