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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la
709 am CDT sun Aug 30 2015

Aviation...
for the 30/12z tafs...a weak cold front remains well northwest of the
area across OK...northwest Arkansas...and into Missouri. Combined with
additional ascent from an upper trough over central Texas...a few
isolated showers/thunderstorms will be possible across the area but rain
chances are too low to mention in the tafs. VFR conditions should
prevail through the period with abundant middle/high level clouds and
ceilings generally remaining above 10 kft. /09/

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 502 am CDT sun Aug 30 2015/

Discussion...
most sites are ranging somewhere in the 70s this morning with middle
to upper 60s dew points. Skies are partly to even mostly cloudy
with mostly middle deck. Our sounding last night had an inversion
just above 6kft and a second just above the freezing level. Some
light showers have been here and there over the last 6 hours or so
with not much in the bucket really to speak of and that will
change little even with heating.

The water vapor shows two upper lows spinning over the south with
one over southeast Alabama and one over West Texas. Both are drifting east or NE. The
one out to our west will slowly drift eastward and could bring a
bit of off and on rain this week ahead. Both the GFS and Euro are
in good agreement as the shear axis and weak upper low appear to
be in now hurry across the middle south. We are close to guidance
through the next summery seven days. /24/

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
shv 94 72 95 71 / 20 10 10 10
mlu 93 69 95 71 / 10 10 20 10
deq 90 68 93 67 / 20 10 0 0
txk 92 69 94 70 / 20 10 10 10
eld 93 69 94 68 / 20 10 10 10
tyr 92 72 94 72 / 20 10 10 10
ggg 92 72 94 71 / 10 10 10 10
lfk 93 70 94 71 / 10 10 10 10

&&

Shv watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
La...none.
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

09

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