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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
616 PM CDT sun Jul 5 2015

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
Scattered thunderstorms...including strong cell impacting kfsm at
present will continue for an hour or two after 00z before
diminishing with loss of daytime heating. Rain will lead to
increased likelihood of reduced visible at kfsm later tonight though
low ceilings expected to be the predominate aviation impact by
early Monday morning with widespread MVFR ceilings becoming VFR by 18z.




&&

Previous discussion... /issued 351 PM CDT sun Jul 5 2015/

Discussion...
seasonably hot today. Unseasonably humid. Dewpoints
well into the 70s...many middle 70s. Vinita last hour
79 dewpoint!

Hrrr keeps trying to make showers/scattered thunder
in the short term. Will confine mentionable probability of precipitation to
areas east of Highway 75 this evening. Lows tonight
in 70s with southerly breeze.

Very wet period..Monday night Tuesday Tuesday night
and Wednesday. Locations from about Interstate 40
on north most at risk. Heavy rain assured northeast
OK and northwest Arkansas. Upper flow during above
period not far from parallel to frontal boundary.
In addition pwa values in 2.0-2.2 ballpark. Classic
heavy rain set-up. Headlines withheld at this time.
Stay tuned. Gw

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 76 93 75 81 / 10 20 80 90
fsm 74 92 74 86 / 30 20 20 50
mlc 74 91 75 84 / 20 10 30 50
bvo 73 93 72 79 / 10 30 90 90
fyv 70 87 72 80 / 20 30 40 60
byv 70 88 72 80 / 30 20 50 70
mko 73 91 74 82 / 20 10 40 80
Mio 73 90 72 78 / 20 20 90 80
f10 74 91 74 81 / 10 10 40 70
hhw 74 93 75 88 / 10 10 20 30

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Aviation...14

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