Rain likely...mainly in the evening. Breezy with lows in the upper 40s. North winds around 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Friday
Cloudy with a chance of rain or drizzle. Breezy with highs in the mid 50s. North winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River at Smithfield. * At 1:30 am Thursday the stage was 13.7 feet. * Flood stage is 15.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast... rise above flood stage early this morning and continue to rise to near 17.7 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning. * Impact... at 18.0 feet... some sewer blockages may occur.
The following are the latest observations and 8am forecast stages for the next several days...
fld observed forecast 8 am location stg stg day time Fri Sat sun Mon Tue
Neuse River Smithfield 15 13.7 Thu 01 am 17.7 14.8 9.6 7.4
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add the following to the stage:
smithfield: 99.26
217 am EST Thu Nov 12 2009
The Flood Warning continues for the Neuse River near Clayton. * At 2:01 am Thursday the stage was 9.3 feet. * Flood stage is 9.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast... the river will continue rising to near 11.6 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early afternoon.
The following are the latest observations and 8am forecast stages for the next several days...
fld observed forecast 8 am location stg stg day time Fri Sat sun Mon Tue
Neuse River Clayton 9 9.3 Thu 02 am 10.0 5.6 3.9 3.2
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add the following to the stage:
clayton: 128.41
Flash Flood Watch
Statement as of 10:17 PM EST on November 11, 2009
... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Thursday evening...
The Flash Flood Watch continues for
* a portion of central North Carolina... including the following areas... Cumberland... Durham... Edgecombe... Franklin... Granville... Halifax... Harnett... Johnston... Nash... Orange... person... Sampson... Vance... wake... Warren... Wayne and Wilson.
* Through Thursday evening
* generally between 2.5 and 5 inches of rain has fallen since late Tuesday. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rain is likely tonight through Thursday... with locally up to 3 additional inches possible... mainly north of Raleigh. Periods of moderate to heavy rain will continue through Thursday. The soil has become saturated and any additional rainfall will runoff. This may lead to flash flooding.
*The heavy rain will make driving hazardous. The long duration of the rain may produce flooding along flood prone creeks and streams especially in urban areas across the Piedmont... sandhills... and coastal plain. A few locations which may see flooding include Crabtree creek through the Raleigh area... Cross Creek in Fayetteville.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
Most flash flood deaths occur in vehicles. Do not drive into areas where water covers the roadway... and never drive around police barricades. Rising water can rapidly engulf a vehicle and its occupants. If your vehicle stalls in water... abandon it immediately... and seek higher ground. Be especially cautious at night since it is harder to recognize the dangerous of flooding.
Flooding is a very dangerous situation. People are urged to monitor forecasts and conditions... and be prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued.
Badgett
Wind Advisory
Statement as of 10:28 PM EST on November 11, 2009
... Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6 am EST Friday...
A Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6 am EST Friday.
An intensifying low pressure off of the North Carolina coast will combine with strong high pressure to our north to produce strong winds tonight into Friday morning. Sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph are likely... with frequent gusts to between 30 and 40 mph. A few gusts to between 40 and 45 mph can be expected.
The soils have become saturated in the past 24 hours. The strong and gusty wind combined with the wet ground will likely knock down some trees. Scattered power outages are likely... especially in the more urban areas.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Wind Advisory means that winds of 31 to 39 mph are expected... with gusts to 45 mph. Winds this strong can make driving difficult... especially for high profile vehicles. Drivers should use extra caution. Be alert for possible branches and other tree debris in the roadway.
Record Report
Statement as of 1:30 am EST on November 11, 2009
... Record daily maximum rainfall set at Raleigh-Durham Intl Airport NC...
a record rainfall of 0.88 inches was set at Raleigh-Durham Intl Airport NC yesterday. This breaks the old record of 0.86 set in 1955.
Public Information Statement
Statement as of 1:25 am EST on November 12, 2009
The following are some unofficial rainfall reports from ASOS and AWOS sites for the ongoing rainfall event. These totals are storm total amounts... as of 100 am Thursday morning.
Location rainfall (inches)
Rdu Airport 3.88 NWS Raleigh ncsu Campus 4.68 Burlington 3.49 Fayetteville 4.34 Winston Salem 3.17 greensboro(triad Intl airport) 3.41 Rocky Mount 3.48 Chapel HIll 3.72 Goldsboro 3.39