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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
304 am CDT Monday Sep 22 2014

Discussion...
cooler/drier air-mass working into the area behind cold front this
morning just in time for the start of fall which officially
begins this evening. The mild conditions will continue for the
next few days as surface ridge remains over the central/eastern
US. As upper disturbance moves out of The Rockies and into the
Central Plains...could see a few showers north and west of Tulsa
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Precipitation amounts however will
likely remain limited at best.

Upper level blocking pattern develops by late week as upper low
in the Central Plains drifts south and briefly becomes cutoff over
the region. Increasing middle/high level clouds are mainly the only
thing expected with aforementioned feature as relatively dry air
remains in place. Otherwise...slow warming trend expected into the
weekend...including a slow increase in low level moisture as winds
become more southerly.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 79 55 81 56 / 0 10 0 20
fsm 81 55 80 54 / 0 10 0 10
mlc 80 54 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
bvo 78 49 81 52 / 0 10 10 20
fyv 75 48 78 48 / 0 10 0 10
byv 76 52 78 50 / 0 10 0 10
mko 80 54 81 54 / 0 10 0 10
Mio 77 52 79 53 / 0 10 0 10
f10 80 56 81 56 / 0 10 0 10
hhw 82 56 81 54 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Short term...21
long term....12

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