Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
954 am EST Tuesday Mar 3 2015
fog has begun to lift and dissipate with partly to mostly sunny
skies expected to prevail this afternoon. Southeast low level flow
around high pressure off the southeast U.S. Coast should not be
strong enough to prevent the West Coast sea breeze from developing
near the coast this afternoon...especially from the Tampa Bay area
northward. Further south the sea breeze will be delayed some...but
should still see winds shift to a more south to southwest
direction along the coast by late afternoon. Temperatures will
warm into the lower to middle 80s...except close to the Gulf Coast
where the sea breeze should keep temperatures in the 70s. Overall
no changes planned for this morning and zone forecast has already
been updated to remove dense fog advisory headline.
LIFR/IFR ceilings and visibilities in fog will continue to improve
with VFR conditions prevailing this afternoon into early tonight.
Another round of LIFR/IFR ceilings and visibilities are expected
again late tonight continuing into Wednesday morning.
a stable and moist air mass in place over the coastal waters has
helped support some patches of dense sea fog this morning.
Currently on satellite near shore waters adjacent to Cedar Key...
Clearwater...Egmont Key...long boat key and Charlotte Harbor have
sea fog slowly shifting further off shore. Expect these areas to
gradually disperse by the late morning hours as the sea breeze
begins to develop. Otherwise...no changes to marine forecast this
morning. Still anticipating increased potential for more widespread
sea fog in the Gulf waters developing as early as tomorrow as
winds veer and become more southerly.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 80 65 80 65 / 0 5 0 0
fmy 84 65 85 65 / 0 0 0 0
gif 82 64 85 65 / 5 0 0 0
srq 80 63 80 64 / 0 0 0 0
bkv 82 59 84 59 / 5 5 0 5
spg 79 66 79 66 / 0 0 0 0