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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la
1133 PM CST Tuesday Mar 3 2015



Aviation...
a warm front that lifted north across area today...beginning to
drift south back into area. To the north of this boundary...ceilings
will quickly lower from VFR to IFR...and visibilities will lower in fog
and drizzle. As south winds increase to 5 to 10 kts once again
after 04/15z...ceilings gradually rise to MVFR...with very shallow cold
front wedging underneath warmer air. Convection likely just
ahead/along front...followed by a return to IFR ceilings underneath
very sharp inversion...and widespread stratiform rain. This cold
rain may begin to transition to a wintry mix after 05/09z across
northern County Warning Area and possibly ktxk...with wintry mix possible along
I-20 corridor between 05/12-15z before precipitation begins to taper
off. Winds behind this cold front will abruptly shift...becomg
north at 15 to 20 kts over NE Texas...and 20 to 25 kts over north la./Vii/.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 1001 PM CST Tuesday Mar 3 2015/

Discussion...

Updated the zones to increase some of the types and chance of
frozen precipitation for Wednesday night into Thursday. Made some
ice and snow accumulations adjustments. /06/

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
shv 62 66 33 37 23 / 40 90 80 30 10
mlu 64 74 32 34 20 / 40 80 90 30 10
deq 51 55 30 37 22 / 80 90 90 10 10
txk 56 59 26 36 21 / 70 90 90 20 10
eld 59 62 30 34 19 / 50 90 90 20 10
tyr 59 62 30 38 25 / 60 90 80 20 10
ggg 62 65 32 38 24 / 50 90 80 20 10
lfk 65 75 37 40 27 / 40 80 80 30 10

&&

Shv watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
morning for the following zones: arz050-051-059>061-070>072.

Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday
morning for the following zones: arz073.

La...Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through Thursday
morning for the following zones: laz004>006-014.

OK...Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
morning for the following zones: okz077.

Texas...Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
morning for the following zones: txz096-097-108-109-111-112.

&&

$$

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