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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1139 am CDT Tue Sep 23 2014

Short term...(today and tonight)
issued at 226 am CDT Tuesday Sep 23 2014

Little change in sensible weather conditions is expected for this
first full day of autumn. After morning lows in the mid 40s to low
50s, highs today will warm into the mid 70s as high pressure remains
solidly in control at the surface. Lows tonight will again fall
into the 40s and 50s.

Long term...(wednesday through monday)
issued at 226 am CDT Tuesday Sep 23 2014

Broad ridging will continue to build aloft across the region
through the workweek. High pressure across the Great Lakes and
upper Ohio Valley will remain entrenched, with the Ozarks situated
on the western fringe of this high. This will keep light easterly
to southeasterly flow in place, with temperatures warming a degree
or two each day, but remaining quite seasonable for late September.
Despite the presence of a few mid level vort maxes meandering across
the Midwest, a lack of deep moisture should keep any precipitation
at Bay though at least Sunday afternoon.

By late in the weekend, guidance indicates an upper level wave
moving north into the area from the Gulf Coast. Depending on the
eventual track and strength of this wave, showers/isolated
thunderstorms will be possible late Sunday into early next
workweek. Right now, this potential looks to be highest across the
Eastern Ozarks.


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Wednesday afternoon)
issued at 1137 am CDT Tuesday Sep 23 2014

Some upper level energy will push into the western part of the County Warning Area
late in the period, however a lack of moisture content should keep
precipitation from the forecast. VFR conditions expected through
the period with a light southeast wind.


Sgf watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...boxell
long term...boxell

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