Umpire, AR

12:19 PM CST on February 14, 2012 (GMT -0600)
Elev: 840 ft
Lon: 94.1° W
Lat: 34.3° N
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Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Thirteen (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Jessica Parker
Weather Underground Forecast for Tuesday, February 14, 2012. Valentine's Day will be greeted by a storm that will begin the day in the Mississippi Valley before moving eastward into the eastern third of the country. In the colder air to the north, snow is expected to fall through the Ohio Valley before moving into the Northeast in the evening. The warmer air to the north will only allow areas of light to moderate rain to form from Louisiana through the Carolinas. By the end of the day, much of the precipitation from this storm will be off the eastern seaboard, leaving warmer air in the Southern Plains and much colder air in the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.

In the West, a storm will track through the Great Basin before slamming into the Rockies, where it will produce much needed high elevation snow. This will not be a tremendous snow producer, but several inches of the white stuff is expected.

Late in the day, a Pacific storm will make its approach to the West Coast. As the storm moves inland, it will instigate rain and high elevation snow in Washington and Oregon. This storm will be the next rain producer for California on Wednesday.

The Northeast will rise in to the 30s and 40s, while the Southeast will see temperatures in the 50s, 60s, and 70s. The Northern Plains will rise into the 30s and 40s, while the Northwest will see temperatures in the 30s and 40s.
Weather Underground Forecast for Tuesday, February 14, 2012. Valentine's Day will be greeted by a storm that will begin the day in the Mississippi Valley before moving eastward into the eastern third of the country. In the colder air to the north, snow is expected to fall through the Ohio Valley before moving into the Northeast in the evening. The warmer air to the north will only allow areas of light to moderate rain to form from Louisiana through the Carolinas. By the end of the day, much of the precipitation from this storm will be off the eastern seaboard, leaving warmer air in the Southern Plains and much colder air in the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.

In the West, a storm will track through the Great Basin before slamming into the Rockies, where it will produce much needed high elevation snow. This will not be a tremendous snow producer, but several inches of the white stuff is expected.

Late in the day, a Pacific storm will make its approach to the West Coast. As the storm moves inland, it will instigate rain and high elevation snow in Washington and Oregon. This storm will be the next rain producer for California on Wednesday.

The Northeast will rise in to the 30s and 40s, while the Southeast will see temperatures in the 50s, 60s, and 70s. The Northern Plains will rise into the 30s and 40s, while the Northwest will see temperatures in the 30s and 40s.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Umpire Weather at a Glance
Updated 11:53 AM CST
Weather Station
Mount Ida (KMWT)
Elevation
702 ft
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Now
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Temperature
47 °F
Feels Like 47 °F
Wind(mph)
0
Sunrise / Set
7:02 AM
5:58 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Today
Fog 56 °F
Fog
Tonight
Chance of a Thunderstorm 45 °F
Chance of T-storms
20% chance of precipitation
Tomorrow
Chance of a Thunderstorm 63 | 38 °F
Chance of T-storms
40% chance of precipitation
Thursday
Partly Cloudy 59 | 31 °F
Partly Cloudy
Friday
Partly Cloudy 63 | 38 °F
Partly Cloudy
Saturday
Chance of Rain 58 | 32 °F
Chance of Rain
20% chance of precipitation
Today is forecast to be Much Warmer than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
30.01 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Few 1600 ft
Moisture
Humidity
77%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KMWT 141753Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW016 08/04 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP163 T00830044 10083 21006 51001 TSNO
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Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Temperature
47 °F
Dew Point
40 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
Calm
Wind Gust
Health
UV
5 out of 16
Pollen
5.60 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
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Regional Forecast for Howard
Rest of Today
cloudy Mostly cloudy in the late morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 mph.
Tonight
nt_cloudy Increasing clouds with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Warmer. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_chancerain Slight chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Thursday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
Friday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Saturday
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs around 60.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of light rain in the evening. Lows in the mid 30s.
Sunday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
Washingtons Birthday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
Source: NWS at 10:20 am CST on February 14, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 71971
Tuesday, 14
Fog
56 | 45 °F
Fog
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Wednesday, 15
Chance of a Thunderstorm
63 | 38 °F
Chance of T-storms
Chance of
Precipitation
40%
Thursday, 16
Partly Cloudy
59 | 31 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Friday, 17
Partly Cloudy
63 | 38 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Saturday, 18
Chance of Rain
58 | 32 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Sunday, 19
Partly Cloudy
54 | 31 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Monday, 20
Partly Cloudy
56 | NA
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 10:20 am CST on February 14, 2012
Regional Forecast for Howard
Rest of Today
cloudy Mostly cloudy in the late morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 mph.
Tonight
nt_cloudy Increasing clouds with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 31 | 31 49 | 38 49 | 40 47 | 40
Wind 0 mph NW 2 mph SE 5 mph ESE 6 mph SE
Humidity 99% 68% 68% 73%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 20%
Cloud Cover 84% 55% 50% 75%
Conditions Fog Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Chance of a Thunderstorm
Sunrise & Sunset
7:02 AM
5:58 PM
Source: NWS at 10:20 am CST on February 14, 2012
Regional Forecast for Howard
Wednesday
chancerain Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Warmer. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday Night
nt_chancerain Slight chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms in the evening. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 45 | 41 58 | 50 58 | 47 45 | 38
Wind 6 mph SE 6 mph SSE 6 mph SSW 6 mph WNW
Humidity 86% 74% 64% 76%
Chance of Precip. 20% 40% 40% 20%
Cloud Cover 100% 100% 58% 56%
Conditions Chance of a Thunderstorm Chance of a Thunderstorm Thunderstorm Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:01 AM
5:59 PM
Source: NWS at 10:20 am CST on February 14, 2012
Regional Forecast for Howard
Thursday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 40 | 36 54 | 36 54 | 32 38 | 31
Wind 8 mph NNW 7 mph North 6 mph NNE 2 mph ENE
Humidity 81% 50% 43% 75%
Chance of Precip. 20% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 36% 25% 20% 30%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Clear Clear Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:00 AM
6:00 PM
Source: NWS at 10:20 am CST on February 14, 2012
Regional Forecast for Howard
Friday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s.
Friday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 32 | 29 54 | 29 56 | 29 45 | 31
Wind 4 mph ENE 4 mph ESE 4 mph SE 4 mph NNE
Humidity 84% 36% 36% 58%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 20%
Cloud Cover 35% 40% 40% 45%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
6:01 PM
Source: NWS at 10:20 am CST on February 14, 2012
Regional Forecast for Howard
Saturday
chancerain Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs around 60.
Saturday Night
nt_partlycloudy Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of light rain in the evening. Lows in the mid 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 40 | 29 52 | 29 54 | 27 40 | 29
Wind 6 mph NE 7 mph ENE 6 mph NE 6 mph NNE
Humidity 64% 39% 36% 64%
Chance of Precip. 20% 20% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 73% 80% 51% 50%
Conditions Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
6:02 PM
Source: NWS at 10:20 am CST on February 14, 2012
Regional Forecast for Howard
Sunday
partlycloudy Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.
Sunday Night
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 27 49 | 27 49 | 27 38 | 27
Wind 4 mph NNE 1 mph ENE 6 mph ESE 5 mph ESE
Humidity 72% 41% 40% 64%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 50% 50% 30% 30%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
6:02 PM
Source: NWS at 10:20 am CST on February 14, 2012
Regional Forecast for Howard
Washingtons Birthday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 27 49 | 31 49 | 27 38 | 27
Wind 5 mph ESE 9 mph South 6 mph ESE 5 mph ESE
Humidity 78% 49% 40% 64%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 30% 30% 30% 30%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:58 AM
6:02 PM
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Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
Active Notice: Public Information Statement  (US Severe Weather)
History & Almanac
February 14, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KDEQ) 58 °F 31 °F
Record (KDEQ) 82 °F (1991) 18 °F (1960)
Yesterday 38 °F 30 °F
Yesterday's Heating Degree Days: 31
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
Feb. 14, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:02 AM CST 5:58 PM CST
Civil Twilight 6:37 AM CST 6:24 PM CST
Nautical Twilight 6:07 AM CST 6:53 PM CST
Astronomical Twilight 5:38 AM CST 7:23 PM CST
Moon 12:43 AM CST 11:11 AM CST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 47m
Length of Day
10h 55m
Tomorrow will be 1m 58s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 50% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Mar 14
Last Quarter
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
44 °F
Mount Ida
44 °F
Siloam Springs
44 °F
Hot Springs
44 °F
West Memphis
44 °F
Blytheville Muni Airport
30 °F
Mount Ida
32 °F
Siloam Springs
32 °F
Corning
32 °F
Newport
32 °F
Mountain Home
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Mena 45 °F Clear 12:15 PM CST
De Queen 39 °F Overcast 11:53 AM CST
Mount Ida 47 °F Partly Cloudy 11:53 AM CST
Idabel 39 °F Overcast 12:15 PM CST
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Flight To ETA Status
No flights were found.
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KMWT)
Wind Speed: 0.0 kts.
Wind Dir: N/A
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KMWT 141753Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW016 08/04 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP163 T00830044 10083 21006 51001 TSNO

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Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Chance of Rain, 70 °F
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 16, 2012 Clear, 45 °F
Northern Trust Open 8:30 AM PST on February 17, 2012 Clear, 65 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
HADS COSSATOT RVR AT GILLHAM DAM NEAR AR, Gillham, AR - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 520 ft 11:00 AM CST MADIS
HADS SALINE RIVER NEAR DIERKS 4SW AR, Lockesburg, AR - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 368 ft 11:00 AM CST MADIS
Bethany, Dierks, AR 41.2 °F 41 °F 41 °F 100% SSE  at  0.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 502 ft 12:19 PM CST Rapid Fire  
HADS COSSATOT RIVER AT DE QUEEN AR, De Queen, AR - - - - North  at  - 0.06 in / hr 355 ft 11:00 AM CST MADIS
HADS ROLLING FORK RIVER AT DAM NEAR D AR, De Queen, AR - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 557 ft 11:15 AM CST MADIS
HADS SALINE RIVER NEAR LOCKESBURG 6E AR, Lockesburg, AR - - - - North  at  - 0.09 in / hr 326 ft 11:00 AM CST MADIS
HADS LAKE GREESON-NARROWS DAM NEAR MU AR, Murfreesboro, AR - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 435 ft 11:00 AM CST MADIS
South Corinth, Nashville, AR 44.4 °F 44 °F 39 °F 81% SSW  at  2.2 mph 0.00 in / hr 577 ft 12:15 PM CST Normal  
Paradise South Golf Course, Norman, AR 49.8 °F 48 °F 42 °F 74% East  at  5.4 mph 0.00 in / hr 700 ft 12:19 PM CST Rapid Fire
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Public Information Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 6:10 am CST on February 14, 2012

... Public information statement...

... Continuing severe weather awareness week in Louisiana...

This mornings topics are drought & fire weather...

Drought and wildfires seem to go hand in hand. Over the years...
wildfires have claimed hundreds of thousands of acres across Texas...
Oklahoma and portions of Louisiana and Arkansas. Unfortunately... the
current La Nina pattern favors warmer and drier than normal
conditions across the four state region... and the climate
prediction center continues to maintain above normal probabilities
for above normal temperatures across all of the four state
region through late Spring... as well as above normal probabilities
for below normal rainfall across East Texas and north Louisiana.
Severe to extreme drought conditions continue to plague all of the
four state region... and the potential for above normal
temperatures and below normal rainfall this Spring as a result of
the ongoing La Nina pattern will only aggravate the ongoing
drought... while also enhancing the potential wildfire threat.

We should not let down our guard. Wildfires can occur during any
year... even wet ones. And not all wildfires are the same. As a matter
of fact... the weather largely dictates fire behavior... controlling
how quickly a fire spreads... how hot and how long the flames grow...
and whether the fire is able to jump a Road or other barrier.
Temperature... humidity and wind are the controlling parameters that
affect fire behavior.

In some cases... National Weather Service meteorologists are tasked
with forecasting weather conditions near an ongoing wildfire. These
forecasts help firefighters develop a strategy to fight the fire with
greater efficiency and safety. A sudden shift in wind direction can
put fire fighters in great danger... possibly blowing flames or
suffocating smoke in their direction. This type of forecasting has
its own name... a fire weather forecast. A local wildfire forecast is
commonly called a spot forecast due to the small area of interest.

The National Weather Service would like to thank everyone involved in
making severe weather awareness week a Success.

&&

For more details on some of the significant severe weather events
across the four state region dating back to the 1978 Shreveport F4
tornado... please visit... www.Srh.NOAA.Gov/shv/events/


View All U.S. Severe Weather