Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
959 am CDT Wednesday Jul 23 2014
main forecast issue this morning is possible convection spreading
south into northern portions of the forecast area from the
weakening complex in southeast Kansas. Increased probability of precipitation across the
northeast to slight chance. Should the complex hold
together...this will affect temperatures across this area...so may
need to adjust the coverage of the heat advisory. Additional
scattered showers and storms are also expected over far east OK and
west Arkansas. Some storms could become severe...with main threat being
Previous discussion... /issued 614 am CDT Wednesday Jul 23 2014/
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm.
For the 12z tafs... VFR conditions will prevail at all sites
throughout the 24 hour forecast period. Showers and thunderstorms may
develop later today. Have represented this possibility with thunderstorms in the vicinity
and prob30 groups in the affected tafs.
OK...excessive heat warning until 8 PM Wednesday for okz060.
Heat advisory from 1 PM Wednesday to 8 PM Wednesday for okz054-
Arkansas...heat advisory from 1 PM Wednesday to 8 PM Wednesday for arz019-