Kelly, NC

12:52 AM EST on February 12, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 23 ft
Lon: 78.3° W
Lat: 34.5° N
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Active Advisory: Special Statement (US Severe Weather) Active Notice: Public Information Statement
Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, February 12, 2012.

The East dries out on Sunday, but wet weather continues moving through the West. A trough of low pressure advances eastward over the Great Basin and Central Rockies, producing moderate snow showers over Utah and Colorado. Winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of western Colorado as snowfall accumulations may reach from 6 to 8 inches by Sunday evening. Most of Utah, western Wyoming, and northern New Mexico should see lighter snow showers with accumulation around 1 to 2 inches. The tail end of this trough will extend into western Texas, bringing snow and freezing rain showers into northwestern Texas. Precipitation from this system will move into the Texas Panhandle late Sunday into Monday morning. Winter storm warnings have been issued for the region as 3 to 5 inches of snow are possible, with ice accumulations from 0.10 to 0.30 inches by Sunday evening. This will cause dangerous roads and travel conditions.

Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure and associated cold front approach the West Coast on Sunday. This system will reach the coasts of the Pacific Northwest and northern California in the afternoon and evening hours, bringing more rain showers. Temperatures will remain cool over most of the West Coast as this system pushes clouds and moisture onshore.

In the East, a strong ridge of high pressure allows for dry, sunny, and cool weather to persist. This system creates strong flow from the north, pushing cold air into the Plains and Eastern Valleys. Expect highs to range in the 20s in the Midwest, while the Ohio River Valley and Tennessee Valleys will see highs in the 30s. Freeze advisories have been issued for the Gulf states as low temperatures will drop into the 20s Sunday night. Dangerous fire conditions spread over the Southeastern states due to high pressure creating a very dry airmas with strong winds.
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, February 12, 2012.

The East dries out on Sunday, but wet weather continues moving through the West. A trough of low pressure advances eastward over the Great Basin and Central Rockies, producing moderate snow showers over Utah and Colorado. Winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of western Colorado as snowfall accumulations may reach from 6 to 8 inches by Sunday evening. Most of Utah, western Wyoming, and northern New Mexico should see lighter snow showers with accumulation around 1 to 2 inches. The tail end of this trough will extend into western Texas, bringing snow and freezing rain showers into northwestern Texas. Precipitation from this system will move into the Texas Panhandle late Sunday into Monday morning. Winter storm warnings have been issued for the region as 3 to 5 inches of snow are possible, with ice accumulations from 0.10 to 0.30 inches by Sunday evening. This will cause dangerous roads and travel conditions.

Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure and associated cold front approach the West Coast on Sunday. This system will reach the coasts of the Pacific Northwest and northern California in the afternoon and evening hours, bringing more rain showers. Temperatures will remain cool over most of the West Coast as this system pushes clouds and moisture onshore.

In the East, a strong ridge of high pressure allows for dry, sunny, and cool weather to persist. This system creates strong flow from the north, pushing cold air into the Plains and Eastern Valleys. Expect highs to range in the 20s in the Midwest, while the Ohio River Valley and Tennessee Valleys will see highs in the 30s. Freeze advisories have been issued for the Gulf states as low temperatures will drop into the 20s Sunday night. Dangerous fire conditions spread over the Southeastern states due to high pressure creating a very dry airmas with strong winds.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Kelly Weather at a Glance
Updated 12:55 AM EST
Weather Station
Elizabethtown (KEYF)
Elevation
135 ft
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Now
Clear
Clear
Temperature
28 °F
Feels Like 17 °F
Wind(mph)
16
Sunrise / Set
7:02 AM
5:53 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Tonight
Clear 20 °F
Clear
Sunday
Clear 43 °F
Clear
Sunday Night
Clear 22 °F
Clear
Monday
Clear 52 | 31 °F
Clear
Tuesday
Chance of Rain 58 | 40 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Wednesday
Partly Cloudy 63 | 40 °F
Partly Cloudy
Today is forecast to be Much Cooler than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
30.07 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Clear -
Moisture
Humidity
34%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KEYF 120555Z AUTO 31014G22KT 10SM CLR M02/M16 A3007 RMK AO2
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Weather Radio
Launch Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
17 °F
Dew Point
3 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
16 mph from NW
Wind Gust
25 mph
Health
UV
0 out of 16
Pollen
4.70 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Bladen
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 7 above in the morning.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds around 5 mph.
Tuesday and Tuesday Night
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Lows around 40.
Wednesday
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning... then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Wednesday Night and Thursday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Thursday Night and Friday
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Source: NWS at 11:55 PM EST on February 11, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 28448
Sunday, 12
Clear
43 | 22 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Clear
52 | 31 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Rain
58 | 40 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Partly Cloudy
63 | 40 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Partly Cloudy
63 | 43 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Friday, 17
Chance of Rain
63 | 40 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Saturday, 18
Partly Cloudy
58 | NA
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 11:55 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Bladen
Overnight
nt_sunny Clear and brisk. Lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Wind chill values as low as 7 above.
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 7 above in the morning.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 22 | 5 38 | 4 36 | 9 28 | 13
Wind 14 mph NW 13 mph NW 8 mph WNW 5 mph WNW
Humidity 46% 24% 32% 55%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 1% 1%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:02 AM
5:53 PM
Source: NWS at 11:55 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Bladen
Monday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds around 5 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 25 | 16 46 | 14 45 | 19 37 | 24
Wind 1 mph WNW 3 mph NW 3 mph West 1 mph SSW
Humidity 67% 28% 35% 59%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 10%
Cloud Cover 2% 10% 31% 59%
Conditions Clear Clear Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:01 AM
5:54 PM
Source: NWS at 11:55 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Bladen
Tuesday and Tuesday Night
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Lows around 40.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 28 53 | 35 53 | 41 44 | 43
Wind 2 mph South 2 mph South 0 mph South 1 mph SSE
Humidity 78% 51% 64% 92%
Chance of Precip. 10% 30% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 76% 82% 81% 81%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:00 AM
5:55 PM
Source: NWS at 11:55 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Bladen
Wednesday
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning... then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Wednesday Night and Thursday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 41 | 41 58 | 43 55 | 43 47 | 41
Wind 4 mph North 2 mph NNE 1 mph NNW 2 mph NW
Humidity 99% 59% 64% 82%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 79% 78% 59% 40%
Conditions Chance of Rain Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:56 PM
Source: NWS at 11:55 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Bladen
Wednesday Night and Thursday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Thursday Night and Friday
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 42 | 40 58 | 43 57 | 45 49 | 45
Wind 2 mph NE 5 mph ENE 6 mph SSW 6 mph SSW
Humidity 93% 57% 66% 89%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 20% 20%
Cloud Cover 46% 53% 61% 70%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 11:55 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Bladen
Thursday Night and Friday
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 45 | 45 60 | 45 57 | 43 47 | 41
Wind 5 mph SW 8 mph NNW 6 mph North 7 mph North
Humidity 90% 57% 62% 77%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 20% 20%
Cloud Cover 73% 76% 68% 61%
Conditions Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 11:55 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Bladen
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 41 | 37 55 | 36 53 | 36 47 | 41
Wind 9 mph NNE 7 mph ENE 5 mph NNW 7 mph North
Humidity 82% 50% 54% 77%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 10% 20%
Cloud Cover 55% 49% 45% 61%
Conditions Chance of Rain Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
5:57 PM
BestForecast (what's this?)
Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
February 12, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KILM) 59 °F 37 °F
Record (KILM) 78 °F (1965) 14 °F (1899)
Yesterday 57 °F 47 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 13
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
Feb. 12, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:02 AM EST 5:53 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:36 AM EST 6:19 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:06 AM EST 6:48 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:37 AM EST 7:18 PM EST
Moon 11:30 PM EST 9:36 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 42m
Length of Day
10h 51m
Tomorrow will be 1m 58s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 77% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
59 °F
Hatteras
57 °F
Wilmington
55 °F
Southport
53 °F
Beaufort
53 °F
Piney Island
12 °F
Jefferson
17 °F
Asheville
19 °F
Franklin
21 °F
North Wilkesboro
21 °F
Hickory
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Travel Planning
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Elizabethtown 28 °F Clear 12:55 AM EST
Whiteville 30 °F Clear 12:35 AM EST
Wilmington 30 °F Clear 11:53 PM EST
Clinton 28 °F Clear 12:35 AM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
No flights were found.
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KEYF)
Wind Speed: 14.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 310° (NW)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KEYF 120555Z AUTO 31014G22KT 10SM CLR M02/M16 A3007 RMK AO2

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 63 °F
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 12, 2012 Mostly Cloudy, 45 °F
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 16, 2012 Clear, 63 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
HADS CAPE FEAR RIVER AT LOCK #1 NEAR NC, Riegelwood, NC - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 49 ft 11:45 PM EST MADIS
RAWS TURNBULL CREEK NC, Elizabethtown, NC 28 °F 21 °F 2 °F 32% NNW  at  7 mph 0.00 in / hr 100 ft 12:18 AM EST MADIS
KD4JRX HORSE BRANCH RD, WATHA, NC 27.3 °F 17 °F - - WNW  at  12.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 58 ft 12:51 AM EST Normal  
St. Helena, Burgaw, NC 28.6 °F 24 °F 11 °F 48% WNW  at  4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 49 ft 12:30 AM EST Normal
Whiteville, NC 27.7 °F 28 °F 6 °F 40% NW  at  1.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 88 ft 12:49 AM EST Normal  
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Special Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 12:48 AM EST on February 12, 2012

... Arctic blast to bring wind chills into the single digits early
this morning...

Falling temperatures combined with brisk northwest winds will make
it feel like temperatures are in the single digits to around 10
degrees early this morning.

Maximum temperatures will struggle to reach the lower 40s today.
This combined with breezy conditions will make it feel as though
temperatures are in the 20s to low 30s much of this afternoon.

Layered clothing... gloves... and ear protection will help greatly.



1049 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2012

... An Arctic blast will drop wind chills into the single numbers
late tonight and Sunday morning...

Evening winds have been frequently gusting to 30 to 40 mph and as
high as around 50 mph along the Cape Fear coast. Winds will begin to
slowly diminish after midnight.

Falling temperatures will combine with the wind to make it feel as
if it were in the single numbers to around 10 degrees at times late
tonight and Sunday morning. The actual temperature will drop to 20
to 25 degrees overnight.

Not much of a temperature recovery is expected on Sunday. The
Mercury will struggle to reach above 40 degrees and for much of
the day it will feel as if it is below freezing. The incoming air
mass will also be very dry with afternoon relative humidity around
20 percent.

Exposed plumbing will be susceptible to freezing and preventative
measures are suggested to prevent damage.

Rjd







1048 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2012

... An Arctic blast will drop wind chills into the single numbers
late tonight and Sunday morning...

Evening winds have been frequently gusting to 30 to 40 mph and as
high as around 50 mph along the Cape Fear coast. Winds will begin to
slowly diminish after midnight.

Falling temperatures will combine with the wind to make it feel as
if it were in the single numbers to around 10 degrees at times late
tonight and Sunday morning. The actual temperature will drop to 20
to 25 degrees overnight.

Not much of a temperature recovery is expected on Sunday. The
Mercury will struggle to reach above 40 degrees and for much of
the day it will feel as if it is below freezing. The incoming air
mass will also be very dry with afternoon relative humidity around
20 percent.

Exposed plumbing will be susceptible to freezing and preventative
measures are suggested to prevent damage.

Rjd






333 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2012

... Enhanced fire weather danger through Sunday...

Gusty winds along with critical relative humidity will result in
an enhanced fire weather danger through Sunday. Winds will
increase tonight in the wake of an Arctic cold front and the
relative humidity will drop below critical thresholds during
Sunday. The last weather system failed to provide any significant
rainfall to the region... thus fuels are dry.

For these reasons... a significant fire growth potential exists
through Sunday. Small fires could quickly grow out of control and
any type of burning is discouraged.

Winds will gradually diminish during Sunday afternoon... and light
winds will prevail by Monday. However... low relative humidity will
persist through Monday given the dry Arctic air-mass that will be
in place over the area.


Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 9:26 PM EST on February 11, 2012

... High winds across southeast NC and northeast SC...

Strong northwest flow has allowed for high winds to usher across
the Carolinas. The following are wind gusts from southeast NC and
northeast SC mesonet sites and Airport automated observations as of
900 PM.



--Location-- --time-- --wind gust--

.Pender County NC...
Watha-Horse Branch Rd... ... . 649 PM 28 mph
Holly shelter-Back Island... 818 PM 41 mph
Hampstead-Castle Bay... ... .. 652 PM 29 mph
N Topsail Beach-marker 3... . 652 PM 48 mph
N Topsail Beach-Fire Dept... 807 PM 25 mph

.New Hanover County NC...
Castle Hayne-cfcc N Campus.. 654 PM 22 mph
wilm-Middle Sound loop Rd... 654 PM 24 mph
Wrightsville bch-Mercer pier 824 PM 48 mph
Wrightsville Beach-stone St. 837 PM 33 mph
Wilmington-state port... ... . 723 PM 48 mph
Wilmington Intl Airport-kilm 826 PM 45 mph

.Brunswick County NC...
Supply-nature conservancy... 818 PM 37 mph
Sunny Point military terminl 818 PM 32 mph
Bald Head Island-West Beach. 730 PM 52 mph
Southport-Cape Fear pilots.. 720 PM 39 mph
Sunset Harbor... ... ... ... ... 808 PM 30 mph

.Columbus County NC...
Whiteville-2 miles west... .. 618 PM 36 mph

.Bladen County NC...
Bladen Lakes State Forest... 818 PM 36 mph

.Robeson County NC...
Lumberton Airport-klbt... ... 554 PM 39 mph

.Horry County SC...
Loris-farm at Fox Bay... ... . 837 PM 29 mph
Myrtle Beach-springmaid pier 824 PM 34 mph
Socastee-Bay Road... ... ... .. 650 PM 23 mph
Socastee-near schwartz plant 820 PM 42 mph
north Myrtle Airport-kcre... 741 PM 35 mph
Myrtle Beach Airport-kmyr... 745 PM 30 mph

.Georgetown County SC...
North Inlet-Winyah Bay... ... 745 PM 33 mph

.Florence County SC...
Florence-farm subdivision... 654 PM 24 mph
Florence Airport-kflo... ... . 829 PM 39 mph

.Marlboro County SC...
Bennettsville-Justice complex 839 PM 28 mph
Bennettsville-County EOC... . 644 PM 30 mph

.Williamsburg County SC...
Hemingway... ... ... ... ... ... . 808 PM 25 mph

.Marine observations...
Buoy 41038-5 mi se writsvl b 837 PM 38 mph
buoy 41037-35 mi se wrtsvl b 837 PM 38 mph
buoy 41013-Frying Pan Shoals 833 PM 45 mph


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