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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
301 am CDT Tuesday may 26 2015

Discussion...
strong upper wave lifting northeast out of the area this morning
with the heavier precipitation ending. Could see a few lingering
showers along the OK/Kansas state line and across northwest Arkansas
through middle morning. Areal flood warnings continue as numerous
secondary roads remain closed due to high water...including
ongoing moderate to major main-Stem river flooding.

Shower/thunderstorm chances will remain in forecast for the
next several days as multiple upper waves move across in stronger
southwest flow aloft. Difficult to pin down any one location for
heavier rainfall...however obviously any additional precipitation
will likely further aggravate ongoing flooding conditions.

Models in general agreement with bringing a stronger upper wave out
of the Desert Southwest on Friday with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Again...flash flooding will be a concern with the
potential for heavy rainfall both Friday and Saturday as a
secondary upper disturbance moves out of the central rockies. Cold
front forecast to move through Saturday night into Sunday morning
with precipitation chances dropping from north to south.

Weak surface ridge builds into the region Sunday into Monday
behind front with only limited chances for precipitation and a welcome
reprieve from the heavy rainfall potential.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 81 63 83 66 / 20 40 40 30
fsm 83 66 84 67 / 20 40 40 30
mlc 80 66 83 67 / 20 40 40 30
bvo 82 63 82 66 / 20 40 40 30
fyv 79 61 80 64 / 20 40 40 30
byv 79 63 80 65 / 30 40 40 30
mko 81 64 82 66 / 20 40 40 30
Mio 80 61 81 64 / 20 40 40 30
f10 80 65 83 66 / 20 40 40 30
hhw 82 67 83 68 / 20 40 40 30

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...21
long term....12

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