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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la
316 PM CDT Friday Sep 4 2015

Discussion...
drier dew points fluxing/sinking seemingly in the back door from
the natural state and have triggered some scattered showers over
the last hour or two and maybe an isolated thunderstorm into the
early evening hours moving in the deep southeast flow at this time. Our
surface winds remain southeasterly and heighten the mystery.
Elsewhere...the sea breeze is quite active coverage wise along
I-10 with only a subtle drift or push northward on really more of
a convective outflow in our direction. So...we have issued early
with a pre period mention for the remaining afternoon and radar
coverage north of I-20 of shower and possibly thunderstorm
activity with peak of heating still on the up tick.

Aloft...the water vapor is showing a northwest flow above which
is perhaps weakly lifting the low level deep southeast flow. So
as a result...a few more folks may be fortunate and cool down a
bit late today. The overall trend appears to continue in the
models with some probability of precipitation and quantitative precipitation forecast farther north than just I-20 as
previously thought right on through the Holiday weekend. Little
change on our temperatures with mostly middle...but some upper 90s
mixed in over the next several days. Low will continue mostly in
the low to middle 70s. The cold front is still on track for late next
week overnight Thursday and into Friday with precipitation and northerly
winds. Model highs are below average through next weekend.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
shv 74 97 75 96 / 20 20 20 20
mlu 73 97 73 97 / 20 20 20 20
deq 70 95 72 95 / 20 20 20 20
txk 72 94 73 95 / 20 20 20 20
eld 72 96 72 95 / 20 20 20 20
tyr 75 94 76 96 / 10 20 20 20
ggg 75 95 75 96 / 20 20 20 20
lfk 73 95 74 95 / 20 20 20 20

&&

Shv watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
La...none.
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

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