Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la 
1135 am CDT sun may 19 2013 


Discussion... 


Forecast in good shape and made only minor changes to update current 
trends. Combined the lake Wind Advisory into one product and posted 
to the home Page. /06/ 


&& 


Aviation... 


Low clouds continue to erode and most terminals should be in the VFR 
range by the start of the 18z taf period with only some scattered 
cirrus and afternoon cumulus expected. Strong srly flow should bring 
another round of MVFR/IFR ceilings/visibilities northward from the Gulf of 
Mexico during the overnight and early morning hours. There is an 
outside chance that some convection could affect locations north of 
I-30 after 20/00z but confidence is low. Tight pressure gradient 
will keep srly winds between 15-20 kts with gusts between 20-25 kts. 
Speeds should diminish slightly after 20/00z but will likely remain 
around 15 kts. /09/ 




&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
shv 90 72 89 73 88 / 10 10 10 10 30 
mlu 89 72 89 72 88 / 10 0 10 10 20 
deq 89 71 87 70 82 / 10 20 10 30 60 
txk 90 72 88 72 85 / 10 10 10 20 50 
eld 89 72 89 71 87 / 10 10 10 10 40 
tyr 91 72 90 73 86 / 10 10 10 10 30 
ggg 91 72 90 73 87 / 10 10 10 10 30 
lfk 91 72 90 73 89 / 10 10 10 10 20 


&& 


Shv watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arkansas...lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for the following 
zones: arz070-071. 


La...Lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for the following 
zones: laz001-002-010-011-017. 


OK...lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for the following 
zones: okz077. 


Texas...Lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for the following 
zones: txz096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167. 


&& 


$$ 


06/09/99