Ash, NC

7:36 AM EST on February 12, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 39 ft
Lon: 78.5° W
Lat: 34.1° N
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Active Advisory: Special Weather Statement (US Severe Weather) Active Notice: Public Information Statement
Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, February 12, 2012.

The East dries out on Sunday, but wet weather continues moving through the West. A trough of low pressure advances eastward over the Great Basin and Central Rockies, producing moderate snow showers over Utah and Colorado. Winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of western Colorado as snowfall accumulations may reach from 6 to 8 inches by Sunday evening. Most of Utah, western Wyoming, and northern New Mexico should see lighter snow showers with accumulation around 1 to 2 inches. The tail end of this trough will extend into western Texas, bringing snow and freezing rain showers into northwestern Texas. Precipitation from this system will move into the Texas Panhandle late Sunday into Monday morning. Winter storm warnings have been issued for the region as 3 to 5 inches of snow are possible, with ice accumulations from 0.10 to 0.30 inches by Sunday evening. This will cause dangerous roads and travel conditions.

Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure and associated cold front approach the West Coast on Sunday. This system will reach the coasts of the Pacific Northwest and northern California in the afternoon and evening hours, bringing more rain showers. Temperatures will remain cool over most of the West Coast as this system pushes clouds and moisture onshore.

In the East, a strong ridge of high pressure allows for dry, sunny, and cool weather to persist. This system creates strong flow from the north, pushing cold air into the Plains and Eastern Valleys. Expect highs to range in the 20s in the Midwest, while the Ohio River Valley and Tennessee Valleys will see highs in the 30s. Freeze advisories have been issued for the Gulf states as low temperatures will drop into the 20s Sunday night. Dangerous fire conditions spread over the Southeastern states due to high pressure creating a very dry airmas with strong winds.
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, February 12, 2012.

The East dries out on Sunday, but wet weather continues moving through the West. A trough of low pressure advances eastward over the Great Basin and Central Rockies, producing moderate snow showers over Utah and Colorado. Winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of western Colorado as snowfall accumulations may reach from 6 to 8 inches by Sunday evening. Most of Utah, western Wyoming, and northern New Mexico should see lighter snow showers with accumulation around 1 to 2 inches. The tail end of this trough will extend into western Texas, bringing snow and freezing rain showers into northwestern Texas. Precipitation from this system will move into the Texas Panhandle late Sunday into Monday morning. Winter storm warnings have been issued for the region as 3 to 5 inches of snow are possible, with ice accumulations from 0.10 to 0.30 inches by Sunday evening. This will cause dangerous roads and travel conditions.

Meanwhile, another trough of low pressure and associated cold front approach the West Coast on Sunday. This system will reach the coasts of the Pacific Northwest and northern California in the afternoon and evening hours, bringing more rain showers. Temperatures will remain cool over most of the West Coast as this system pushes clouds and moisture onshore.

In the East, a strong ridge of high pressure allows for dry, sunny, and cool weather to persist. This system creates strong flow from the north, pushing cold air into the Plains and Eastern Valleys. Expect highs to range in the 20s in the Midwest, while the Ohio River Valley and Tennessee Valleys will see highs in the 30s. Freeze advisories have been issued for the Gulf states as low temperatures will drop into the 20s Sunday night. Dangerous fire conditions spread over the Southeastern states due to high pressure creating a very dry airmas with strong winds.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Ash Weather at a Glance
Updated 7:36 AM EST
Elevation
43 ft
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Now
Clear
Clear
Temperature
26.1 °F
Feels Like 26 °F
Wind(mph)
0.0
Sunrise / Set
7:02 AM
5:54 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Today
Clear 41 °F
Clear
Tonight
Clear 20 °F
Clear
Tomorrow
Clear 52 | 34 °F
Clear
Tuesday
Rain Showers 56 | 43 °F
Rain Showers
30% chance of precipitation
Wednesday
Partly Cloudy 63 | 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Thursday
Partly Cloudy 63 | 45 °F
Partly Cloudy
Today is forecast to be Much Cooler than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
30.15 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Clear -
Moisture
Humidity
77%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KCPC 121235Z AUTO 31005KT 10SM CLR M03/M16 A3021 RMK AO2
Don't speak METAR? Read our FAQ.
Weather Radio
Launch Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
26 °F
Dew Point
20 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
Calm
Wind Gust
0.0 mph
Health
UV
0 out of 16
Pollen
4.70 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Today
sunny Sunny and cold. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Wind chill values as low as 8 above this morning.
Tonight
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph...becoming west in the afternoon.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Tuesday
chancerain Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers...mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Wednesday and Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Lows in the lower 40s.
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s.
Thursday Night
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Friday
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning... then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Source: NWS at 6:23 am EST on February 12, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 28420
Sunday, 12
Clear
41 | 20 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Clear
52 | 34 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Rain Showers
56 | 43 °F
Rain Showers
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Partly Cloudy
63 | 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Partly Cloudy
63 | 45 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Friday, 17
Chance of Rain
63 | 40 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Saturday, 18
Partly Cloudy
58 | NA
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 6:23 am EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Today
sunny Sunny and cold. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Wind chill values as low as 8 above this morning.
Tonight
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 24 | 6 37 | 5 36 | 11 28 | 15
Wind 15 mph NW 14 mph NNW 8 mph WNW 2 mph West
Humidity 45% 27% 35% 57%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 0% 0%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:02 AM
5:54 PM
Source: NWS at 6:23 am EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Monday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph...becoming west in the afternoon.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 25 | 15 47 | 15 46 | 21 37 | 26
Wind 0 mph NW 1 mph WNW 2 mph SW 2 mph South
Humidity 63% 27% 39% 65%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 10%
Cloud Cover 0% 5% 25% 52%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:01 AM
5:55 PM
Source: NWS at 6:23 am EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Tuesday
chancerain Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers...mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 30 51 | 39 51 | 44 46 | 45
Wind 0 mph SSW 5 mph SW 5 mph SSW 5 mph South
Humidity 86% 61% 76% 96%
Chance of Precip. 10% 30% 30% 30%
Cloud Cover 76% 88% 89% 89%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Rain Showers Rain Showers Rain Showers
Sunrise & Sunset
7:00 AM
5:56 PM
Source: NWS at 6:23 am EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Wednesday and Wednesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Lows in the lower 40s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 43 58 | 45 55 | 45 48 | 43
Wind 6 mph WNW 4 mph North 2 mph NNW 2 mph NW
Humidity 99% 64% 69% 86%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 78% 73% 57% 40%
Conditions Chance of Rain Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 6:23 am EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Thursday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s.
Thursday Night
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 44 | 43 58 | 45 57 | 47 50 | 47
Wind 1 mph NNE 5 mph NE 7 mph SSW 7 mph SW
Humidity 97% 62% 71% 92%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 46% 53% 62% 71%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
5:58 PM
Source: NWS at 6:23 am EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Friday
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning... then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 46 | 45 60 | 47 57 | 45 49 | 42
Wind 6 mph SW 8 mph NNW 6 mph North 9 mph North
Humidity 99% 62% 67% 80%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 20% 20%
Cloud Cover 73% 75% 69% 63%
Conditions Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
5:58 PM
Source: NWS at 6:23 am EST on February 12, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 42 | 39 55 | 38 53 | 40 49 | 42
Wind 11 mph NE 7 mph East 7 mph NNW 9 mph North
Humidity 85% 53% 60% 80%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 10% 20%
Cloud Cover 57% 51% 48% 63%
Conditions Chance of Rain Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
5:58 PM
BestForecast (what's this?)
Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
February 12, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KCRE) 57 °F 37 °F
Record (KCRE) 73 °F (2009) 22 °F (1955)
Yesterday 56 °F 30 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 22
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Coastal Water Temperatures
Place Temperature
Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 53.1 °F
Springmaid Pier, SC 53.1 °F
Marine Forecast
Astronomy
Feb. 12, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:02 AM EST 5:54 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:36 AM EST 6:20 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:07 AM EST 6:49 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:37 AM EST 7:19 PM EST
Moon 11:30 PM EST 9:37 AM EST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 43m
Length of Day
10h 52m
Tomorrow will be 1m 55s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 74% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
32 °F
Hatteras
32 °F
Manteo
31 °F
Kill Devil Hills
30 °F
Whiteville
30 °F
Southport
10 °F
Jefferson
15 °F
Asheville
15 °F
Franklin
17 °F
Andrews
18 °F
Burlington
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Whiteville 27 °F Clear 7:35 AM EST
North Myrtle Beach 26 °F Clear 6:53 AM EST
Southport 25 °F Clear 7:15 AM EST
Myrtle Beach 27 °F Clear 6:45 AM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
NKS379
Atlantic City, NJ 		KMYR 07:44AM On Time
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KCPC)
Wind Speed: 5.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 0° (North)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KCPC 121235Z AUTO 31005KT 10SM CLR M03/M16 A3021 RMK AO2

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
Simone 7:00 PM EST 2012-02-16 Fog, 57°F
Les Ballets Trockadero De Monte Carlo 8:00 PM EST 2012-02-18 Partly Cloudy, 49°F
Mike Birbiglia 7:00 PM EST 2012-02-19 Partly Cloudy, 45°F
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 63 °F
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 12, 2012 Mostly Cloudy, 45 °F
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 16, 2012 Clear, 61 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Jim's Car Care Inc., Ocean Isle Beach, NC 26.1 °F 26 °F 20 °F 77% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 43 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
Wyndfall At Sandpiper Bay, Sunset Beach, NC 24.9 °F 21 °F 8 °F 47% NNW  at  3.4 mph 0.00 in / hr 20 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
Calabash, Calabash, NC 25.5 °F 19 °F 2 °F 35% NW  at  5.4 mph 0.00 in / hr 37 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire  
Calabash, Calabash, NC 26.1 °F 17 °F 2 °F 35% North  at  8.5 mph 0.00 in / hr 33 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
OIB Bridge, Ocean Isle Beach, NC 25.8 °F 14 °F 6 °F 43% NNE  at  14.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 65 ft 7:35 AM EST Normal  
Shallotte Point, Shallotte, NC 24.5 °F 17 °F 6 °F 46% WNW  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 42 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire  
RAWS NATURE CONSERVANCY NC, Holden Beach, NC 26 °F 17 °F 3 °F 36% NNW  at  9 mph 0.00 in / hr 60 ft 6:18 AM EST MADIS
Lafayette Park, Little River, SC 25.3 °F 16 °F 0 °F 33% NW  at  9.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 20 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
Hidden Lakes Village, Little River, SC 25.0 °F 25 °F 6 °F 44% NW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 43 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
RAWS NC FIRE RAWS #3 NC, Bolton, NC 25 °F 25 °F 6 °F 43% ENE  at  1 mph 0.00 in / hr 39 ft 6:49 AM EST MADIS
The Lakes at Plantation Pines, Longs, SC 25.9 °F 19 °F 5 °F 41% NNW  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 24 ft 7:35 AM EST Rapid Fire  
MARITIME , Shallotte, NC 29 °F 14 °F - - NNW  at  27 mph 0.00 in / hr 0 ft 6:00 AM EST MADIS
Sea Watch One, Bolivia, NC 25.0 °F 19 °F 6 °F 43% West  at  4.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 39 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire  
River Run Plantation, Sunset Harbor, NC 25.8 °F 26 °F 4 °F 39% NNW  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 34 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
The Farm at Fox Bay, Loris, SC 24.0 °F 13 °F 7 °F 48% NNW  at  11.5 mph 0.00 in / hr 108 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
Loris Hospital, Loris, SC 25.0 °F 25 °F 8 °F 49% West  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 100 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
HWY 9 BUS. WEST., Loris, SC 24.5 °F 19 °F 9 °F 52% West  at  4.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 99 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
RAWS WHITEVILLE NC, Whiteville, NC 25 °F 16 °F 5 °F 42% NW  at  8 mph 0.00 in / hr 100 ft 6:18 AM EST MADIS
Whiteville, NC 24.2 °F 24 °F 6 °F 46% NNW  at  2.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 88 ft 7:21 AM EST Normal  
Bob's Appliance Repair, Bolivia, NC 26.4 °F 20 °F 8 °F 46% NNE  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 39 ft 7:36 AM EST Rapid Fire
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Special Weather Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 2:59 AM EST on February 12, 2012

... Enhanced fire danger today...

Despite very cold air entrenched across the region... exceedingly
dry air will allow relative humidity values to drop to between 20
and 25 percent this afternoon. Gusty northwest winds of 20 to 30
mph this morning... will taper off to 15 to 20 mph this afternoon.

These factors... combined with an overall lack of rainfall across the
area... will increase the fire growth potential today... particularly
in grasses... leaves and bushes. Controlled burning is discouraged
today due to gusty winds and very dry air.


8




202 am EST sun Feb 12 2012

... Enhanced fire danger today...

Despite very cold air entrenched across the region... exceedingly
dry air will allow relative humidity values to drop to between 20
and 25 percent this afternoon. Gusty northwest winds of 20 to 30
mph this morning... will taper off to 15 to 20 mph this afternoon.

These factors... combined an overall lack of rainfall across the
area... will increase the fire growth potential today... particularly
in grasses... leaves and bushes. Controlled burning is discouraged
today due to gusty winds and very dry air.




1248 am EST sun Feb 12 2012

... Arctic blast to bring wind chills into the single digits early
this morning...

Falling temperatures combined with brisk northwest winds will make
it feel like temperatures are in the single digits to around 10
degrees early this morning.

Maximum temperatures will struggle to reach the lower 40s today.
This combined with breezy conditions will make it feel as though
temperatures are in the 20s to low 30s much of this afternoon.

Layered clothing... gloves... and ear protection will help greatly.




333 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2012

... Enhanced fire weather danger through Sunday...

Gusty winds along with critical relative humidity will result in
an enhanced fire weather danger through Sunday. Winds will
increase tonight in the wake of an Arctic cold front and the
relative humidity will drop below critical thresholds during
Sunday. The last weather system failed to provide any significant
rainfall to the region... thus fuels are dry.

For these reasons... a significant fire growth potential exists
through Sunday. Small fires could quickly grow out of control and
any type of burning is discouraged.

Winds will gradually diminish during Sunday afternoon... and light
winds will prevail by Monday. However... low relative humidity will
persist through Monday given the dry Arctic air-mass that will be
in place over the area.



Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 5:19 am EST on February 12, 2012

... Peak wind gusts across southeast North Carolina and northeast
South Carolina...

Arctic high pressure plunged into the area late yesterday and overnight.
The following are peak wind gusts recorded across the area from our local
mesonet sites and Airport automated observations.


--Location-- --wind gust--

.Pender County NC...

Watha-Horse Branch Rd... ... . 28 mph
Holly shelter-Back Island... 41 mph
Hampstead-Castle Bay... ... .. 41 mph
N Topsail Beach-marker 3... . 56 mph
N Topsail Beach-Fire Dept... 36 mph

.New Hanover County NC...

Wrightsville bch-Mercer pier 48 mph
Wrightsville Beach-stone St. 39 mph
Wilmington-state port... ... . 48 mph
Wilmington Intl Airport-kilm 45 mph

.Brunswick County NC...

Supply-nature conservancy... 38 mph
Sunny Point military terminl 33 mph
Bald Head Island-West Beach. 52 mph
Southport-Cape Fear pilots.. 39 mph
Sunset Harbor... ... ... ... ... 32 mph

.Columbus County NC...
Whiteville-2 miles west... .. 40 mph

.Bladen County NC...
Bladen Lakes State Forest... 36 mph

.Robeson County NC...
Lumberton Airport-klbt... ... 40 mph

.Horry County SC...

Loris-farm at Fox Bay... ... . 29 mph
Myrtle Beach-springmaid pier 38 mph
Socastee-near schwartz plant 42 mph
north Myrtle Airport-kcre... 35 mph
Myrtle Beach Airport-kmyr... 32 mph

.Georgetown County SC...
North Inlet-Winyah Bay... ... 36 mph

.Florence County SC...
Florence Airport-kflo... ... . 39 mph

.Marlboro County SC...

Bennettsville-Justice complex 33 mph
Bennettsville-County EOC... . 35 mph

.Marine observations...

Buoy 41038-5 mi se writsvl b 38 mph
buoy 41037-35 mi se wrtsvl b 38 mph
buoy 41013-Frying Pan Shoals 45 mph


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