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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
856 PM EDT Tuesday Sep 1 2015

Update... a weak area of low pressure associated with the remains
of Erika continues to slowly push into The Big Bend region.
Current radar returns are decreasing in coverage this evening with
a weak line of showers lifting through the coastal waters near the
Levy County coast line. Middle level vorticity associated with this
feature will drift into Georgia through early tomorrow with a strong 500 mb
ridge of around 592 dam quickly settling over the state. Deep
layer and broad ridging over the region supports the current
forecast and no significant changes were made this evening.



&&

Aviation...VFR to prevail tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will
drift in the vicinity of coastal taf sites around 15z but shift
inland after around 21z.



&&

Marine... a weak area of low pressure will continue to shift out
of the region tonight. A broad area of high pressure will
establish over the eastern Gulf and remain in place over the next
several days. Weak gradient winds will give away to a good push
from the afternoon sea breeze helping to focus shower and
thunderstorm activity further inland each afternoon.





&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tpa 78 91 79 90 / 10 30 10 40
fmy 77 93 77 92 / 20 40 40 40
gif 76 93 76 93 / 20 50 40 60
srq 77 90 78 90 / 20 30 10 30
bkv 74 91 74 91 / 20 30 20 50
spg 79 90 79 90 / 20 30 10 30

&&

Tbw watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Gulf waters...none.
&&

$$

Update/aviation/marine...20/Barron

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