Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
505 am CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015

concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.

Drier air moving into the forecast area has pushed all low
cloudiness out of the terminals and has also prevented much in the
way of fog development. As a result, VFR conditions should prevail
through the entire period, with only some high clouds affecting
the terminals. Winds should be under 10 kts and from a westerly


Previous discussion... /issued 313 am CST Tuesday Dec 1 2015/

skies will clear today and a warming trend will ensue. A weak cold
front passes on Wednesday however downslope flow and plenty of sun
will largely offset much of the Post frontal cooling. Warmer temps
return for Thursday through Saturday with low dewpoints and near
full sun. Agree with previous forecast in that the warming
potential is likely not captured well in raw model temps. Analog
solutions to the GFS pattern suggest highs in the 60s are
certainly possible Friday into Saturday.

Cloud cover may increase sufficiently by Sunday to effect high
temps with the associated storm system bringing rain chances
Sunday night into Monday. Data through the forecast are in rather
good agreement which allows for a higher confidence forecast than
is typical for this time of the year.


Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...22
long term....07

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations