Bearce, AR

10:33 AM CST on February 11, 2012 (GMT -0600)
Elev: 643 ft
Lon: 93.5° W
Lat: 34.5° N
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Active Advisory: Special Statement (US Severe Weather)
Tropical Weather: Tropical Cyclone Giovanna (South Indian Ocean) Tropical Cyclone Jasmine (Southern Pacific)
Weather Summary
Kari Kiefer
Weather Underground Forecast for Saturday, February 11, 2012.

Precipitation will spread across the East Coast on Saturday, while more rain and mountain snow showers are anticipated for parts of the West. A trough of low pressure and associated cold front continue moving eastward across the Eastern Valleys into the Eastern Seaboard. Cool temperatures to the north will allow for snow showers to develop across the Northeast and New England, while rain showers are likely over the Mid-Atlantic states. Rain showers over the Southeastern states should wind down in the early morning hours as the tail end of the system pushes offshore early in the day. Expect the New York metropolitan area to see 1 to 3 inches of snow, while the Washington D.C. area will see a messy combination of snow and freezing rain as high temperatures reach into the lower 40s.

Behind this system, a ridge of high pressure continues to build in from the Plains, pushing cold and dry air in from Canada. This allows for plenty of sunshine to spread from the Plains over the Mississippi River Valley and into the Eastern Valleys. Expect the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest to see highs in the teens again, while the Midwest will see highs in the 20s. Strong winds will accompany this system, pushing windchill values below zero in these areas. The Southern Plains will remain in the 40s on Saturday.

Out West, a trough of low pressure pushes a cold front over the Pacific Northwest and continues pulling moisture onshore with it. This will kick up more rain showers with high elevation snow showers likely in the Cascades. The tail end of the frontal boundary will sweep through California, bringing light rain showers to the coasts and interior valleys. Expect light snow showers in the Sierra Nevadas by Saturday evening.
Weather Underground Forecast for Saturday, February 11, 2012.

Precipitation will spread across the East Coast on Saturday, while more rain and mountain snow showers are anticipated for parts of the West. A trough of low pressure and associated cold front continue moving eastward across the Eastern Valleys into the Eastern Seaboard. Cool temperatures to the north will allow for snow showers to develop across the Northeast and New England, while rain showers are likely over the Mid-Atlantic states. Rain showers over the Southeastern states should wind down in the early morning hours as the tail end of the system pushes offshore early in the day. Expect the New York metropolitan area to see 1 to 3 inches of snow, while the Washington D.C. area will see a messy combination of snow and freezing rain as high temperatures reach into the lower 40s.

Behind this system, a ridge of high pressure continues to build in from the Plains, pushing cold and dry air in from Canada. This allows for plenty of sunshine to spread from the Plains over the Mississippi River Valley and into the Eastern Valleys. Expect the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest to see highs in the teens again, while the Midwest will see highs in the 20s. Strong winds will accompany this system, pushing windchill values below zero in these areas. The Southern Plains will remain in the 40s on Saturday.

Out West, a trough of low pressure pushes a cold front over the Pacific Northwest and continues pulling moisture onshore with it. This will kick up more rain showers with high elevation snow showers likely in the Cascades. The tail end of the frontal boundary will sweep through California, bringing light rain showers to the coasts and interior valleys. Expect light snow showers in the Sierra Nevadas by Saturday evening.
Weather Underground Broadcast Network
Bearce Weather at a Glance
Updated 7:53 AM CST
Weather Station
Mount Ida (KMWT)
Elevation
702 ft
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Now
Scattered Clouds
Scattered Clouds
Temperature
23 °F
Feels Like 15 °F
Wind(mph)
7
Sunrise / Set
7:03 AM
5:53 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
Today
Partly Cloudy 36 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tonight
Partly Cloudy 13 °F
Partly Cloudy
Tomorrow
Partly Cloudy 40 | 29 °F
Partly Cloudy
Monday
Ice Pellets 34 | 29 °F
Ice Pellets
80% chance of precipitation
Tuesday
Partly Cloudy 50 | 34 °F
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday
Chance of Rain 56 | 45 °F
Chance of Rain
30% chance of precipitation
Today is forecast to be Much Cooler than yesterday.
Conditions
Pressure
30.53 in
Visibility
10.0 miles
Clouds
Scattered Clouds 9500 ft
Moisture
Humidity
53%
Rainfall
0.00 in
Snow Depth
Not available.
METAR
METAR KMWT 111353Z AUTO 32006KT 10SM SCT095 M05/M13 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP337 T10501133 FZRANO TSNO
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Weather Radio
Weather Radio Index
Temperature
Windchill
15 °F
Dew Point
8 °F
Wind
Speed / Dir
7 mph from NW
Wind Gust
Health
UV
0 out of 16
Pollen
2.50 out of 12
Pollen Forecast
Air Quality
Not available.
Flu Activity
Sporadic
View Flu Map
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Regional Forecast for Montgomery
Today
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tonight
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows around 14. North winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening...becoming northeast after midnight. Wind chill readings 9 to 12.
Sunday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_snow Cloudy. Not as cold. A chance of light snow and sleet after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s. Southeast winds 5 mph in the evening...increasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. The chance of precipitation 40 percent after midnight.
Monday
snow Light snow...sleet and light freezing rain in the morning. Rain during the day. Light snow accumulations. Ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. Highs in the upper 30s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain in the evening... then a slight chance of drizzle after midnight. Lows around 30. The chance of precipitation 30 percent in the evening.
Tuesday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Wednesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. The chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Thursday
partlysunny Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. The chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Thursday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Friday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
Source: NWS at 10:13 am CST on February 11, 2012
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Forecast
View Calendar 7-Day Weather Forecast for 71957
Saturday, 11
Partly Cloudy
36 | 13 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Sunday, 12
Partly Cloudy
40 | 29 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
0%
Monday, 13
Ice Pellets
34 | 29 °F
Ice Pellets
Chance of
Precipitation
80%
Tuesday, 14
Partly Cloudy
50 | 34 °F
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Wednesday, 15
Chance of Rain
56 | 45 °F
Chance of Rain
Chance of
Precipitation
30%
Thursday, 16
Chance of a Thunderstorm
59 | 36 °F
Chance of T-storms
Chance of
Precipitation
20%
Friday, 17
Partly Cloudy
58 | NA
Partly Cloudy
Chance of
Precipitation
10%
Source: NWS at 10:13 am CST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Montgomery
Today
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tonight
nt_sunny Mostly clear. Lows around 14. North winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening...becoming northeast after midnight. Wind chill readings 9 to 12.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 25 | 9 32 | 2 31 | 4 20 | 2
Wind 9 mph North 8 mph North 6 mph NNE 2 mph NNE
Humidity 51% 27% 31% 46%
Chance of Precip. 10% 0% 0% 0%
Cloud Cover 45% 54% 30% 18%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Clear
Sunrise & Sunset
7:03 AM
5:53 PM
Source: NWS at 10:13 am CST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Montgomery
Sunday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Southeast winds 5 mph.
Sunday Night
nt_snow Cloudy. Not as cold. A chance of light snow and sleet after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s. Southeast winds 5 mph in the evening...increasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. The chance of precipitation 40 percent after midnight.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 14 | 4 34 | 2 36 | 7 31 | 16
Wind 1 mph NE 5 mph SE 6 mph SSE 4 mph SSE
Humidity 60% 24% 28% 55%
Chance of Precip. 0% 0% 0% 40%
Cloud Cover 12% 34% 73% 91%
Conditions Clear Partly Cloudy Mostly Cloudy Chance of Snow
Sunrise & Sunset
7:02 AM
5:54 PM
Source: NWS at 10:13 am CST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Montgomery
Monday
snow Light snow...sleet and light freezing rain in the morning. Rain during the day. Light snow accumulations. Ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. Highs in the upper 30s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. The chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Monday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain in the evening... then a slight chance of drizzle after midnight. Lows around 30. The chance of precipitation 30 percent in the evening.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 29 | 20 32 | 27 34 | 27 31 | 27
Wind 6 mph SSE 8 mph SE 5 mph SE 0 mph WSW
Humidity 71% 78% 75% 85%
Chance of Precip. 40% 80% 80% 30%
Cloud Cover 100% 100% 92% 69%
Conditions Ice Pellets Rain Chance of Rain Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:01 AM
5:55 PM
Source: NWS at 10:13 am CST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Montgomery
Tuesday
partlycloudy Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 50s.
Tuesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 29 | 29 45 | 36 47 | 36 40 | 36
Wind 2 mph NNW 1 mph NW 1 mph ESE 2 mph ESE
Humidity 96% 67% 63% 85%
Chance of Precip. 30% 10% 10% 10%
Cloud Cover 45% 45% 47% 64%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
7:00 AM
5:56 PM
Source: NWS at 10:13 am CST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Montgomery
Wednesday
cloudy Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. The chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Wednesday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. The chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 34 | 34 50 | 40 54 | 45 49 | 43
Wind 2 mph ESE 5 mph ESE 5 mph East 4 mph East
Humidity 99% 68% 74% 82%
Chance of Precip. 10% 30% 30% 50%
Cloud Cover 74% 80% 76% 76%
Conditions Chance of Rain Chance of Rain Chance of a Thunderstorm Chance of a Thunderstorm
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 10:13 am CST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Montgomery
Thursday
partlysunny Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s. The chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Thursday Night
nt_cloudy Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 47 | 43 56 | 41 54 | 40 43 | 38
Wind 0 mph South 5 mph NNW 5 mph WNW 6 mph NW
Humidity 86% 59% 61% 79%
Chance of Precip. 50% 20% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 62% 57% 50% 62%
Conditions Chance of a Thunderstorm Chance of a Thunderstorm Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:57 PM
Source: NWS at 10:13 am CST on February 11, 2012
Regional Forecast for Montgomery
Friday
partlysunny Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
Hourly Forecast 6AM 12 Noon 6PM 12 Midnight
Temp. | Dew Point 40 | 34 52 | 34 54 | 40 43 | 38
Wind 5 mph NW 6 mph NNW 5 mph WNW 6 mph NW
Humidity 78% 50% 61% 79%
Chance of Precip. 10% 10% 20% 10%
Cloud Cover 62% 61% 50% 62%
Conditions Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy Partly Cloudy
Sunrise & Sunset
6:59 AM
5:57 PM
BestForecast (what's this?)
Scientific Forecaster Discussion — MOS Weather Graph
Nearby
History & Almanac
February 11, 2012 Max Temp Min Temp
Normal (KHOT) 55 °F 30 °F
Record (KHOT) 76 °F (1976) 4 °F (1981)
Yesterday 50 °F 29 °F
Choose a date
Earthquake Activity
City Distance Mag. Time & Date
No recent earthquake activity has been reported nearby.
Minimum magnitude displayed is 2.5.
More information at USGS.gov
Astronomy
Feb. 11, 2012 Rise Set
Actual Time 7:03 AM CST 5:53 PM CST
Civil Twilight 6:38 AM CST 6:19 PM CST
Nautical Twilight 6:08 AM CST 6:48 PM CST
Astronomical Twilight 5:39 AM CST 7:18 PM CST
Moon 10:26 PM CST 9:00 AM CST
Length Of Visible Light 11h 41m
Length of Day
10h 49m
Tomorrow will be 1m 56s longer.
Waning Gibbous, 82% of the Moon is Illuminated
Today
Waning Gibbous
Feb 14
Last Quarter
Feb 21
New
Feb 29
First Quarter
Mar 8
Full
Visit Astronomy
Today's Extremes
State Highs State Lows
37 °F
Monticello
35 °F
Camden
34 °F
Pine Bluff
34 °F
Arkadelphia
33 °F
Stuttgart
12 °F
Rogers
12 °F
Siloam Springs
12 °F
Bentonville
12 °F
NW Arkansas Airport
12 °F
Fayetteville
Source: NWS
Snow Depth
Station Depth Elevation
No new snow has been reported.
Snow Depth Reports — Snow Depth Map
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News
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Travel Planning
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Aviation
City Temp. Conditions Updated
Mount Ida 23 °F Scattered Clouds 7:53 AM CST
Hot Springs 25 °F Partly Cloudy 7:53 AM CST
Arkadelphia 29 °F Clear 7:56 AM CST
Mena 27 °F Mostly Cloudy 7:55 AM CST
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Flight To ETA Status
FLG4417
Detroit, MI 		KHOT 10:36AM On Time
Flight Tracker by FlightAware FlightAware
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Type Condition
Flight Rule: VFR (KMWT)
Wind Speed: 6.0 kts.
Wind Dir: 320° (NW)
Ceiling: Unlimited

METAR KMWT 111353Z AUTO 32006KT 10SM SCT095 M05/M13 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP337 T10501133 FZRANO TSNO

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Nearby Events
Event Date Forecast
No events within 10 mi of location. View all events.
Event data courtesy eviesays.com
Sports
Event Date Forecast
Budweiser Shootout 8:29 PM EST on February 18, 2012 Average High 71° F/ 21° C
Gatorade Duel 1 2:19 PM EST on February 23, 2012 Average High 70° F/ 21° C
Event Date Forecast
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 11, 2012 Rain Showers, 45 °F
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 8:30 AM PST on February 12, 2012 Mostly Cloudy, 45 °F
View all Sports Weather
Weather Stations
Station Location Temp. Windchill Dew Point Humidity Wind Precipitation Elevation Updated Type Website
Paradise South Golf Course, Norman, AR 26.1 °F 20 °F 11 °F 52% West  at  5.4 mph 0.00 in / hr 700 ft 10:33 AM CST Rapid Fire
Mount Moriah Road, Bonnerdale, AR 27.9 °F 25 °F 10 °F 47% North  at  3.1 mph 0.00 in / hr 659 ft 10:33 AM CST Rapid Fire  
RAWS ODEN AR, Oden, AR 26 °F 19 °F 10 °F 50% North  at  6 mph 0.00 in / hr 896 ft 9:27 AM CST MADIS
Pearcy, AR, Pearcy, AR 30.0 °F 25 °F 12 °F 46% NNW  at  5.0 mph 0.00 in / hr 545 ft 10:33 AM CST Rapid Fire
RAWS JESSIEVILLE AR, Jessieville, AR 26 °F 20 °F 6 °F 42% NE  at  5 mph 0.00 in / hr 674 ft 9:02 AM CST MADIS
HADS FOURCHE LAFAVE RIVER NEAR GRAVEL AR, Gravelly, AR - - - - North  at  - 0.00 in / hr 411 ft 9:45 AM CST MADIS
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Special Statement
Mobile & Email Alerts Statement as of 7:05 AM CST on February 11, 2012

... A mixture of winter precipitation is expected across the natural
state Monday...

Arctic high pressure will move into the region this weekend.
Well below normal temperatures are in the forecast... with the coldest
air of the winter thus far. High temperatures today and
Sunday will only be in the 30s and 40s... with some mid and upper 20s
in the northwest. Low temperatures by Sunday morning will be in
single digits to the lower 20s.

It will remain cold on Monday as a new storm system approaches from
the Southern Plains. The system will pull moisture north from the
Gulf Coast... and wintry precipitation will develop.

As the precipitation moves in from the west early Monday morning... a
mixture of snow and sleet is expected across northern and central
Arkansas. Across the south... there may be a combination of rain and
freezing rain.

As the day progresses... warmer air will try to overspread the
region from the south. Snow should continue toward the Missouri
border... but a mixture of rain... freezing rain... and sleet will
be possible across western and central Arkansas. Across the far
south... a switchover to all rain is anticipated.

Due to the mixture of precipitation... both the morning and afternoon
commutes may be hazardous across the state.

As the system moves out of the area Monday night... drizzle will be
possible. Even if temperatures rise above freezing Monday
afternoon... most areas will fall below freezing during the evening...
with freezing drizzle possible Monday night. This will cause travel
issues even in areas that received rain during the day.

This could be a significant winter event in parts of the state.
The pattern is very complex... and forecast refinements are
likely leading up to the event... as a degree or two change in
temperature will have a major impact. Arkansans are advised to
monitor the forecast this weekend... and plan accordingly.