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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1115 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THE LATE MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUR CLOSED LOW
ALONG THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF SRN OK/N TX...WHICH LAST JUST BEGUN
TO NUDGE E OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. DRY SLOTTING ALOFT HAS SPREAD
ENE AHEAD OF THE CLOSED LOW OVER DEEP E TX/MUCH OF NCNTRL
LA...WHERE A VOID IN THE DEEPER CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY NOTED.
MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF -SHRA ALONG/E OF
THE I-35 CORRIDOR OF NCNTRL TX...ALONG THE ATTENDANT SHORTWAVE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSED LOW...WITH THE SHORT TERM PROGS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT IN ROTATING ENE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
THUS...SCT -SHRA SHOULD FILL IN ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH QPF AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...GENERALLY A
QUARTER INCH OR LESS. 

HAVE MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS IN POPS IN THE LATE MORNING ZONE
UPDATE...MAINTAINING LIKELY POPS FOR SE OK/SW AR/WRN SECTIONS OF E
TX THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MID TO HIGH CHANCE POPS FARTHER S ACROSS
DEEP E TX/NCNTRL LA. HAVE ALSO LOWERED MAX TEMPS 1-3 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON...AS THE DENSE CLOUD COVER/SCT -SHRA SHOULD INHIBIT
TEMPS FROM CLIMBING MUCH MORE THIS AFTERNOON. 

THE WRAP-AROUND -SHRA SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EVENING FROM W TO E AS
THE CLOSED LOW BEGINS TO GRADUALLY SHIFT E ACROSS SRN AR/N LA.

ZONE UPDATE ALREADY OUT...GRIDS WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY. 

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  47  73  50 /  50  30   0   0 
MLU  62  49  70  50 /  50  40   0   0 
DEQ  58  43  73  48 /  60  30   0   0 
TXK  58  47  72  48 /  60  30   0   0 
ELD  59  48  71  48 /  60  50   0   0 
TYR  60  48  72  49 /  60  10   0   0 
GGG  60  48  72  49 /  60  20   0   0 
LFK  66  50  74  50 /  40  10   0   0 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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