Bagdad, Florida

... A Flash Flood Warning remains in effect until 130 am CST for
southwestern Santa Rosa... southeastern Escambia... extreme
southeastern Mobile and southern Baldwin counties...

At 1134 PM CST... National Weather Service Doppler radar continued to
indicate a persistent rainband associated with Tropical Storm Ida
along and south of the Interstate 10 corridor. Doppler weather radar
precipitation estimates suggest that 3 to 5 inches of rain has
fallen in the warning area. The highest amounts of rain... near 5
inches looks to have fallen near Foley Alabama since early evening.

Locations in the warning include but are not limited to Turkey
Branch... Summerdale... Silverhill... Seminole... Robertsdale...
Montrose... Marlow... Lillian... Houstonville... Fairhope... Elsanor...
Elberta... Clay City... West Pensacola... Pensacola regional a/p...
pace... Myrtle Grove... Goulding... Gonzalez... Ferry Pass... Ensley...
Cantonment... Brownsville... Brent... Beulah and Bellview

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible in the
warned area through 130 am Tuesday morning.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding. If flash flooding is observed act quickly. Move
up to higher ground to escape flood waters. Do not stay in areas
subject to flooding when water begins rising.

Most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Never drive your vehicle into
areas where the water covers the roadway. Flood waters are usually
deeper than they appear. Just one foot of flowing water is powerful
enough to sweep vehicles off the Road. When encountering flooded
roads make the smart choice... turn around... dont drown.

To report flash flooding to your National Weather Service... call toll
free at 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.


Lat... Lon 3027 8795 3025 8788 3029 8776 3042 8792
      3059 8792 3064 8711 3053 8711 3058 8716
      3058 8717 3047 8714 3038 8725 3034 8726
      3034 8720 3036 8722 3041 8711 3035 8709
      3034 8710 3020 8806


10

1016 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2009

... Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening... the Flood Warning continues
for the big Coldwater creek near Milton
* from Wednesday morning until Wednesday evening
* at 9pm Monday the stage was 3.6 feet
* no flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast
* flood stage is 10 feet
* forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise
to near 10.2 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
by Wednesday early afternoon.

1016 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2009

... Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening... the Flood Warning continues
for
the Blackwater river near Baker
* from Wednesday morning until Thursday evening
* at 9pm Monday the stage was 2.7 feet
* no flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast
* flood stage is 11 feet
* forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise
to near 12.8 feet by Wednesday evening. The river will fall below flood stage
by Thursday early afternoon.

... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Tuesday morning...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of Alabama... northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi... including the following areas... in Alabama...
Butler... Choctaw... Clarke... Conecuh... Covington... Crenshaw...
Escambia... lower Baldwin... lower Mobile... Monroe... upper
Baldwin... upper Mobile... Washington and Wilcox. In northwest
Florida... coastal Escambia... coastal Okaloosa... coastal Santa
Rosa... inland Escambia... inland Okaloosa and inland Santa
Rosa. In southeast Mississippi... George... Greene... Perry...
stone and Wayne.

* Through Tuesday morning

* a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for all of southeast
Mississippi... southwest Alabama and northwest Florida through
midday Tuesday... due to excessive rainfall produced by Tropical
Storm Ida. Ida is expected to move onshore late tonight across
southern portions of Mobile or Baldwin County Alabama. Rainfall
totals of 4 to 6 inches will be possible across much of the
forecast area through Tuesday morning as the heavier rainband
associated with Ida moves onshore over the Florida Panhandle
through late evening and then moves slowly northward across the
region through late tonight. Previous rainfall over the past 12
hours has already approached 1 to 2 inches over many of the same
locations.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding. If flash flooding is observed act quickly. Move
up to higher ground to escape flood waters. Do not stay in areas
subject to flooding when water begins rising.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

829 am CST sun Nov 8 2009

... Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect from 6 PM CST this
evening through late Monday night...

A coastal Flood Watch remains in effect from 6 PM CST this
evening through late Monday night.

The combination of strong easterly winds combined with high tide
levels is expected to create tide levels of 2 to 3 feet above
normal. This will create total tide levels of 3 to 4 feet. If Ida
is stronger than currently forecast across the southern Gulf...
the increased swell would cause even higher tide levels than the
current forecast.

Residents living in flood prone areas along the coastal sections
of Mobile and Baldwin counties... including Mobile Bay... along
with coastal sections of northwest Florida should take necessary
precautions to protect life and property in case these high tide
levels are reached.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A coastal Flood Watch means that conditions favorable for
flooding are expected to develop. Coastal residents should be
alert for later statements or warnings... and take action to
protect property.

... Tropical Storm Wind Warning remains in effect until 6 PM CST
Tuesday...
... Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect...

... New information...
at 12 am CST... the center of poorly defined Tropical Storm Ida was
located near latitude 29.5 north... longitude 88.8 west... or about 55
miles southwest of Dauphin Island Alabama. Ida has slowed down and is
now moving to the north near 10 mph. A turn toward the north-
northeast with a further decrease in forward speed is expected
through the overnight hours. The slower and more northerly movement
now has Ida making landfall near the Alabama/Mississippi border in
the early morning hours. After landfall... Ida is expected to turn
eastward. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts
and some weakening is expected overnight.


... Precautionary/preparedness actions...
precautionary/preparedness actions...
at this time... all storm related preparations should be complete.


... Winds...
tropical storm force wind gusts will continue across extreme
southwest Alabama and the northwest Florida Panhandle through the
overnight hours. A wind gust of 62 mph was reported earlier this evening
at Alabama Port in southwest Alabama. Sustained tropical storm force
winds will be possible over extreme southwest Alabama... mainly near
the coast... and near the coast of the northwest Florida Panhandle
through the overnight hours as well. The sustained winds and wind
gusts will subside below tropical storm force over extreme southwest
Alabama into Tuesday morning then decrease over the northwest Florida
Panhandle through the early afternoon hours on Tuesday. Gusts of 50 to
60 mph will be possible along the coast with gusts to 40 to 50 mph
further inland until the winds subside on Tuesday. Power outages are
a real possibility with Ida tonight... especially near the coast.


... Storm surge and storm tide...
total tide heights of 3 to 5 feet are possible across southern Mobile
and Baldwin counties Alabama. Across the northwest Florida
Panhandle... total tide heights of 2 to 4 feet are anticipated. At
this time... it appears that the highest tide heights will be west of
Fort Morgan Alabama and in the 3 to 5 foot range. The time of
astronomical high tide on Tuesday will range from 2 to 5 am across
the region. This will exacerbate storm related flooding due to
tropical storm force winds from Ida during this time. There have
already been reports of minor coastal flooding across Dauphin Island
with water reported from St. Stephens Road to the west end of Dauphin
Island... and water has been reported over roadways at Fort Pickens in
southern Escambia County Florida.


... Inland flooding...
current rainfall rates are generally one inch per hour or less except
for higher rainfall rates of 1 to 1.5 inches per hour over coastal
Baldwin County Alabama and coastal Escambia County Florida. Rainfall
of up to 1.5 inches per hour will continue through the overnight
hours. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for southwest Alabama and
the northwest Florida Panhandle through noon Tuesday. Rainfall totals
of 3 to 6 inches... with locally higher amounts around 8 inches... can
be expected. Listen for possible flood warnings for your
location... and be ready to act should flooding occur.


... Tornadoes...
due to very stable air near the coast... the tornado threat is low.
If a tornado were to occur it would be mainly over the northwest
Florida Panhandle east of Pensacola in the next few hours.


... Coastal hazards...
moderate beach erosion is expected to occur from the west end of
Dauphin Island Alabama to Destin Florida. Extremely dangerous rip
currents will occur along the Alabama and northwest Florida beaches
through Tuesday afternoon due to high winds and waves. Rip currents
are life-threatening to anyone entering the surf... and swimmers
should not enter the water under any circumstances.

... Record daily maximum rainfall set at Pensacola...

a record rainfall of 3.64 inches was set at Pensacola yesterday.
This breaks the old record of 1.6 set in 1948.

Latest local surface wind observations...

Fort Walton Beach FL... 1128 PM ESE gust 40 mph
west Mobile al... 1112 PM gust NNE 39 mph
downtown Mobile al... 1104 PM gust NNE 39 mph
NAS Pensacola FL... 1058 PM gust ESE 37 mph

12 miles S of Orange Beach al... 1100 PM ESE 33 kt gust 41 kt
Petit Bois Island al... 1100 PM NE 32 kt gust 40 kt
Dauphin Island al... 1024 PM NE 29 kt gust 39 kt


&&

Kc