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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la
548 am CDT Wednesday Sep 17 2014

Discussion...
patchy fog occurring at mainly klfk...ktxk...and keld terminals. This fog may
persist more so at klfk...as 2 to near 4 inches of rain occurred near terminal
yesterday. A weak cool front across SW Arkansas... with mostly cloud
free skies existing north of this front...along with a light
northeast wind. Winds to remain variable or light southerly south
of the front...with upper level clouds...and scattered afternoon
cumulus development. Isolated afternoon convection possible across
mainly NE Texas. As the frontal boundary shifts slightly south into
the area later tonight...rain chances may increase slightly.
Expect IFR visibilities...and possible low clouds as well...to be on
increase after 18/08z across much of area./Vii/.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 500 am CDT Wednesday Sep 17 2014/

Discussion...
upper 60s and low 70s with a mix of mostly high clouds. There is
some fog and very low clouds over some of deep East Texas. Light
NE flow bisecting the County Warning Area with a stalled front draped from southeast
OK...into NE la. Along and south of the front winds are calm or
light southeast. Light northwest flow aloft will continue with the tropical
ridge spreading into the plains ahead of Odile over the SW U.S.
And northwest Mexico with still 50 miles per hour winds and moving north-northeast at 6 miles per hour per
the latest advisory.

The models continue to feed the remnant northeast and eastward in
the coming days. Little change expected with an upper disturbance
and the left over front to peak short term rainfall chances into
tomorrow. Then...after a lull for much of the weekend...a stronger
cold front will usher in more fall like temperatures for the first full
day of fall by Tuesday. The Euro and GFS are comparable with
evolution of a wind shift by early Monday morning...pre dawn. We
will continue with average or slightly above temperatures until
this next cold front. Mav/mex blended into the next 7 days with
little reason to change current probability of precipitation and weather.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
shv 92 73 90 68 92 / 20 20 30 10 10
mlu 90 71 90 67 92 / 10 10 30 10 10
deq 88 69 88 66 89 / 10 20 30 10 10
txk 89 71 88 67 89 / 10 20 30 10 10
eld 89 70 88 67 89 / 10 10 30 10 10
tyr 90 72 88 68 89 / 30 30 40 20 10
ggg 91 72 89 67 90 / 30 30 30 20 10
lfk 91 73 87 69 91 / 40 30 40 20 20

&&

Shv watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
La...none.
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

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