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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
555 am CDT sun Oct 4 2015

concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
For the 12z tafs, temporary MVFR ceilings may continue to affect
northwest Arkansas sites over the next couple of hours. Otherwise,
VFR conditions, with generally light winds and high clouds will
prevail at all sites throughout the 24 hour forecast period.


Previous discussion... /issued 347 am CDT sun Oct 4 2015/

pleasant autumn weather will continue today as ridging continues
to prevail at the surface and aloft. Cloudiness will be on the
increase from both the east and the west over the next couple
days but precipitation chances are expected to remain below
mentionable levels the next few days. A slow warming trend is
expected over the next few days, but the cloudiness may temper the
warmup somewhat in some places. By the middle of the week,
temperatures should be well above the seasonal normals, with
afternoon temperatures climbing into the 80s.

The future evolution of the upper low that will be moving out of
the southwest U.S. Later this week remains in question, with the
models depicting a wide range of solutions. They do however agree
on some sort of frontal boundary moving across the area Thursday
night and Friday accompanied by a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts and duration late this week into
early next weekend will depend on the evolution of the
aforementioned upper low, but for now kept all pops in the chance

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days,
although persistent cloud cover at any particular location could
result in a smaller diurnal range than forecast.


Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...



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