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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la
416 am CST sun Feb 1 2015

Discussion...
this morning...low pressure centered over eastern Kansas continues
to deepen as it moves northeast. The associated cold front trailed
southwest into the Texas Panhandle and will reach northern
portions of the County Warning Area late morning. Rain will be on the increase
ahead of the front...with a few thunderstorms possible later this morning.
By the afternoon colder and drier air will be spilling south into
the area...ending the rain most areas by 6 PM. Rainfall amounts
across the forecast area are expected to range between one quarter
to one half inch. The upper trough will shear apart today and the
northern portion and front will exit east of the area early tonight
with mondays weather dry and quite cold. Models have trended
lower with temperatures...with much of the County Warning Area expected to be in
20s Monday morning and highs only reaching the 40s with plenty sun
shine. Tuesday morning will also be quite cold with lows again in
the 20s. South winds return on Tuesday and moisture will begin to
return to the area by Tuesday night as the cutoff portion of the
trough moves out of Mexico into south Texas. This will aid in the
development of a surface low in the northern Gulf...which will
spread additional moisture into the area through Wednesday. Most
of the rainfall from this will be concentrated in southern portions
of the County Warning Area. Then...on Thursday...another short wave trough will enter
the area from the northwest...driving another front south...finally
clearing out the moisture by Friday.

Temperatures throughout the week will remain on the cool side...
with highs and lows most days running below normal. /14/

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
shv 64 31 47 28 56 / 90 10 0 0 0
mlu 67 35 45 27 53 / 90 30 0 0 0
deq 57 26 45 24 54 / 90 10 0 0 0
txk 59 29 43 27 54 / 90 10 0 0 0
eld 62 30 45 25 53 / 90 10 0 0 0
tyr 60 27 45 31 55 / 70 10 0 0 0
ggg 62 29 44 30 55 / 80 10 0 0 0
lfk 69 33 49 30 57 / 70 10 0 0 10

&&

Shv watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
La...none.
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

14

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