Rain likely...mainly in the evening. Breezy with lows in the upper 40s. North winds around 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Friday
Cloudy with a chance of rain or drizzle. Breezy with highs in the mid 50s. North winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
* Flood Warning for the Neuse River at Smithfield. * From late tonight to Saturday evening... or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:30 am Wednesday the stage was 6.1 feet. * Flood stage is 15.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast... rise above flood stage late tonight and continue to rise to near 17.9 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon. * Impact... at 18.0 feet... sewer blockage may occur.
The following are the latest observations and 8am forecast stages for the next several days...
fld observed forecast 8 am location stg stg day time Thu Fri Sat sun Mon
Neuse River Smithfield 15 6.1 Wed 11 am 16.3 17.9 15.6 12.7 9.6
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add the following to the stage: smithfield: 99.26
1245 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2009
The National Weather Service in rah has issued a
* Flood Warning for the Neuse River near Clayton. * From this evening to Friday evening... or until the warning is cancelled. * At 12:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 5.8 feet. * Flood stage is 9.0 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast... rise above flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 11.9 feet tomorrow afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Friday afternoon. * Impact... at 12.0 feet... only minor flooding on the immediate banks of the river is expected.
The following are the latest observations and 8am forecast stages for the next several days...
fld observed forecast 8 am location stg stg day time Thu Fri Sat sun Mon
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add the following to the stage: clayton: 128.41
Flash Flood Watch
Statement as of 10:17 PM EST on November 11, 2009
... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Thursday evening...
The Flash Flood Watch continues for
* a portion of central North Carolina... including the following areas... Cumberland... Durham... Edgecombe... Franklin... Granville... Halifax... Harnett... Johnston... Nash... Orange... person... Sampson... Vance... wake... Warren... Wayne and Wilson.
* Through Thursday evening
* generally between 2.5 and 5 inches of rain has fallen since late Tuesday. An additional 1 to 2 inches of rain is likely tonight through Thursday... with locally up to 3 additional inches possible... mainly north of Raleigh. Periods of moderate to heavy rain will continue through Thursday. The soil has become saturated and any additional rainfall will runoff. This may lead to flash flooding.
*The heavy rain will make driving hazardous. The long duration of the rain may produce flooding along flood prone creeks and streams especially in urban areas across the Piedmont... sandhills... and coastal plain. A few locations which may see flooding include Crabtree creek through the Raleigh area... Cross Creek in Fayetteville.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
Most flash flood deaths occur in vehicles. Do not drive into areas where water covers the roadway... and never drive around police barricades. Rising water can rapidly engulf a vehicle and its occupants. If your vehicle stalls in water... abandon it immediately... and seek higher ground. Be especially cautious at night since it is harder to recognize the dangerous of flooding.
Flooding is a very dangerous situation. People are urged to monitor forecasts and conditions... and be prepared to take action should flash flood warnings be issued.
Badgett
Wind Advisory
Statement as of 10:28 PM EST on November 11, 2009
... Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6 am EST Friday...
A Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6 am EST Friday.
An intensifying low pressure off of the North Carolina coast will combine with strong high pressure to our north to produce strong winds tonight into Friday morning. Sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph are likely... with frequent gusts to between 30 and 40 mph. A few gusts to between 40 and 45 mph can be expected.
The soils have become saturated in the past 24 hours. The strong and gusty wind combined with the wet ground will likely knock down some trees. Scattered power outages are likely... especially in the more urban areas.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
A Wind Advisory means that winds of 31 to 39 mph are expected... with gusts to 45 mph. Winds this strong can make driving difficult... especially for high profile vehicles. Drivers should use extra caution. Be alert for possible branches and other tree debris in the roadway.
Record Report
Statement as of 1:30 am EST on November 11, 2009
... Record daily maximum rainfall set at Raleigh-Durham Intl Airport NC...
a record rainfall of 0.88 inches was set at Raleigh-Durham Intl Airport NC yesterday. This breaks the old record of 0.86 set in 1955.
Public Information Statement
Statement as of 5:50 PM EST on November 11, 2009
The following are unofficial rainfall reports from ASOS and AWOS sites... and cooperative and cocorahs observers for the ongoing rainfall event. These totals are storm total amounts... as of the time of observation.
Updated for official storm totals through 500 PM for the following:
Alamance County... Burlington 0.8nnw 2.45 800 am Graham 1.95 800 am Anson County... Blewett lake 1.75 800 am Chatham County... Pittsboro 5.4nw 2.16 800 am Goldston 4n 2.05 800 am Siler City 2.02 800 am Cumberland County... Fay Airport 3.76 100 PM Fayetteville 2.00 800 am Fort Bragg 2.56 800 am Davidson County... Lexington 2.35 800 am Durham County... Durham 2.00 800 am Durham 1.2nw 2.01 800 am Durham 6.2s 1.82 800 am Edgecombe County... Tarboro 1.10 800 am Franklin County... Louisburg 1.51 800 am Louisburg 8.2ese 1.29 800 am Youngsville 4.1se 2.01 800 am Youngsville 1.2e 2.14 800 am Forsyth County... int Airport 2.32 100 PM Rural Hall 2.04 800 am Winston Salem 0.6s 1.89 800 am Lewisville 4.2n 2.38 800 am Guilford County... Browns Summit 3nw 1.88 800 am gso Airport 2.40 500 PM Greensboro 1.85 800 am Greensboro 1.4sw 2.09 800 am Greensboro 6.5sse 2.19 800 am Halifax County... Enfield 0.92 800 am Roanoke Rapids 1.10 800 am Scotland Neck 0.92 800 am Roanoke rpds 4.5nw 0.94 800 am Harnett County... Coats 0.7w 1.94 800 am Hoke County... Raeford 2.19 800 am Johnston County... Clayton 5.8s 2.37 800 am Clayton 2.1w 2.18 800 am Clayton 1.3ssw 4.04 1000 am Clayton 4.6ese 2.35 800 am Clayton 5.7sse 2.17 800 am Clayton WRF 2.70 800 am Kenly 6.6nw 2.27 800 am Middlesex 5.2sw 2.36 800 am Smithfield 1.74 800 am Wendell 6.5s 1.98 800 am Montgomery County... Jackson Springs 2.12 800 am Tillery dam 2.80 800 am Moore County... Carthage 6.0s 3.75 200 PM Nash County... Nashville 3.2w 1.56 800 am rwi Airport 2.80 100 PM Orange County... Chapel HIll 1.80 800 am Hillsborough 7.4nw 1.97 800 am Hillsborough 4.9sw 2.33 800 am Mebane 6.2ene 2.08 800 am Person County... Roxboro 1.68 800 am Randolph County... Asheboro 1.2sw 2.28 800 am Asheboro 2.2sse 2.36 800 am Richmond County... Rockingham 0.6wsw 1.90 800 am Scotland County... laurnbg-Maxton 2.22 800 am Laurinburg 2.70 800 am Stanly County... Stanfield 4.5sse 2.68 800 am Vance County... Henderson NNE 1.56 800 am Henderson 2nnw 1.95 800 am Wake County... rdu Airport 3.36 500 PM apex 2.04 800 am Cary 2.00 800 am Cary 3.85 400 PM New Hill 1.83 800 am apex 1.5e 2.05 800 am apex 3.5w 1.91 800 am apex 3.4ese 1.94800 am apex 6.1ese 2.12 800 am Cary 0.4nnw 2.11 800 am Garner 5.6s 1.89 800 am Holly sprgs 6ene 2.46 800 am Holly sprgs 1.8ese 1.87 800 am Holly sprgs 1.1ese 1.83 800 am Holly sprgs 2ese 1.79 800 am Holly sprgs 3.6sse 1.72 800 am Holly sprgs 1.8sw 2.32 800 am Knightdale 2.6ssw 1.85 800 am Knightdale 1.9wsw 1.93 800 am Knightdale 1.3wsw 3.10 130 PM Raleigh 5.7ene 3.50 200 PM Raleigh 3.3e 3.83 400 PM Raleigh 10.3n 1.90 800 am Raleigh 8.4n 2.19 800 am Raleigh 3.1ne 2.46 800 am Raleigh 3.3ene 2.02 800 am Raleigh 5.7ene 2.10 800 am Raleigh 7.5nne 3.73 100 PM Raleigh 2.2n 1.78 800 am Raleigh 6.8nne 2.08 800 am Raleigh (ncsu) 4.02 500 PM Wake Forest 4.6sw 2.40 800 am Wake Forest 4.2sw 1.68 800 am Willow sprgs 4.5se 1.97 800 am Zebulon 0.6w 1.93 800 am Wayne County... Goldsboro apt 1.25 800 am Goldsboro 1.35 800 am Goldsboro 4.4e 1.33 800 am Goldsboro 1.5ne 3.21 1200 PM Pikeville 6.2wsw 1.35 800 am Wilson County... Wilson 2.1nnw 1.41 800 am Wilson 1.40 800 am