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Area forecast discussion for western South Dakota and northeastern Wyoming 
National Weather Service Rapid City South Dakota
257 am MDT Friday Jul 25 2014

Short through Saturday night
issued at 212 am MDT Friday Jul 25 2014

Shortwave is moving into eastern South Dakota this morning...along with an
area of thunderstorms. Skies are clearing over forecast area...
with just a few left over south central South Dakota...and some patchy lower
clouds between lem and d07. Surface front extends from central ND-
low over central SD-southwestward. Northwest winds have been
gusting to 30-40 knots briefly behind front...and will continue the
Wind Advisory until 5 am MDT. Surface high will build into western
South Dakota this the winds will decrease quickly...and bring
cooler air to the area. Fast zonal flow over the northern plains
today...but as deep upper low moves southeastward from Canada
toward the Great Lakes and ridge builds over The Rockies...
forecast area will be under cyclonic northwest flow for the
weekend. Broad Theta-E ridge will build along an inverted trough
northward from low over southeastern Wyoming-NE Panhandle...brushing
over the southern part of our Wyoming forecast area and crossing far
southern South Dakota tonight. Current models have decreased cape over south
central South have lowered probability of precipitation north of I-90. Still some weak
cold air advection Saturday as another high pushes into the northern plains...
with temperatures a few degrees cooler.


Long term...Sunday through Thursday
issued at 212 am MDT Friday Jul 25 2014

A high lattitude blocking pattern with full lattitude ridging
over western North America will dominate the large scale maps from
Sunday through next week. For the northern High Plains the ridge
will be far enough west to keep a northwest flow aloft in place.
The medium range models are in reasonable agreement showing weak
short wave energy breaking through the ridge and crossing the
forecast area Monday night through early Wednesday. Upper level
support appears to be significant enough for scattered
thunderstorms most of the day Tuesday especially over southwestern
South Dakota and northeast Wyoming. However stable middle levels and
rather dry low levels may keep shower activity subdued.
Temperatures are forecast to be a little below normal all week.


Aviation...issued at 212 am MDT Friday Jul 25 2014

A cold front moving through western South Dakota overnight will
bring a period of gusty northwest winds during the early morning
hours. Light winds and VFR conditions expected across the area for


Unr watches/warnings/advisories...
South Dakota...Wind Advisory until 5 am MDT early this morning for sdz001-002-



Short term...55
long term...CArpenter

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