Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
547 am CDT sun may 3 2015

concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all area taf sites through
the valid period.


Previous discussion... /issued 343 am CDT sun may 3 2015/

breezy winds and warm afternoon temperatures will prevail today and
Monday. Isolated showers may also develop as a weak wave passes
however chances for measurable precipitation will remain very low.

Low level moisture steadily increases across the region in advance
of a wave passing across the southwestern states and lifting into
the plains Tuesday - Wednesday. Widespread showers and thunderstorms
will develop west of the area and spread eastward with the highest
precipitation chances for the forecast area being Tuesday night through
Wednesday morning.

Data continue to show troughing prevailing through the western
states for middle week into next weekend which maintains
southwesterly flow downstream across the plains. This will occur
atop a moist boundary layer and result in an unstable and weakly
capped airmass for much of the period. While the primary surface
boundaries will remain north and west of the forecast area any
passing disturbance will generate convection which may spread
into the region...thus daily precipitation chances will be maintained.
Temperatures look to remain near to slightly above seasonal normals.


Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...



National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations