Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast
Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1126 PM CDT Friday Apr 18 2014

Discussion...

The 06z taf discussion is included below.

&&

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm.
Other than some insignificant tweaks...the 00z forecast was left
in tact. The low levels will be too dry according to the latest data
near the surface ridge axis to support fog tonight. The ridge
slides east on Saturday...and south winds will
increase...especially across NE OK...with some gusts up to 20 kts
possible. Scattered cirrus will stream by through the period...ie VFR prevails.

Lacy

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 851 PM CDT Friday Apr 18 2014/

...

Discussion...
mostly clear skies and light winds have been common across eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this evening. High clouds were
moving eastward across western Oklahoma and western Kansas and
this cloud deck should continue push to the east over the County Warning Area
overnight tonight. Southerly winds are expected to help low temperatures
by Saturday morning to be a little warmer compared to this
mornings lows. Evening update will be to adjust cloud cover and
tweak overnight lows. Otherwise the current forecast configuration
seems to be handling well.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 51 76 57 77 / 0 0 10 50
fsm 50 75 56 77 / 0 0 10 20
mlc 51 76 57 77 / 0 0 10 20
bvo 46 78 54 78 / 0 0 10 50
fyv 42 72 50 74 / 0 0 10 20
byv 46 73 51 74 / 0 0 10 20
mko 50 76 55 77 / 0 0 10 40
Mio 48 78 55 76 / 0 0 10 30
f10 51 76 57 77 / 0 0 10 40
hhw 51 76 56 77 / 0 0 0 20

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Aviation...30