Clarence, LA

2:38 PM CST on February 13, 2012 (GMT -0600)
Elev: 125 ft
Lon: 93.0° W
Lat: 31.8° N
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Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Weather Underground Forecast for Monday, February 13, 2012.

The trough of low pressure that brought unsettled weather to the West on Sunday will advance into the Plains on Monday with more mixed precipitation. The trough will support a low and associated warm front moving eastward into the Southern Plains. As the system progresses, rain showers with periods of heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms will spread from parts of central/eastern Texas into western Louisiana, mixed precipitation will develop in parts of Oklahoma and Arkansas, and snow will blanket parts of the Central Plains, Mid-Mississippi Valley, and parts of the western Ohio Valley. Areas from eastern Texas through Arkansas should expect the heaviest precipitation totals. Heightened winter weather conditions will allow Winter Weather Advisories and a few Winter Storm Warnings to remain in effect through the day. Elsewhere east of the Continental Divide, lake-effect snow showers will continue along parts of the Lower Great Lakes Snowbelt.

In the West, a Pacific cold front pushing across the Pacific Northwest will drop southward across northern California, bringing coastal and valley rain and significant snowfall to the Sierra Nevadas.
Weather Underground Forecast for Monday, February 13, 2012.

The trough of low pressure that brought unsettled weather to the West on Sunday will advance into the Plains on Monday with more mixed precipitation. The trough will support a low and associated warm front moving eastward into the Southern Plains. As the system progresses, rain showers with periods of heavy rain and isolated thunderstorms will spread from parts of central/eastern Texas into western Louisiana, mixed precipitation will develop in parts of Oklahoma and Arkansas, and snow will blanket parts of the Central Plains, Mid-Mississippi Valley, and parts of the western Ohio Valley. Areas from eastern Texas through Arkansas should expect the heaviest precipitation totals. Heightened winter weather conditions will allow Winter Weather Advisories and a few Winter Storm Warnings to remain in effect through the day. Elsewhere east of the Continental Divide, lake-effect snow showers will continue along parts of the Lower Great Lakes Snowbelt.

In the West, a Pacific cold front pushing across the Pacific Northwest will drop southward across northern California, bringing coastal and valley rain and significant snowfall to the Sierra Nevadas.
Clarence Weather at a Glance
Updated 2:38 PM CST
Weather Station - report
Elevation
121 ft
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Now
Rain
Rain
Temperature
42.4 °F
Feels Like 39 °F
Wind(mph)
5.4
Sunrise / Set
6:56 AM
5:56 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Today
Thunderstorm 50 °F
T-storms
100% chance of precipitation
Tonight
Chance of Rain 47 °F
Chance of Rain
50% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Partly Cloudy 65 | 49 °F
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday
Chance of a Thunderstorm 70 | 52 °F
Chance of T-storms
50% chance of precipitation
Thursday
Partly Cloudy 67 | 45 °F
Partly Cloudy
Friday
Partly Cloudy 67 | 40 °F
Partly Cloudy
Today is forecast to be Warmer than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
29.99 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Mostly Cloudy 800 ft
Mostly Cloudy 1400 ft
Overcast 2500 ft
Moisture
Humidity
99%
Rainfall
0.46 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KIER 132035Z AUTO 13009KT 10SM RA BKN008 BKN014 OVC025 06/06 A2995 RMK AO2 P0002
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Weather Radio
Temperature
Windchill
39 °F
Dew Point
42 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
5.4 mph from SE
Wind Gust
6.9 mph
Health
UV
1 out of 16
Pollen
1.90 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Natchitoches
This Afternoon
rain Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Tonight
nt_chancerain Chance of showers in the evening. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Tuesday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Warmer. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancerain A 20 percent chance of showers after midnight. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Thursday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s.
Thursday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
Friday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 40.
Saturday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Sunday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Source: NWS at 12:09 PM CST on February 13, 2012
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Nowcast as of 2:22 PM CST on February 13, 2012
Light to moderate rainfall is occurring from deep East Texas through southwest Arkansas and northern Louisiana. Movement of this rainfall is to the east at 30 miles per hour. Rainfall amounts will range from one tenth of an inch to as much as three quarters of an inch.
Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 71414
Monday, 13
Thunderstorm
50 | 47 °F
T-storms
Chance of
Precipitation
100%
Tuesday, 14
Partly Cloudy
65 | 49 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Wednesday, 15
Chance of a Thunderstorm
70 | 52 °F
Chance of T-storms
Chance of
Precipitation
50%
Thursday, 16
Partly Cloudy
67 | 45 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Friday, 17
Partly Cloudy
67 | 40 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Saturday, 18
Chance of Rain
63 | 38 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Sunday, 19
Partly Cloudy
65 | NA
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 12:09 PM CST on February 13, 2012
Regional Forecast for Natchitoches
This Afternoon
rain Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.
Tonight
nt_chancerain Chance of showers in the evening. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest after midnight. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 31 | 22 45 | 31 47 | 43 50 | 47
Wind 6 mph ESE 8 mph ESE 8 mph SE 4 mph South
Humidity 68% 57% 85% 89%
Chance of Precip. 30% 100% 100% 50%
Cloud Cover 100% 100% 100% 100%
Conditions Thunderstorm Thunderstorm Chance of Rain Overcast
Sunrise & Sunset
6:56 AM
5:56 PM
Source: NWS at 12:09 PM CST on February 13, 2012
Regional Forecast for Natchitoches
Tuesday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Warmer. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
nt_chancerain A 20 percent chance of showers after midnight. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 49 | 45 61 | 50 61 | 49 54 | 49
Wind 2 mph West 1 mph North 2 mph SE 5 mph ESE
Humidity 85% 69% 67% 86%
Chance of Precip. 50% 10% 10% 20%
Cloud Cover 59% 40% 40% 40%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of Rain
Sunrise & Sunset
6:55 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 12:09 PM CST on February 13, 2012
Regional Forecast for Natchitoches
Wednesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 70. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 50 | 49 63 | 58 65 | 58 56 | 54
Wind 6 mph ESE 9 mph South 7 mph South 5 mph WNW
Humidity 92% 80% 80% 92%
Chance of Precip. 20% 50% 50% 50%
Cloud Cover 100% 100% 90% 89%
Conditions Chance of a Thunderstorm Chance of a Thunderstorm Chance of a Thunderstorm Thunderstorm
Sunrise & Sunset
6:54 AM
5:58 PM
Source: NWS at 12:09 PM CST on February 13, 2012
Regional Forecast for Natchitoches
Thursday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s.
Thursday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 52 | 47 63 | 45 63 | 43 50 | 41
Wind 6 mph NW 6 mph North 5 mph North 5 mph NE
Humidity 82% 53% 48% 70%
Chance of Precip. 50% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 62% 25% 20% 30%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Clear Clear Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:53 AM
5:59 PM
Source: NWS at 12:09 PM CST on February 13, 2012
Regional Forecast for Natchitoches
Friday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows around 40.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 47 | 40 61 | 40 61 | 43 47 | 38
Wind 6 mph NE 6 mph NE 6 mph NE 5 mph NE
Humidity 79% 45% 51% 73%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 35% 40% 40% 60%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:52 AM
6:00 PM
Source: NWS at 12:09 PM CST on February 13, 2012
Regional Forecast for Natchitoches
Saturday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 41 | 36 56 | 38 56 | 38 45 | 38
Wind 6 mph NNE 5 mph NNE 4 mph North 2 mph North
Humidity 82% 48% 49% 79%
Chance of Precip. 10% 20% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 65% 80% 62% 50%
Conditions Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:52 AM
6:00 PM
Source: NWS at 12:09 PM CST on February 13, 2012
Regional Forecast for Natchitoches
Sunday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 40 | 38 58 | 40 56 | 38 45 | 38
Wind 5 mph NNW 5 mph North 4 mph North 2 mph North
Humidity 88% 52% 49% 79%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 50% 50% 62% 50%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:52 AM
6:00 PM
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Nearby
History & Almanac
February 13, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KIER) 61 °F 38 °F
Record (KIER) 85 °F (1962) 19 °F (1981)
Yesterday 51.4 °F 25.9 °F
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
Astronomy
Feb. 13, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 6:56 AM CST 5:56 PM CST
Civil Twilight 6:31 AM CST 6:21 PM CST
Nautical Twilight 6:02 AM CST 6:50 PM CST
Astronomical Twilight 5:34 AM CST 7:18 PM CST
Moon No Moon Rise 10:24 AM CST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 50m
Length of Day
11h 00m
Tomorrow will be 1m 47s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 60% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
63 °F
Boothville
62 °F
New Orleans
62 °F
New Iberia
62 °F
Galliano
62 °F
Abbeville
33 °F
Barksdale AFB
33 °F
Houma
33 °F
Bastrop
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
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Ice moving through on the Danube river
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Travel & Activities
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Natchitoches 43 °F Rain 2:35 PM CST
Fort Polk 45 °F Light Rain Mist 2:11 PM CST
Alexandria 45 °F Light Rain 2:31 PM CST
Fort Polk 45 °F Light Rain 2:29 PM CST
Flight To ETA Status
ASQ5442
Atlanta, GA
KAEX 02:34PM On Time
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
Type Condition
Flight Rule: IFR (KIER)
Wind Speed: 9.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 135° (SE)
Ceiling: 800 ft

METAR KIER 132035Z AUTO 13009KT 10SM RA BKN008 BKN014 OVC025 06/06 A2995 RMK AO2 P0002

Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Chance of Rain, 65 °F
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 16, 2012 Partly Cloudy, 65 °F
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 17, 2012 Clear, 65 °F
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
HADS RED RIVER AT GRAND ECORE LA, Natchitoches, LA - - - - North  at  - 0.07 in / hr 75 ft 1:00 PM CST MADIS
Natchitoches, LA 42.4 °F 39 °F 42 °F 99% SE  at  5.4 mph 0.14 in / hr 121 ft 2:38 PM CST Rapid Fire  
HADS BAYOU PIERRE NEAR POWHATAN 2NW LA, Powhatan, LA - - - - North  at  - 0.01 in / hr 104 ft 12:00 PM CST MADIS
RAWS GUM SPRINGS LA, Calvin, LA 39 °F 35 °F 38 °F 96% ESE  at  5 mph 0.16 in / hr 299 ft 1:52 PM CST MADIS
RAWS NATCHITOCHES LA, Provencal, LA 42 °F 42 °F 41 °F 96% NNE  at  2 mph 0.09 in / hr 200 ft 1:52 PM CST MADIS
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Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 2:20 PM CST on February 13, 2012

... Continuing severe weather awareness week in Louisiana...

... This afternoons topics are damaging winds and hail...

Louisiana is affected by thousands of thunderstorms every year. The
strongest and most dangerous of these thunderstorms are defined as
severe thunderstorms. Severe thunderstorms are thunderstorms which
produce damaging winds... large hail and tornadoes. A thunderstorm
is severe when it produces winds of at least 58 mph... hail 1 inch
in diameter or larger... or a tornado. Severe thunderstorms can
occur during any time of the year in our four state region... but
are most common during the Spring and autumn months.

Thunderstorms are capable of producing very strong winds... but it is
important to remember that not all damaging thunderstorm winds are
caused by a tornado. Straight line winds refer to winds that are not
associated with rotating winds in a tornado. Rather... they move
forward along the ground in unidirectional fashion.

One form of straight line winds... the downburst... is a strong
downdraft of air that accelerates toward the ground in a
thunderstorm. Once near the ground... the downdraft can no longer
descend and therefore radiates outward in all directions... producing
a sudden rush of damaging winds at the surface. Two types of
downbursts exist... the microburst and the macroburst. The microburst
is a short lived event and of great concern to the aviation
community. It produces strong winds in an area less than 2.5 miles in
diameter. In contrast... macrobursts are longer lived and capable of
producing extensive wind damage across areas several miles in
diameter.

Straight line thunderstorm winds occasionally reach speeds in excess
of 100 mph. These winds may be intense enough to uproot trees and
produce substantial damage... if not complete destruction... to
buildings. If these winds occur in conjunction with large hail... the
damage will likely be even more extensive.

Hail that is 1 inch in diameter (as big around as a quarter) or
larger is considered severe. Hail is defined as precipitation in the
form of lumps or chunks of ice that develop inside stronger
thunderstorms. Hailstones are usually Oval shaped or round... but can
be also be spiky in appearance. Hail can range in size from pea
size... to greater than softball size. The largest hailstone on record
in the United States fell at Aurora... Nebraska on June 22... 2003.
This massive stone measured 18.75 inches in circumference... and over
7 inches in diameter.

Hail falls to Earth at speeds approaching 100 mph and can cause
immense damage to buildings... automobiles and vegetation. Annually...
hail storms cause more than one billion dollars in damage across the
entire United States. No part of the four state region is immune to
the dangers of large hail. Although being struck by hail is rarely
fatal... several dozen people are seriously injured each year in
hailstorms.

To protect yourself and your property from damaging winds and hail
associated with a thunderstorm... it is important to stay abreast of
the latest weather conditions. Staying updated through NOAA Weather
Radio from the National Weather Service... as well as monitoring
television... radio and the internet... will help you be better
prepared for the dangers associated with any severe thunderstorms in
your area.

Treat straight line wind events the same as you would an approaching
tornado. Seek shelter in a reinforced building... preferably on the
lowest floor... in an interior room or closet and away from any
windows. Always cover your head to protect against the impact of
flying debris. If you encounter hail while driving... turn around. You
may be driving into the core of a thunderstorm... which is where
tornadoes form. Report hail or wind damage to law enforcement as soon
as it is safe to do so and seek an alternate Route.

The National Weather Service would like to thank everyone involved in
making severe weather awareness week a Success.

&&

For more details on some of the significant severe weather events
across the four state region dating back to the 1978 Shreveport F4
tornado... please visit... www.Srh.NOAA.Gov/shv/events/