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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1150 PM CST Tuesday Mar 3 2015

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
Low level cold air will change precipitation to brief mix
freezing rain/sleet...prolonged period of sleet...and eventually
snow before ending. MVFR/IFR ceilings improving to VFR from northwest to southeast
late day evening.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 934 PM CST Tuesday Mar 3 2015/

Discussion...
00z NAM trending towards the 18z GFS with heaviest quantitative precipitation forecast from
northwest Arkansas into southeast Oklahoma. This aligns well with
the current forecast with the greatest impacts likely to be within
the Winter Storm Warning area. Only light amounts of sleet and
snow appear likely near the Kansas border northwest of Tulsa which
also agrees with the current forecast. Thus no changes are needed
to the going forecast or to the winter weather headlines at this
time.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 28 30 15 34 / 80 100 50 10
fsm 41 43 21 34 / 90 100 90 10
mlc 37 40 22 35 / 80 100 90 10
bvo 24 27 12 35 / 80 90 30 0
fyv 30 32 16 31 / 80 100 70 10
byv 29 31 14 30 / 80 100 70 10
mko 33 36 17 33 / 80 100 70 10
Mio 25 28 12 32 / 80 100 40 10
f10 32 34 18 34 / 80 100 70 10
hhw 47 49 23 38 / 80 100 90 10

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...Winter Storm Warning from noon Wednesday to midnight Thursday
for okz049-okz075-okz076.

Winter Weather Advisory from 3 am Wednesday to midnight Thursday
for okz054-okz055-okz056-okz057-okz058-okz059-okz060-okz061-
okz062-okz063-okz064-okz065-okz066-okz067-okz068-okz069-
okz070-okz071-okz072.

Winter Weather Advisory from noon Wednesday to midnight Thursday
for okz053-okz073-okz074.

Arkansas...Winter Weather Advisory from 3 am Wednesday to midnight Thursday
for arz001.

Winter Storm Warning from 6 am Wednesday to midnight Thursday
for arz002-arz010-arz011.

Winter Storm Warning from noon Wednesday to midnight Thursday
for arz019-arz020-arz029.

&&

$$

Short term...12
long term....12
aviation...21

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