Natchez, MS

3:52 AM CDT on May 19, 2013 (GMT -0500)
Elev: 243 ft
Lon: 91.3° W
Lat: 31.5° N
Source
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Active Advisory: Flood Warning (US Severe Weather)
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Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, May 19, 2013.

Severe thunderstorm activity will persist for the Plains on Sunday as a broad low pressure system continues trekking through the region. The system will move from the Northern Plains and into the Great Lakes, creating two frontal boundaries. The warm front associated with this system will extend eastward over the Great Lakes and into the Northeast, kicking up scattered showers and thunderstorms into Sunday night. At the same time, a cold front extends southward from this system which will move off the Central Rockies and into the Central and Southern Plains. Counter-clockwise flow around this broad system will pull moisture and energy into the Plains from the Gulf of Mexico. This will support moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms in between these two fronts. This system has a history of severe thunderstorm development across the Northern and Central Plains, thus, there is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorm development with large hail, damaging winds, and multiple tornadoes. These severe thunderstorms will most likely develop across central and eastern Oklahoma, through eastern Kansas, and into western Missouri. A slight risk of severe storm development remains in effect from northern Texas, through southern Minnesota and Wisconsin on Sunday. At the same time, the back side of this system will continue spreading moisture over the Intermountain West and Rockies. This will trigger more showers with isolated thunderstorms over the region through Sunday evening.

Meanwhile in the East, a trough of low pressure slowly moves over the East Coast and maintains shower and thunderstorm activity for the Mid-Atlantic states through the Northeast.
Weather Underground Forecast for Sunday, May 19, 2013.

Severe thunderstorm activity will persist for the Plains on Sunday as a broad low pressure system continues trekking through the region. The system will move from the Northern Plains and into the Great Lakes, creating two frontal boundaries. The warm front associated with this system will extend eastward over the Great Lakes and into the Northeast, kicking up scattered showers and thunderstorms into Sunday night. At the same time, a cold front extends southward from this system which will move off the Central Rockies and into the Central and Southern Plains. Counter-clockwise flow around this broad system will pull moisture and energy into the Plains from the Gulf of Mexico. This will support moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms in between these two fronts. This system has a history of severe thunderstorm development across the Northern and Central Plains, thus, there is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorm development with large hail, damaging winds, and multiple tornadoes. These severe thunderstorms will most likely develop across central and eastern Oklahoma, through eastern Kansas, and into western Missouri. A slight risk of severe storm development remains in effect from northern Texas, through southern Minnesota and Wisconsin on Sunday. At the same time, the back side of this system will continue spreading moisture over the Intermountain West and Rockies. This will trigger more showers with isolated thunderstorms over the region through Sunday evening.

Meanwhile in the East, a trough of low pressure slowly moves over the East Coast and maintains shower and thunderstorm activity for the Mid-Atlantic states through the Northeast.
More News Articles

Natchez Weather at a Glance

Updated 3:35 AM CDT
Weather Station
Natchez (KHEZ)
Elevation
269 ft
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Now
Clear
Clear
Temperature
72 °F
Feels Like 72 °F
Wind(mph)
10
Sunrise / Set
6:06 AM
7:57 PM
Moon
Waxing Gibbous
Tonight
Partly Cloudy 68 °F
Partly Cloudy
Sunday
Partly Cloudy 88 °F
Partly Cloudy
Sunday Night
Partly Cloudy 70 °F
Partly Cloudy
Monday
Partly Cloudy 86 | 68 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday
Chance of a Thunderstorm 88 | 68 °F
Chance of a Thunderstorm
20% chance of precipitation
Wednesday
Chance of a Thunderstorm 82 | 68 °F
Chance of a Thunderstorm
20% chance of precipitation
Today is forecast to be nearly the same temperature as yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
29.97 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Clear -
Moisture
Humidity
88%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KHEZ 190835Z AUTO 18009KT 10SM CLR 22/20 A2997 RMK AO1
Don't speak METAR? Read our FAQ.
Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Temperature
72 °F
75,73,73,73,73,73,72,72,72,72,72,72,72
Dew Point
68 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
10 mph from South
Wind Gust
Health
UV
0 out of 16
Pollen
6.10 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
No Activity
View Flu Map
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Source: BestForecast
Descriptive Forecast
Sunday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 88F with a heat index of 93F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_partlycloudy Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 70F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph.
Monday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. High of 86F with a heat index of 91F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 68F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph.
Tuesday
partlycloudy Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 88F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Tuesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday
partlycloudy Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the afternoon. High of 82F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Wednesday Night
nt_chancetstorms Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Thursday
partlycloudy Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog early. High of 86F with a heat index of 91F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Friday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 90F with a heat index of 97F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Saturday
chancetstorms Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 88F with a heat index of 93F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 63F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 86F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Monday
clear Clear. High of 88F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Tuesday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 88F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Tuesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 68F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
clear Clear. High of 88F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 68F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
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Nowcast as of 2:40 am CDT on May 19, 2013
At 3 am...partly cloudy. Temperature around 71. South winds around 6 mph. At 4 am...partly cloudy. Temperature around 70. South winds around 6 mph. At 5 am...partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Temperature around 69. South winds around 6 mph. At 6 am...partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Temperature around 69. South winds around 5 mph. At 7 am...partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Temperature around 70. South winds around 6 mph. At 8 am...partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Temperature around 72. South winds around 9 mph.

Weather Forecast for Natchez MS

View Calendar 10-Day Forecast for station KHEZ

Sunday, 19
Partly Cloudy
88 | 70 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Monday, 20
Partly Cloudy
86 | 68 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Tuesday, 21
Chance of a Thunderstorm
88 | 68 °F
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Wednesday, 22
Chance of a Thunderstorm
82 | 68 °F
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Thursday, 23
Chance of a Thunderstorm
86 | 70 °F
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Friday, 24
Chance of a Thunderstorm
90 | 66 °F
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Saturday, 25
Chance of a Thunderstorm
88 | 63 °F
Chance of T-storms
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Sunday, 26
Partly Cloudy
86 | 68 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 27
Clear
88 | 68 °F
Clear
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Tuesday, 28
Partly Cloudy
88 | 68 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Sunday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 88F with a heat index of 93F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_partlycloudy Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 70F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 69 | 64 83 | 71 84 | 71 72 | 66
Wind 6 mph South 14 mph South 11 mph South 10 mph South
Humidity 87% 65% 62% 85%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 10% 0%
Cloud Cover 48% 48% 62% 25%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:06 AM
7:57 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [1.71], Average RMSE [1.85]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is good. MaxT RMSE [1.87], Average RMSE [1.82] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Monday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. High of 86F with a heat index of 91F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 68F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 75 | 67 84 | 72 82 | 71 72 | 66
Wind 9 mph South 14 mph South 12 mph South 9 mph SSE
Humidity 77% 64% 63% 86%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 41% 70% 8% 13%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:05 AM
7:58 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is good. MaxT RMSE [2.13], Average RMSE [2.14]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is good. MaxT RMSE [1.81], Average RMSE [2.41] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Tuesday
partlycloudy Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 88F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Tuesday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 71 | 66 82 | 70 81 | 68 72 | 69
Wind 8 mph SSE 10 mph South 10 mph South 7 mph South
Humidity 83% 64% 62% 92%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 40% 54% 44% 2%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of a Thunderstorm Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:05 AM
7:58 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is excellent. MaxT RMSE [1.42], Average RMSE [2.77]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.63], Average RMSE [3.89] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Wednesday
partlycloudy Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the afternoon. High of 82F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Wednesday Night
nt_chancetstorms Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 69 | 68 76 | 71 78 | 73 71 | 68
Wind 5 mph South 5 mph SSW 4 mph SSW 4 mph SSW
Humidity 95% 82% 84% 92%
Chance of Precip. 0% 10% 20% 20%
Cloud Cover 74% 99% 100% 33%
Conditions Fog Overcast Chance of a Thunderstorm Chance of a Thunderstorm
Sunrise & Sunset
6:04 AM
7:59 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.58], Average RMSE [2.84]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.62], Average RMSE [3.74] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Thursday
partlycloudy Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog early. High of 86F with a heat index of 91F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Thursday Night
nt_clear Clear with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 68 | 68 83 | 72 83 | 74 72 | 67
Wind 4 mph SW 4 mph SSW 1 mph WSW 4 mph SSW
Humidity 99% 67% 73% 83%
Chance of Precip. 20% 10% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 13% 100% 10% 0%
Conditions Chance of a Thunderstorm Overcast Chance of a Thunderstorm Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:04 AM
8:00 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.84], Average RMSE [2.95]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.74], Average RMSE [3.60] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Friday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 90F with a heat index of 97F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 70 | 68 87 | 73 82 | 73 68 | 67
Wind 4 mph SSW 3 mph WNW 3 mph North 4 mph East
Humidity 96% 62% 74% 95%
Chance of Precip. 10% 20% 10% 0%
Cloud Cover 9% 60% 61% 44%
Conditions Fog Chance of a Thunderstorm Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:03 AM
8:00 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.77], Average RMSE [3.55]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is good. MaxT RMSE [2.50], Average RMSE [3.37] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Saturday
chancetstorms Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 88F with a heat index of 93F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Low of 63F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 70 | 69 84 | 73 83 | 73 71 | 69
Wind 2 mph WNW 3 mph NE 6 mph North 5 mph NE
Humidity 97% 69% 73% 93%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 65% 44% 30% 58%
Conditions Chance of a Thunderstorm Chance of a Thunderstorm Chance of a Thunderstorm Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:03 AM
8:01 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.72], Average RMSE [4.03]
The National Weather Service forecast quality is fair. MaxT RMSE [2.93], Average RMSE [3.29] : Use NWS
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Sunday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 86F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 65 | 63 74 | 66 81 | 67 73 | 65
Wind 5 mph ENE 5 mph NE 5 mph North 1 mph NE
Humidity 93% 77% 62% 76%
Chance of Precip. 10% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 70% 8% 4% 0%
Conditions Mostly Cloudy Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:02 AM
8:02 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is poor. MaxT RMSE [4.06], Average RMSE [4.36]
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Monday
clear Clear. High of 88F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Monday Night
nt_partlycloudy Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 69 | 63 84 | 65 82 | 67 70 | 68
Wind 1 mph SSE 1 mph South 1 mph SE 3 mph South
Humidity 83% 52% 62% 91%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 5% 17% 13% 17%
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:02 AM
8:02 PM
The quality of the forecasted high temperature for this day is fair. MaxT RMSE [3.46], Average RMSE [4.05]
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Tuesday
partlycloudy Clear. High of 88F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Tuesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 68F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 68 | 68 84 | 66 82 | 66 70 | 66
Wind 3 mph South 3 mph South 4 mph South 6 mph South
Humidity 98% 56% 59% 86%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 27% 25% 11% 3%
Conditions Fog Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
6:02 AM
8:03 PM
Source: BestForecast at 2:22 AM CDT on May 19, 2013
Descriptive Forecast
Wednesday
clear Clear. High of 88F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_clear Clear. Low of 68F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 68 | 66 80 | 69 82 | 71 71 | 69
Wind 4 mph SSW 4 mph SSW 5 mph South 7 mph South
Humidity 94% 65% 68% 95%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 2% 2% 4% %
Conditions Clear Clear Clear Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
Sun does not rise
Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
May 19, 2013 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal 85 °F 63 °F
Record 92 °F (1951) 44 °F (2007)
Yesterday 88 °F 72 °F
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
May. 19, 2013 Rise Set
Actual Time 6:06 AM CDT 7:57 PM CDT
Civil Twilight 5:39 AM CDT 8:24 PM CDT
Nautical Twilight 5:06 AM CDT 8:57 PM CDT
Astronomical Twilight 4:32 AM CDT 9:31 PM CDT
Moon 2:22 PM CDT 2:07 AM CDT
Length Of Visible Light 14h 45m
Length of Day
13h 51m
Tomorrow will be 1m 12s longer.
Waxing Gibbous, 62% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waxing Gibbous
May 24
Full
May 31
Last Quarter
Jun 8
New
Jun 16
First Quarter
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
78 °F
Gulfport
77 °F
Biloxi
75 °F
Jackson Hawkins Field
75 °F
Jackson
75 °F
Pascagoula
67 °F
Columbus AFB
68 °F
Vicksburg
69 °F
Pine Belt
69 °F
Corinth
69 °F
Starkville
Record Extremes
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Natchez 72 °F Clear 3:35 AM CDT
Brookhaven 72 °F Mostly Cloudy 3:35 AM CDT
McComb 70 °F Mostly Cloudy 3:42 AM CDT
Alexandria Esle 73 °F Mostly Cloudy 3:44 AM CDT
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Flight To ETA Status
No flights were found.
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KHEZ)
Wind Speed: 9.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 180° (South)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KHEZ 190835Z AUTO 18009KT 10SM CLR 22/20 A2997 RMK AO1

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Event data courtesy eviesays.com
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Flood Warning
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 8:30 PM CDT on May 18, 2013


The Flood Warning continues for
the Mississippi River at Natchez
* until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 50.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 48.0 feet.
* Forecast... the river will continue rising to near 50.5 feet by
tomorrow evening.
* Impact... at 51.0 feet... water is covering the roads in old downtown
area of Fort Adams... particularlymain Street. Road to Jackson
Point is flooded.
* Impact... at 48.0 feet... Carthage Point Road becomes impassable.
* Impact... at 47.0 feet... water begins to enter the former Belwood
Golf course and Carthage Point Road area south of Natchez.
* Impact... at 45.0 feet... water under some buildings around Fort
Adams, Mississippi.
* Impact... at 44.0 feet... some camps and most access roads flooded
along Lake Mary.
* Impact... at 43.0 feet... water is over Thornburg Lake Road in the
area known as anna's bottom north of Natchez. Also, Lake Mary Road
is under water.
* Impact... at 38.0 feet... lowlands along the river in areas not
protected by levees begin to flood. Some of these areas contain oil
and gas Wells on both sides of the river, but are not affected
until higher stages.


              Flood observed forecast 6am crest
location stg stg day time sun Mon Tue crest time date

Lower Mississippi River
Natchez 48 50.3 Sat 08 PM 50.4 50.5 50.5 50.5 07 PM 05/19