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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1016 am CDT Tuesday Sep 16 2014

...

Discussion...
mostly cloudy skies remained common across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas late this morning while a frontal boundary was
positioned across the region. Looking at dewpoint analysis the
front was positions a little south of the I-44 corridor. An
isolated shower and/or thunderstorm may be possible through the
day in response to the front...though the isolated chances look
to shift southward during the day as a 700-mb Theta-E axis shifts
southeast across the region. Behind the Theta axis...model
soundings try to break up the cloud cover some late this
afternoon. Morning update will be to adjust pop/wx/sky grids based
on the mentioned above and to add minor tweaks to winds/temperature
grids.

Overnight tonight...thunderstorm chances become a little bit
better across far northeast Oklahoma into far northwest Arkansas
as a strengthening low level jet and warm air advection interacts with the frontal boundary
lifting northward and a weak impulse moving through the plains
within the upper level northwesterly flow.



&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 81 68 89 70 / 20 20 20 20
fsm 84 67 86 68 / 20 20 40 30
mlc 84 68 88 69 / 20 10 20 30
bvo 79 64 88 66 / 10 20 20 30
fyv 79 62 81 64 / 20 20 50 40
byv 74 61 78 63 / 20 20 60 50
mko 82 67 87 67 / 20 20 30 20
Mio 76 63 83 66 / 20 20 50 50
f10 82 68 88 69 / 20 20 20 20
hhw 87 69 88 69 / 20 10 20 20

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...20

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