Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Springfield MO 
630 PM CDT Wednesday may 22 2013 


Short term...(this evening through friday) 
issued at 255 PM CDT Wednesday may 22 2013 


Clouds are spreading to the southeast across the region behind an 
area of surface low pressure located across eastern Iowa this 
afternoon. Not expecting any precipitation to occur just partly to 
mostly cloudy skies through the reminder of this afternoon. Clouds 
will then clear from west to east this evening...with mainly clear 
skies overnight. A ridge of high pressure will nudge into the 
region tonight and may have to watch for some patchy fog developing 
overnight in spots. Confidence is not overly high but there could 
be some light ground fog in spots. 


Upper level ridging will build to the east and towards the region 
late this week. Highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s can be expected 
tonight through Friday. 


Long term...(friday night through wednesday) 
issued at 255 PM CDT Wednesday may 22 2013 


An upper level low will be over the region this weekend...but a 
few weak disturbances try to ride under the ridge and may bring 
some scattered thunderstorms to the region from time to time Friday 
night into early next week. Highs in the middle to upper 70s are 
expected this weekend with highs return to the 80s early next 
week. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Thursday evening) 
issued at 625 PM CDT Wednesday may 22 2013 


Pilots can expect VFR conditions tonight through Thursday as 
surface high pressure builds over the region. 


The afternoon cumulus will dissipate with sunset but develop again 
Thursday. Surface winds will become light tonight then resume from 
the northwest on Thursday. 


&& 


Sgf watches/warnings/advisories... 
MO...none. 
Kansas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...wise 
long term...wise 
aviation...Foster