Scientific Forecaster Discussion

NWS Discussion
			
				
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
253 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
ARE CURRENTLY IN THE MIDDLE 60S TO THE LOWER 70S THIS AFTERNOON. A
WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION AND WILL MOVE THROUGH AREA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
CHILLY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TONIGHT AS LOWS FALL INTO THE LOWER
50S ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI TO
THE MIDDLE 40S ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI.

TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO THOSE TODAY AS
HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 60S TO THE MIDDLE 70S. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA ON FRIDAY
AND WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THOSE AREAS.
AT THIS TIME FEEL THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA. 

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH ACROSS NORTH MISSOURI FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
DURING THIS TIME FRAME BUT THE BETTER POTENTIAL WILL BE NORTH OF
OUR FORECAST AREA.

BETTER CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES
WILL OCCUR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. NOT EXPECTING A WASHOUT BUT WILL
HAVE TO WATCH FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. 

A WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK AS HIGHS
WARM BACK INTO THE UPPER 70S TO THE MIDDLE 8OS EACH AFTERNOON. 

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1211 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

LOOKS LIKE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. REMNANT
CONVECTION FROM MCS OVER OKLAHOMA WILL REMAIN TO THE
WEST...HOWEVER MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL LIKELY SPILL INTO
WESTERN MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WISE
LONG TERM...WISE
AVIATION...LINDENBERG