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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la
525 PM CST Thursday Feb 26 2015



Aviation...
cold front has moved south across area...with low level inversion to
create mostly MVFR decks overnight. Clouds have scattered at ktxk
and keld...with low ceilings more intermittent at these sites. North
winds overnight mostly 5 to 10 kts...becmg NE around 10 kts as
middle level decks increase above low ceilings gradually becmg low MVFR
by around 27/15z. These wind and cloud conditions to mostly
prevail across area through 28/00z./Vii/.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 321 PM CST Thursday Feb 26 2015/

Discussion...
following todays cold front...a 1041mb high across the northern plains
this afternoon will bring cca into the region for the remainder of
the work week. Warmer temperatures are not expected until
Saturday afternoon...when surface winds return to an easterly
direction on the back side of the high. Aloft...mostly zonal flow
is expected...with a couple of weak short waves bringing some
moisture to the northwestern zones Friday into Saturday. Flow
after Saturday then becomes more southwest...with moisture
increasing through the weekend.

Column looks cold enough to support some light snow or flurries on
Friday in the northwest zones. Then warmer air works into the
low levels above the surface Friday night with precipitation transitioning
to light freezing rain by Saturday morning. Then with saturdays
warmup...precipitation should become all rain by midday. Will gradually
spread the chance of rain east into Saturday night...with rain likely
all areas by Sunday...continuing into next week. Another front
will cross the region Tuesday night...with the rain gradually
ending Wednesday...followed by colder air Thursday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
shv 26 39 29 47 43 / 10 10 10 20 40
mlu 26 39 27 51 45 / 10 10 10 10 40
deq 19 31 23 39 38 / 10 20 20 30 40
txk 22 34 26 41 39 / 10 10 10 20 40
eld 23 35 25 44 41 / 10 10 10 10 40
tyr 26 37 31 45 41 / 10 20 20 30 40
ggg 26 38 30 47 43 / 10 20 20 20 40
lfk 31 46 33 52 48 / 10 10 10 20 40

&&

Shv watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
La...none.
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

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