Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1038 am CDT Monday Mar 17 2014
mainly clear skies and light winds prevail across the area as we
rise above freezing. Southerly winds are expected to pick up later this
afternoon... especially across northeast Oklahoma. With maximum
temperatures forecast to reach the high 50s to lower 60s... the
current forecast is right on track. No update will be sent this
Previous discussion... /issued 624 am CDT Monday Mar 17 2014/
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm.
Low clouds with IFR ceilings expected to dissipate at fyv/fsm in
next 1 to 2 hours. Otherwise VFR conditions will prevail at all
locations for the remainder of the forecast.
Previous discussion... /issued 313 am CDT Monday Mar 17 2014/
lingering areas of low clouds across parts of northwest Arkansas/southeast OK will
continue to shift southeast as main upper trough axis exits. Expect mostly
sunny skies for today...with temperatures near or just a bit below
seasonal norms. South winds will pick up on Tuesday ahead of a fast
moving upper wave that will pass to our north. Despite the recent
rainfall...the fire danger will increase some...especially across
portions of NE OK that received lesser amounts of precipitation over
the past 2 days.
A cold front looks to move through the region dry Tuesday
night...and will knock wednesdays temperatures back down into the 50s/60s.
Warmer weather will return for the end of the week...ahead of the
next cold front on Friday. This boundary may have a bit more
moisture to work with...and will maintain low-end probability of precipitation Friday into
Friday night. Cooler weather is expected over the weekend as the
front settles to our south.
While its well over a week away...the latest European model (ecmwf) continues to
suggest a decent shot of cold air around the middle of next week.