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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
619 am CDT Wednesday Jul 29 2015

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
Brief MVFR visibility at fyv to start this forecast period...otherwise VFR
conditions all sites. Northestern OK sites should see an increase in
middle/high clouds after 00z. Weak cold front across southeastern Kansas/north central
OK pushes southward into northestern OK late today with widely scattered to
scattered thunderstorms and rain along/north of it. At this time...probability of thunderstorms and rain
affecting any one site is too low to include in taf.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 252 am CDT Wednesday Jul 29 2015/

Discussion...
weak boundary poised to move into the northern sections of the forecast area
later today...with low end precipitation chances holding off until
tonight. Current heat advisory alignment looks good as the northern
zones will likely see cooler temperatures this afternoon as the
boundary drifts into the area. Low rain chances will continue into
Friday as the retrograding ridge allows the surface boundary to
slip a little further south into the forecast area. Mean ridge
positioning will remain to the west through the weekend which may
keep the edge off temperatures for most locations. Middle level
height rises take place through the weekend..which should end rain
chances. Models hint at slightly improved middle level flow at the
tail end of this forecast cycle...but will keep forecast dry
beyond Friday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 97 76 92 74 / 10 20 20 20
fsm 99 76 96 75 / 10 10 20 10
mlc 98 75 97 74 / 10 10 30 30
bvo 95 71 90 70 / 10 20 20 20
fyv 94 71 89 69 / 10 10 20 10
byv 93 68 89 69 / 10 10 20 0
mko 97 74 95 73 / 10 10 20 20
Mio 94 68 90 70 / 10 10 20 10
f10 97 74 95 74 / 10 10 20 30
hhw 99 74 98 73 / 0 10 20 30

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...heat advisory from 11 am this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening
for okz049-053-060>062-064>068-070>076.

Arkansas...heat advisory from 11 am this morning to 8 PM CDT this evening
for arz019-020-029.

&&

$$

Long term....23
aviation...69

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