Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee Florida
918 PM EDT Thu may 23 2013
Near term [tonight]...
drier air continues to move into the region on northwesterly flow
as noted in the evening upper air observation. These dry
conditions will likely limit fog potential tonight and allow for
cool overnight lows down into the low to mid 60s, yielding a
respite from the recently humid last couple of days.
&&
Short term [7 am Friday morning through Saturday night]...
upper pattern across the Continental U.S. Is forecast to remain amplified
through the weekend, with troughs along the east and west coasts,
and a ridge in place over the central states. The northwest flow
across the deep south tonight and Friday will push a cold front
through the area. The main impact of the cold front will be to
usher in a much drier airmass, which will result in cooler
overnight lows through the weekend. Expect to see low temperatures
in the lower to mid 50s Saturday and Sunday mornings.
&&
Long term [sunday through thursday]...
the overall pattern is expected to remain rather stagnant through
much of next week, with the troughs in place along the coasts and
the ridge over the center of the country. This will keep the
weather generally dry with temperatures close to seasonal norms.
European model (ecmwf) is a bit more amplified with the pattern, which may lead to
a few more showers over the Georgia zones by mid to late next
week.
&&
Aviation [through 00z friday].
Conditions will remain VFR with no visible or cigs restrictions
expected through the period.
&&
Marine...
offshore winds will increase to near advisory levels Friday
night, in the wake of a cold front. Winds and seas will diminish
by late Saturday, as high pressure builds over the waters, and
remain minimal through early next week.
&&
Fire weather...
the Fire Weather Watch for tomorrow has been maintained as is,
due to some continued uncertainty as to precise values of minimum
relative humidity and wind speed. Either way, it is likely that conditions in southeast
Alabama and the interior Florida Panhandle will be marginal for
red flag conditions. A decision on upgrading to a rfw will be made
later tonight. Otherwise, a drier air mass will be in place over
the region from Friday into the weekend. High dispersions are
likely on Friday over all of North Florida.
&&
Hydrology...
no hydrologic concerns into next week.
&&
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Tallahassee 63 90 54 86 53 / 0 10 0 0 0
Panama City 70 89 63 83 64 / 0 10 0 0 0
Dothan 64 88 54 86 57 / 0 10 0 0 0
Albany 62 86 52 84 55 / 0 10 0 0 0
Valdosta 62 87 54 84 52 / 0 10 0 0 0
Cross City 63 91 56 87 54 / 0 10 0 0 0
Apalachicola 68 88 64 82 64 / 0 10 0 0 0
&&
Tae watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday
evening for Calhoun-Gadsden-Holmes-inland Walton-Jackson-
Liberty-Washington.
Georgia...none.
Alabama...Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday
evening for Coffee-Dale-Geneva-Henry-Houston.
GM...none.
&&
$$
Near term...Godsey
short term...Camp
Long term...Camp
aviation...Walsh/wool
marine...Camp
fire weather...Walsh/lamers
hydrology...Godsey
