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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
238 am CDT Friday Jul 3 2015

Discussion...

Frontal boundary will remain draped across the area
today...focusing more showers and thunderstorms. Model data
suggests very unstable air from east central OK over into
northwest Arkansas by afternoon. In addition...nwrly shear will
increase as upper wave over the central part of the country slides
by just to our northeast. Thus...severe weather potential will
increase today. The best storm chances will gradually shift south
with time tonight into Saturday. Rain chances ramp back up in warm
advection regime Saturday night into Sunday before shutting off
briefly Sunday night into Monday. The next boundary moves in
Monday night into Tuesday...with another good shot of precipitation.

The models continue to delay onset of upper ridge over our area
next week. Now looks like Friday on into next weekend.

Lacy

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 88 69 89 73 / 50 20 10 50
fsm 86 70 88 72 / 70 40 30 40
mlc 85 70 87 73 / 60 40 30 40
bvo 87 66 88 70 / 40 20 10 50
fyv 82 65 84 68 / 60 20 20 20
byv 80 64 83 67 / 60 20 20 20
mko 85 69 87 72 / 60 30 20 40
Mio 84 66 88 70 / 50 20 10 20
f10 85 69 87 73 / 60 30 20 40
hhw 84 71 87 73 / 70 60 50 40

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Long term....30

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