Athol Springs, New York

... Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 10 PM this evening to
8 am EST Wednesday...
... Winter Storm Watch in effect from Wednesday evening through
Friday evening...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for a wintry mix... which is in effect from 10 PM
this evening to 8 am EST Wednesday. A Winter Storm Watch has also
been issued. This Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Wednesday
evening through Friday evening.

A wintry mix will bring slippery travel late this evening through
early Wednesday. Snow is expected to overspread the western
southern tier later this evening. The snow will mix with or change
to sleet and freezing rain overnight... finally changing to just
plain rain Wednesday morning as temperatures rise above freezing.

Expect 1 to 3 inches of snow accumulation... followed by ice
accumulation of a tenth to a quarter of an inch. The greatest
amount of ice accumulation is expected in the more sheltered
valleys of the interior southern tier where surface temperatures
will remain below freezing the longest. Along the Lake Erie
shore... temperatures will quickly rise above freezing later
tonight with only an inch or less of snow expected and little or
no ice accumulation.

By Wednesday evening much colder air moving into the area on the
back side of the storm will begin to produce bands of lake effect
snow. Strong winds combined with the lake effect snow will likely
produce very difficult driving with near blizzard conditions at
times. The heaviest lake effect snow will persist across the area
right through Friday. Storm totals by Friday evening will exceed 2
feet in the most persistent lake snow areas.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory is normally issued for a variety of
winter weather conditions such as light snow... sleet... and
freezing rain. While the weather will be significant... the word
advisory implies that severe winter weather is not anticipated.

A Winter Storm Watch means that heavy snow accumulations along
with blowing and drifting snow are possible. If you are within
the watch area... remain alert to rapidly changing weather
conditions.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of
weather information for the latest updates. Additional details
can also be found at www.Weather.Gov/Buffalo.

... Lakeshore Flood Watch in effect from late Wednesday afternoon
through Thursday morning...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Lakeshore
Flood Watch... which is in effect from Wednesday afternoon through
Thursday morning.

Deep low pressure will strengthen as it moves from near Chicago
Wednesday morning to western Quebec by Thursday morning. Strong
southerly winds Wednesday on the east side of the storm will shift
to southwest and late Wednesday afternoon and then increase to
storm force on Lake Erie.

This will produce a very noticeable surge causing Lake Erie to rise to
around 9 feet above low water datum some time Wednesday evening.
Flood stage is 8 feet. A 9 foot stage would cause flooding even
along the upper Niagara River. The lake levels will recede a bit
after the initial high surge but The Levels will remain high right
into Thursday along with crashing waves..

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Lakeshore Flood Watch means Lakeshore flooding will occur if
weather develops as expected. People in the watch area should be
ready to move to safe ground if flooding occurs or if warnings
are issued. Stay tuned to local radio... television... or NOAA
Weather Radio to keep informed of the latest situation.



Sage

... High Wind Warning in effect from 4 am Wednesday to 7 PM EST
Thursday...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a High Wind
Warning... which is in effect from 4 am Wednesday to 7 PM EST
Thursday. The high wind watch is no longer in effect.

Southeast winds will increase to 25 to 40 mph late tonight into
Wednesday morning and occasionally gusts up to 55 mph. The
strongest wind gusts are expected across the higher elevations and
between the New York state thruway and Lake Erie will.

Southerly winds will subside a bit Wednesday afternoon... then
switch to the southwest and increase to 25 to 40 mph Wednesday
evening with gusts to 60 mph possible Wednesday night as the
winds become more westerly. The strong west winds will last
through Thursday... with the highest gusts expected over the
higher terrain and near Lake Erie.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A High Wind Warning is issued when sustained winds of 40 mph are
expected for at least an hour... with gusts of 58 mph or greater
at any time. Damage to trees... power lines... and property are
possible with wind of this magnitude. If you have a high profile
vehicles be extra careful until the wind subsides. Stay tuned to
weather radio or other radio and TV stations for further details
or updates.