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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Springfield MO
526 PM CDT Friday Sep 4 2015

..00z aviation forecast update...

Short term...(this evening through sunday)
issued at 0220 PM CDT Friday Sep 04 2015

The very warm and humid late Summer weather continued this
afternoon and will persist into the Labor Day weekend.

Cumulus had blossomed this afternoon with a couple of isolated
showers. This activity will dissipate with sunset.

Saturday and Sunday will look much the same as the past couple of
days as an upper level ridge axis remains stretched across the
region. Again cannot rule out an isolated storm or two during the
peak heating hours but most all locations will remain dry.

Long term...(sunday night through friday)
issued at 0220 PM CDT Friday Sep 04 2015

A transition from the tranquil Summer time weather pattern to a
more active weather period will begin Sunday night into early next

An upper level trough will transition to the western U.S. And
across the northern tier of the U.S. This result in a more zonal
upper level pattern and allow a front to sag southward into the
region as we head through the early and middle part of next week.

At this time the pattern does not signal organized severe weather
but strong storms will be possible. Heavy rainfall potential will
also exist as the front slowly sags southward across the area.

The front will drop south of the area by late next week as the
upper pattern becomes northwesterly. This will bring a noticeably
drier and cooler airmass into the Ozarks late next week.


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Saturday evening)
issued at 0524 PM CDT Friday Sep 04 2015

VFR will prevail through tomorrow afternoon with no aviation
concerns. Winds will be light and southerly 10 knots or less
through tomorrow. Skies will be mostly clear with maybe a few fair
weather clouds tomorrow afternoon.


Sgf watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...Foster
long term...Foster

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