Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
314 am CDT sun Aug 31 2014

Discussion...
another unseasonably warm day is on tap for today across eastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas with temperatures expected
to top out in the upper 80s to middle 90s.

The chances of showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast on
Labor Day and continue into Wednesday as a middle-level shortwave
currently over the northwestern United States moves into
the plains and pushes a frontal boundary into northeast Oklahoma
and far northwest Arkansas Monday night into Tuesday before it
returns to the north Tuesday night into Wednesday as a warm front.
There is the potential that some of the thunderstorms that occur during
this time-frame could become strong to severe with gusty winds and
hail the concern.

Unseasonably warm and dry conditions are expected middle to late week
as high pressure prevails at the surface and aloft.

The next chance of showers and thunderstorms will come over the weekend
as the next frontal boundary moves into the region.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 96 76 94 76 / 10 10 20 30
fsm 92 73 92 75 / 10 10 10 20
mlc 92 76 92 77 / 10 10 10 10
bvo 97 75 95 74 / 10 10 20 40
fyv 87 71 88 71 / 10 10 10 20
byv 90 71 88 72 / 10 10 10 20
mko 92 73 92 74 / 10 10 10 20
Mio 93 74 91 73 / 10 10 30 40
f10 94 75 92 76 / 10 10 10 20
hhw 92 73 91 74 / 10 10 0 10

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...07
long term....10

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations