Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
915 am EST Sat Dec 27 2014
the overcast low cloudiness continues from the Tampa Bay region
south with a cirrus plume over South Florida. The clouds are lowest
over the southern forecast area. This mornings sounding shows
warming in the lower levels with continued light easterly low level
flow and southwest to west winds aloft. Will bump up the sky cover
and lower temperatures a bit to account for the current conditions.
VFR/MVFR ceilings continue across northern sites with IFR across
southwest Florida. Expect this trend to continue into this
afternoon. Winds will remain easterly but are expected to turn
onshore near the coast in the afternoon.
high pressure to the north will keep dry conditions...northeast to
southeast winds in the 10 to 15 knot range and seas 2 feet or less
over the coastal waters through the weekend. Winds will veer to the
south on Sunday as a cold front approaches the eastern Gulf of
Mexico. Sea fog will be possible on Sunday with a warm and humid
air mass overriding the relatively cooler waters. The winds will
shift to the north northwest in the wake of this front on
Tuesday...but will remain below headline criteria.
relative humidity values will remain well above critical levels
through the next several days. Only concern will be the fog
potential for tonight into early Sunday morning.