Mobile Regional, Alabama

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
southeastern Escambia County in northwest Florida...
this includes the city of Pensacola...
southwestern Santa Rosa County in northwest Florida...
southern Baldwin County in southwest Alabama...
extreme southeastern Mobile County in southwest Alabama...

* until 130 am CST

* at 1023 PM CST... National Weather Service radar indicated a rain band
associated with Tropical Storm Ida... nearly stationary over southern portions
of Baldwin County Alabama... southern Escambia County and extreme
southwest Santa Rosa County in Florida. Doppler weather radar trends indicate the
potential of heavy rain will continue into the predawn hours Tuesday morning
over the warned area.

* Locations in the warning include but are not limited to Bon
Secour... Turkey Branch... Summerdale... Silverhill... Seminole...
Robertsdale... Point Clear... Oak... mouth of Weeks Bay... Montrose...
Miflin... Marlow... Magnolia Springs... Lillian... Houstonville...
Foley... Fairhope... Elsanor... Elberta... Clay City... Battles Wharf...
West Pensacola... Warrington... Pensacola regional a/p... Pensacola
naval base... pace... Myrtle Grove... Gulf Breeze... Goulding...
Gonzalez... Ferry Pass... Ensley... East Pensacola Heights... Cottage
Hill... Cantonment... Brownsville... Brent... Beulah and Bellview

Doppler weather precipitation estimates suggest that upwards of 2 to
3 inches of rain has already fallen over portions of southern
Baldwin County... southeast of Foley since 7 PM this evening. Amounts
of just under 2 inches have fallen over southern Escambia County.
Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible in the
warned area through 130 am Tuesday morning.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding. If flash flooding is observed... act quickly.
Move up to higher ground to escape flood waters. Do not stay in
areas subject to flooding when water begins rising.

Most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Never drive your vehicle into
areas where the water covers the roadway. Flood waters are usually
deeper than they appear. Just one foot of flowing water is powerful
enough to sweep vehicles off the Road. When encountering flooded
roads make the smart choice... turn around... dont drown.

To report flash flooding to your National Weather Service... call toll
free at 1 8 7 7 6 3 3 6 7 7 2.

Lat... Lon 3027 8795 3025 8788 3029 8776 3042 8792
      3059 8792 3064 8711 3053 8711 3058 8716
      3058 8717 3047 8714 3038 8725 3034 8726
      3034 8720 3036 8722 3041 8711 3035 8709
      3034 8710 3020 8806


10

1016 PM CST Mon Nov 09 2009

The Flood Warning continues for
The Bayou Sara at Saraland
* from early tomorrow until Tuesday afternoon
* at 7am Monday the stage was 3.0 feet
* no flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast
* flood stage is 4 feet
* forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise to
near 4.3 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage by
tomorrow morning.
At 4 feet, flooding of streets begins and becomes widespread east of the
Railroad when the level reaches 5 feet.

... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Tuesday morning...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* portions of Alabama... northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi... including the following areas... in Alabama...
Butler... Choctaw... Clarke... Conecuh... Covington... Crenshaw...
Escambia... lower Baldwin... lower Mobile... Monroe... upper
Baldwin... upper Mobile... Washington and Wilcox. In northwest
Florida... coastal Escambia... coastal Okaloosa... coastal Santa
Rosa... inland Escambia... inland Okaloosa and inland Santa
Rosa. In southeast Mississippi... George... Greene... Perry...
stone and Wayne.

* Through Tuesday morning

* a Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for all of southeast
Mississippi... southwest Alabama and northwest Florida through
midday Tuesday... due to excessive rainfall produced by Tropical
Storm Ida. Ida is expected to move onshore late tonight across
southern portions of Mobile or Baldwin County Alabama. Rainfall
totals of 4 to 6 inches will be possible across much of the
forecast area through Tuesday morning as the heavier rainband
associated with Ida moves onshore over the Florida Panhandle
through late evening and then moves slowly northward across the
region through late tonight. Previous rainfall over the past 12
hours has already approached 1 to 2 inches over many of the same
locations.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding. If flash flooding is observed act quickly. Move
up to higher ground to escape flood waters. Do not stay in areas
subject to flooding when water begins rising.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should flash flood warnings be issued.

... Tropical Storm Wind Warning remains in effect until 6 PM CST
Tuesday...
... Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect...

... New information...
at 10 PM CST... the center of Tropical Storm Ida has become elongated
and poorly defined and is now estimated to be located near latitude
29.5 north... longitude 88.5 west... or about 55 miles south-southwest
of Dauphin Island Alabama. Ida has slowed down and is now moving to
the north near 13 mph and a further decrease in speed is expected
overnight with a turn toward the north- northeast. Maximum sustained
winds are near 65 mph with higher gusts and some weakening is
expected overnight.


... Precautionary/preparedness actions...
precautionary/preparedness actions...

At this time... all storm related preparations should be complete.


... Winds...
tropical storm force wind gusts will continue to spread into the
inland portion of Mobile and Baldwin counties into the overnight
hours. The winds will gradually subside late tonight into Tuesday
morning. Gusts of 50 to 60 mph will be possible until the winds
subside on Tuesday.


... Inland flooding...
current rainfall rates are less than one inch per hour but higher
rainfall rates of 1 to 1.5 inches per hour will spread into the
interior portions of Mobile and Baldwin counties into the overnight
hours. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for southwest Alabama and the
northwest Florida Panhandle through noon Tuesday. Rainfall totals of
3 to 6 inches... with locally higher amounts around 8 inches... can be
expected. Listen for possible flood warnings for your location... and
be ready to act should flooding occur.


... Tornadoes...
give very stable air near the coast... the tornado threat is low. If a
tornado were to occur it would be in the next few hours near the coast.

... Public information statement...

Latest local surface wind observations...

Ft Morgan al... 730 PM NE 35g46kt
Dauphin Island al... 700 PM NNE 30g35kt
Navy Pensacola... 750 PM NE 22g31kt
battle ship Alabama... 802 PM NNE 18kt g28kt
brookley field Mobile al... 802 PM NNE 17g28kt
15 miles south of Gulf Shores al... 750 PM E 33g39kt
Middle Bay light al... 820 PM NNE 32g38kt
5 miles west of Foley al... 635 PM NNE 27g48kt
&&

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