Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
933 am CDT sun Mar 9 2014
have removed patchy fog wording from forecast products. Have also
delayed dissipation of low clouds across the southeast and also
lowered forecast maximum temperatures within that area as a
result. Updated products have been sent.
Previous discussion... /issued 634 am CDT sun Mar 9 2014/
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm.
Sites ktul krvs kbvo VFR through the period.
Sites kmlc kxna kfyv kfsm MVFR ceilings/visibility becoming VFR
Previous discussion... /issued 340 am CDT sun Mar 9 2014/
locally dense fog ongoing across far NE OK will diminish by middle
morning...while low clouds slowly shift southward across southeast
OK/western Arkansas. Result will be a noticeable improvement in weather
conditions compared to Saturday. Data continue to support much
warmer temperatures Monday and Tuesday...with fire weather concerns
increasing on Monday especially with any locally higher wind
A strong cold front will sweep through the area Tuesday afternoon
and evening...and there could be a zone of compressional warming
ahead of the front where temperatures warm well above forecast values.
Post frontal northerly winds look to be strong with a period of
Wind Advisory gusts possible. This will bring sharply cooler temperatures
into the region for Wednesday. Precipitation chances continue to look
highest for far NE OK / northwest Arkansas along and behind the frontal
passage. For now kept thunder out of the forecast...however there
may be a narrow zone of sufficient instability to warrant a
mention in later forecasts.
A quick return to above normal temperatures is expected for late week
with the next storm system and associated precipitation chances arriving
late next weekend.