Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1229 PM CDT Thursday Jul 2 2015
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
MVFR ceilings and visibilities will increase across the taf area as scattered shower
and thunderstorm activity develops late this afternoon across NE
OK...and impacting the remaining taf sites as storms move east-southeast
overnight. Activity is expected to diminish in areal coverage from
north to south after 12z.
Previous discussion... /issued 1041 am CDT Thursday Jul 2 2015/
several previous updates reflected adjustments for lingering
precipitation across southeast OK and wc Arkansas. This activity continues to
wane...so will keep a low pop across the entire area for the early
portion of the afternoon. Additional thunderstorm development
along the weak boundary thats currently across NE OK and SW MO is
expected after 21z. Have adjusted the probability of precipitation accordingly. Temperatures and
the remaining first period elements look reasonable at this time.
Updated zone forecast product/afm/pfm out shortly.