Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
700 PM CDT Thu Jul 31 2014
Short term...(this evening through friday)
There were a few scattered showers across far southern Missouri
today, but most locations remained dry. No precipitation chances
will be needed through the rest of the evening and tonight.
Temperatures will fall into the upper 50s and lower 60s, under
clearing skies and light winds.
The clearing skies and light winds could lend itself to some fog
after midnight. We have visibilities falling to around one mile at
times in the grids and the hazardous weather outlook.
For Friday, showers are expected to remain east of the Ozarks,
giving way to a fabulous early August day. Highs in the 80s will
be common, under mostly sunny skies. A great way to start the
weekend for sure.
Long term...(friday night through thursday)
The drying trend will continue through the weekend and into early
next week as warmer temperatures are expected. As a matter of
fact, readings in the upper 80s and lower 90s are expected on an
afternoon basis Monday through Wednesday. The warm and dry weather
will occur in response to upper level height rises and the onset
of southerly winds.
We finally may receive a widespread rainfall Wednesday night into
Thursday as an upper level wave forces a cold front across
southern Missouri. The models have been consistently showing a
signal for widespread rain during that period.
Have a great weekend !
Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Friday evening)
issued at 651 PM CDT Thursday Jul 31 2014
For the ksgf/kjln/kbbg tafs: clouds persist over far southern
Missouri but should clear over the next few hours. Low level
moisture remains in place with dew points in the low-mid 60s. Low
level night time cooling with the clearing sky should allow
radiation fog to develop and have continued the mention IFR Cat
fog in all the tafs. Clearing should be fairly quick after sunrise
with VFR conditions expected by 14z.