Ash, NC

8:28 PM EST on February 11, 2012 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 39 ft
Lon: 78.5° W
Lat: 34.1° N
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Active Advisory: Special Statement (US Severe Weather)
Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground midday recap for Saturday, February 11, 2012.

Cold air poured into the Plains on Saturday, while snow showers developed in parts of the Northeast. A strong low pressure system that brought heavy rain to the Southern Plains and Southeast has advanced eastward and off the East Coast into the Atlantic Ocean. However, counter-clockwise flow around this system continued to push moisture into the Northeast, Great Lakes, and Ohio River Valley. In addition to cool air over the region, this allowed for snow showers to develop across Michigan and the Ohio River Valley. Snowfall accumulations ranged from 1 to 3 inches in most areas, with up to 5 inches at higher elevations of the Central Appalachians. Coastal regions remained slightly warmer, which maintained light rain showers from southern Maine through Virginia.

Behind this system, a dominant ridge of high pressure continued to build over the Plains. This system started to stretch eastward over the Mississippi Valley. Flow around this system pulled cold air in from central Canada and kept seasonable cool temperatures over the Central US. High temperatures only reached into the 30s in parts of northern Texas, while the Central and Northern Plains saw highs in the teens, with overnight lows in the negative teens.

Out West, cool conditions persisted with areas of wet weather as a trough of low pressure moved over the Pacific Northwest and into the Intermountain West and Great Basin. Rainfall totals and high elevation snow accumulation remained light. A few light rain showers extended into California as moist onshore flow persisted.
Weather Underground midday recap for Saturday, February 11, 2012.

Cold air poured into the Plains on Saturday, while snow showers developed in parts of the Northeast. A strong low pressure system that brought heavy rain to the Southern Plains and Southeast has advanced eastward and off the East Coast into the Atlantic Ocean. However, counter-clockwise flow around this system continued to push moisture into the Northeast, Great Lakes, and Ohio River Valley. In addition to cool air over the region, this allowed for snow showers to develop across Michigan and the Ohio River Valley. Snowfall accumulations ranged from 1 to 3 inches in most areas, with up to 5 inches at higher elevations of the Central Appalachians. Coastal regions remained slightly warmer, which maintained light rain showers from southern Maine through Virginia.

Behind this system, a dominant ridge of high pressure continued to build over the Plains. This system started to stretch eastward over the Mississippi Valley. Flow around this system pulled cold air in from central Canada and kept seasonable cool temperatures over the Central US. High temperatures only reached into the 30s in parts of northern Texas, while the Central and Northern Plains saw highs in the teens, with overnight lows in the negative teens.

Out West, cool conditions persisted with areas of wet weather as a trough of low pressure moved over the Pacific Northwest and into the Intermountain West and Great Basin. Rainfall totals and high elevation snow accumulation remained light. A few light rain showers extended into California as moist onshore flow persisted.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Ash Weather at a Glance
Updated 8:28 PM EST
Elevation
43 ft
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Now
Clear
Clear
Temperature
36.9 °F
Feels Like 37 °F
Wind(mph)
0.0
Sunrise / Set
7:03 AM
5:53 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Tonight
Clear 20 °F
Clear
Tomorrow
Clear 43 °F
Clear
Tomorrow Night
Clear 23 °F
Clear
Monday
Clear 52 | 34 °F
Clear
Tuesday
Chance of Rain 58 | 43 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Wednesday
Partly Cloudy 63 | 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tomorrow is forecast to be Much Cooler than today.
Conditions
Pressure
29.85 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Clear -
Moisture
Humidity
75%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KCPC 120115Z AUTO 30010G17KT 270V340 10SM CLR 02/M16 A2994 RMK AO2
Don't speak METAR? Read our FAQ.
Weather Radio
Launch Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
37 °F
Dew Point
30 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
Calm
Wind Gust
0.0 mph
Health
UV
0 out of 16
Pollen
4.70 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Overnight
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy early...then clearing. Breezy with lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill values as low as 7 above.
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 6 above in the morning.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds around 5 mph.
Tuesday and Tuesday Night
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Lows in the lower 40s.
Wednesday
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning... then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Wednesday Night and Thursday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Thursday Night and Friday
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 28420
Saturday, 11
Partly Cloudy
61 | 20 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Sunday, 12
Clear
43 | 23 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Clear
52 | 34 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 14
Chance of Rain
58 | 43 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Wednesday, 15
Partly Cloudy
63 | 41 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Thursday, 16
Partly Cloudy
63 | 45 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Friday, 17
Chance of Rain
63 | 40 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Saturday, 18
Partly Cloudy
58 | NA
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Overnight
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy early...then clearing. Breezy with lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill values as low as 7 above.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 45 | 41 52 | 41 50 | 19 29 | 10
Wind 4 mph WNW 13 mph NW 17 mph WNW 20 mph NW
Humidity 86% 66% 31% 42%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 20% 0%
Cloud Cover 87% 68% 52% 0%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:03 AM
5:53 PM
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Overnight
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy early...then clearing. Breezy with lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill values as low as 7 above.
Sunday
sunny Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 6 above in the morning.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 22 | 6 38 | 4 38 | 9 28 | 15
Wind 15 mph NW 14 mph NNW 9 mph WNW 5 mph WNW
Humidity 49% 24% 31% 57%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 0% 0% 1% 1%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:02 AM
5:54 PM
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Monday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds around 5 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 26 | 16 46 | 16 45 | 21 39 | 28
Wind 4 mph NW 4 mph NW 3 mph West 1 mph South
Humidity 66% 29% 37% 66%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 10%
Cloud Cover 2% 7% 26% 54%
Conditions Clear Clear Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:01 AM
5:55 PM
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Tuesday and Tuesday Night
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Lows in the lower 40s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 35 | 31 54 | 37 51 | 44 46 | 45
Wind 1 mph SSE 1 mph South 2 mph SSW 5 mph South
Humidity 83% 54% 75% 96%
Chance of Precip. 10% 40% 40% 40%
Cloud Cover 74% 81% 82% 82%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
7:00 AM
5:56 PM
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Wednesday
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning... then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Wednesday Night and Thursday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 43 | 43 58 | 45 55 | 45 48 | 43
Wind 6 mph WNW 4 mph North 2 mph NNW 2 mph NW
Humidity 99% 64% 70% 86%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 78% 73% 57% 40%
Conditions Chance of Rain Mostly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Wednesday Night and Thursday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Thursday Night and Friday
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 44 | 43 58 | 45 57 | 47 50 | 47
Wind 1 mph NNE 5 mph NE 7 mph SSW 7 mph SW
Humidity 97% 61% 71% 92%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 46% 53% 62% 71%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Thursday Night and Friday
nt_chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 46 | 45 60 | 47 57 | 45 49 | 42
Wind 6 mph SW 8 mph NNW 6 mph North 9 mph North
Humidity 96% 62% 67% 81%
Chance of Precip. 30% 30% 20% 20%
Cloud Cover 73% 75% 69% 63%
Conditions Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 5:56 PM EST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Inland Brunswick
Friday Night and Saturday
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 42 | 39 55 | 38 53 | 40 49 | 42
Wind 11 mph NE 7 mph East 7 mph NNW 9 mph North
Humidity 85% 53% 60% 81%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 10% 20%
Cloud Cover 57% 51% 48% 63%
Conditions Chance of Rain Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:57 PM
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Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
February 11, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KCRE) 57 °F 37 °F
Record (KCRE) 76 °F (1952) 20 °F (1989)
Yesterday 57 °F 33 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 20
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Coastal Water Temperatures
Place Temperature
Johnny Mercer Pier, Wrightsville Beach, NC 55.0 °F
Springmaid Pier, SC 55.0 °F
Marine Forecast
Astronomy
Feb. 11, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:03 AM EST 5:53 PM EST
Civil Twilight 6:37 AM EST 6:19 PM EST
Nautical Twilight 6:07 AM EST 6:49 PM EST
Astronomical Twilight 5:38 AM EST 7:18 PM EST
Moon 10:22 PM EST (2/11) 8:59 AM EST (2/11)
Length Of Visible Light 11h 42m
Length of Day
10h 50m
Tomorrow will be 1m 55s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 79% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
59 °F
Hatteras
57 °F
Wilmington
55 °F
Southport
53 °F
Beaufort
53 °F
Piney Island
12 °F
Jefferson
19 °F
Asheville
21 °F
Franklin
23 °F
North Wilkesboro
24 °F
Mount Airy
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Whiteville 36 °F Clear 8:15 PM EST
North Myrtle Beach 41 °F Clear 7:53 PM EST
Southport 37 °F Clear 8:15 PM EST
Myrtle Beach 43 °F Partly Cloudy 7:45 PM EST
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Flight To ETA Status
NKS347
New York, NY 		KMYR 08:42PM On Time
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KCPC)
Wind Speed: 10.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 0° (North)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KCPC 120115Z AUTO 30010G17KT 270V340 10SM CLR 02/M16 A2994 RMK AO2

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
Simone 7:00 PM EST 2012-02-16 Fog, 54°F
Les Ballets Trockadero De Monte Carlo 8:00 PM EST 2012-02-18 Partly Cloudy, 51°F
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 63 °F
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 12, 2012 Mostly Cloudy, 45 °F
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 16, 2012 Clear, 63 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Jim's Car Care Inc., Ocean Isle Beach, NC 36.9 °F 37 °F 30 °F 75% North  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 43 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
Wyndfall At Sandpiper Bay, Sunset Beach, NC 36.7 °F 32 °F 14 °F 39% NNW  at  6.1 mph 0.00 in / hr 20 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
Calabash, Calabash, NC 37.8 °F 32 °F 11 °F 33% West  at  8.3 mph 0.00 in / hr 37 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire  
Calabash, Calabash, NC 37.4 °F 34 °F 11 °F 33% NE  at  4.3 mph 0.00 in / hr 33 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
OIB Bridge, Ocean Isle Beach, NC 38.1 °F 29 °F 13 °F 35% North  at  18.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 65 ft 8:25 PM EST Normal  
Shallotte Point, Shallotte, NC 36.9 °F 29 °F 12 °F 35% NNW  at  12.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 42 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire  
RAWS NATURE CONSERVANCY NC, Holden Beach, NC 41 °F 34 °F 10 °F 28% North  at  12 mph 0.00 in / hr 60 ft 7:18 PM EST MADIS
Lafayette Park, Little River, SC 37.9 °F 27 °F 6 °F 26% NW  at  22.1 mph 0.00 in / hr 20 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
Hidden Lakes Village, Little River, SC 37.4 °F 33 °F 13 °F 36% NNW  at  5.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 43 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
RAWS NC FIRE RAWS #3 NC, Bolton, NC 41 °F 41 °F 15 °F 34% South  at  1 mph 0.00 in / hr 39 ft 7:49 PM EST MADIS
Sweet Home, Loris, SC 36.4 °F 29 °F 11 °F 35% WNW  at  10.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 35 ft 8:26 PM EST Normal  
The Lakes at Plantation Pines, Longs, SC 37.0 °F 29 °F 11 °F 36% NNW  at  12.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 24 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire  
MARITIME , Shallotte, NC 47 °F 38 °F - - NNW  at  31 mph 0.00 in / hr 0 ft 7:00 PM EST MADIS
Sea Watch One, Bolivia, NC 37.3 °F 33 °F 9 °F 31% SSW  at  5.8 mph 0.00 in / hr 39 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire  
River Run Plantation, Sunset Harbor, NC 38.2 °F 34 °F 6 °F 26% NNW  at  6.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 34 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
The Farm at Fox Bay, Loris, SC 35.2 °F 22 °F 9 °F 33% NW  at  27.6 mph 0.00 in / hr 108 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
Loris Hospital, Loris, SC 36.1 °F 29 °F 10 °F 34% NW  at  9.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 100 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
HWY 9 BUS. WEST., Loris, SC 35.6 °F 26 °F 11 °F 35% NW  at  17.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 99 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
RAWS WHITEVILLE NC, Whiteville, NC 37 °F 28 °F 7 °F 28% NW  at  15 mph 0.00 in / hr 100 ft 7:18 PM EST MADIS
Whiteville, NC 34.7 °F 35 °F 7 °F 32% WNW  at  3.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 88 ft 8:17 PM EST Normal  
Bob's Appliance Repair, Bolivia, NC 38.8 °F 33 °F 15 °F 37% NNW  at  8.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 39 ft 8:28 PM EST Rapid Fire
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Special Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 5:09 PM EST on February 11, 2012

... An Arctic blast will bring strong winds and cold...

The arrival of an Arctic blast this evening will bring strong
northwest winds. Winds this evening will gust up to 40 to 45 mph.
As temperatures tumble... the wind will make it feel as if it were
in the single numbers to around 10 degrees at times late tonight
and Sunday morning. The actual temperature will drop to 20 to 25
degrees overnight.

Not much of a temperature recovery is expected on Sunday. The
Mercury will struggle to reach above 40 degrees and for much of
the day it will feel as if it is below freezing. The incoming air
mass will also be very dry with afternoon relative humidity around
20 percent.

Any loose objects outside should be secured to prevent them from
being damaged. Exposed plumbing will be susceptible to freezing
and preventative measures are suggested to prevent damage.

Rjd



505 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2012

... An Arctic blast will bring strong winds and cold...

The arrival of an Arctic blast this evening will bring strong
northwest winds. Winds this evening will gust up to 40 to 45 mph.
As temperatures tumble... the wind will make it feel as if it were
in the single numbers to around 10 degrees at times late tonight
and Sunday morning. The actual temperature will drop to 20 to 25
degrees overnight.

Not much of a temperature recovery is expected on Sunday. The
Mercury will struggle to reach above 40 degrees and for much of
the day it will feel as if it is below freezing. The incoming air
mass will also be very dry with afternoon relative humidity around
20 percent.

Any loose objects outside should be secured to prevent them from
being damaged. Exposing plumbing will be susceptible to freezing
and preventative measures are suggested to prevent damage.

Rjd



333 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2012

... Enhanced fire weather danger through Sunday...

Gusty winds along with critical relative humidity will result in
an enhanced fire weather danger through Sunday. Winds will
increase tonight in the wake of an Arctic cold front and the
relative humidity will drop below critical thresholds during
Sunday. The last weather system failed to provide any significant
rainfall to the region... thus fuels are dry.

For these reasons... a significant fire growth potential exists
through Sunday. Small fires could quickly grow out of control and
any type of burning is discouraged.

Winds will gradually diminish during Sunday afternoon... and light
winds will prevail by Monday. However... low relative humidity will
persist through Monday given the dry Arctic air-mass that will be
in place over the area.