Jay, Florida

... Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening... the Flood Warning continues
for
the big Coldwater creek near Milton
* from tonight until Wednesday evening
* at 4am Tuesday the stage was 6.5 feet
* no flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast
* flood stage is 10.0 feet
* forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near
10.2 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by
tomorrow early afternoon.

1016 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2009

... Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening... the Flood Warning continues
for
the Blackwater river near Baker
* from Wednesday morning until Thursday evening
* at 9pm Monday the stage was 2.7 feet
* no flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast
* flood stage is 11 feet
* forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise
to near 12.8 feet by Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage
by Thursday early afternoon.

... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Tuesday morning...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of Alabama... northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi... including the following areas... in Alabama...
Butler... Choctaw... Clarke... Conecuh... Covington... Crenshaw...
Escambia... lower Baldwin... lower Mobile... Monroe... upper
Baldwin... upper Mobile... Washington and Wilcox. In northwest
Florida... coastal Escambia... coastal Okaloosa... coastal Santa
Rosa... inland Escambia... inland Okaloosa and inland Santa
Rosa. In southeast Mississippi... George... Greene... Perry...
stone and Wayne.

* Through Tuesday morning

* a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for all of southeast
Mississippi... southwest Alabama and northwest Florida through
midday Tuesday... due to excessive rainfall produced by Tropical
Storm Ida. Ida is expected to move onshore late tonight across
southern portions of Mobile or Baldwin County Alabama. Rainfall
totals of 4 to 6 inches will be possible across much of the
forecast area through Tuesday morning as the heavier rainband
associated with Ida moves onshore over the Florida Panhandle
through late evening and then moves slowly northward across the
region through late tonight. Previous rainfall over the past 12
hours has already approached 1 to 2 inches over many of the same
locations.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding. If flash flooding is observed act quickly. Move
up to higher ground to escape flood waters. Do not stay in areas
subject to flooding when water begins rising.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

Grand-Isle-la 29.25n 89.96w
Aucilla-river-FL 30.04n 83.92w


Attn... WFO... lix... tae... mob...

351 am CST Tue Nov 10 2009

... Tropical Storm Wind Warning remains in effect until 6 PM CST
Tuesday...
... Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect...

... New information...
at 330 am CST... the center of poorly defined Tropical Storm Ida was
located near latitude 29.8 north... longitude 88.4 west... or about 30
miles south of the west end of Dauphin Island Alabama. Ida is now
moving to the north-northeast near 11 mph. Ida will make landfall
very near the Alabama/Mississippi border near sunrise. After
landfall... Ida is expected to turn more to the east. Data from an Air
Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft and the WSR-88D in Mobile
Alabama are in agreement that maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph
with higher gusts. Ida continues to weaken.


... Winds...
the wind threat is on the wane as Ida weakens. Wind speeds between 30
and 45 mph... with higher gusts... will continue to occur during the
morning hours... mainly along the coast. This afternoon will be windy
as dry air mixes into the back of Ida from the west. This may cause
frequent gusts to near tropical storm force.


... Storm surge and storm tide...
as Ida approaches coastal Alabama... area tide gages have continued to
show a rapid rate of increase in high water values since just after
midnight. Given ida's current location... southeasterly surface winds
are now pushing water onshore in the form of surge from the mouth of
Mobile Bay eastward... including the upper reaches of Mobile Bay and
adjacent rivers. Winds are beginning to turn northwesterly and blow
offshore on the Mississippi coast which is a sign that some help is on
the way in the next few hours as far as water recession from Bayou La
Batre over to Fort Morgan... but again... this will take a few hours.


... Inland flooding...
a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect and may be revised or canceled
later today. The area most likely to receive excessive rainfall will
be east of a line from Evergreen Alabama to Andalusia to Crestview.


... Coastal hazards...
moderate beach erosion is expected to occur from the west end of
Dauphin Island Alabama to Destin Florida. Extremely dangerous rip
currents will occur along the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches
through Tuesday afternoon due to high winds and waves. Rip currents
are life-threatening to anyone entering the surf... and swimmers
should not enter the water under any circumstances.

... Record daily maximum rainfall set at Pensacola...

a record rainfall of 3.64 inches was set at Pensacola yesterday.
This breaks the old record of 1.6 set in 1948.

Latest local surface wind observations...


Pensacola FL... 154 am gust se 38 mph
Mary Esther FL... 204 am gust E 37 mph
NAS Pensacola FL... 156 am gust se 35 mph

12 S Orange Beach al... 200 am gust S 31 kt
E Dauphin Island al... 200 am gust se 31 kt

&&

Kc