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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Springfield MO
553 PM CDT Thursday Sep 3 2015

Short term...(this evening through friday)

It was another warm and dry day over extreme southeast Kansas and
the Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures warmed into the upper 80s and
lower 90s, under sunny skies and southerly breezes.

Summertime high pressure was established across much of the
nation's mid section keeping conditions rather calm.

For tonight, humid and warm weather is expected with lows creeping
into the upper 60s to lower 70s.

For Friday, not much changes from today with highs in the upper
80s to lower 90s.

Long term...(friday night through thursday)

A hot weekend is on tap for the Ozarks. With little to no
precipitation chances, afternoon highs will warm into the lower
90s in nearly all locations. With dew points creeping into the
upper 60s, heat indices will increase into the middle 90s both
Saturday and Sunday.

A major pattern change will take shape for next work week,
creating active weather in terms of thunderstorm chances.

The summertime High Breaks down followed by a frontal system that
will stall out across middle America. This feature will be a focus
for thunderstorms much of the week, and could be positioned across
southern or central Missouri Monday evening through Wednesday.

With increased shear, there is a shot for a couple rounds of
strong to severe storms during this Monday evening through
Wednesday time window.

Both the GFS and the European model (ecmwf) blow the front south of the Ozarks for
next Thursday and beyond, bringing cooler temperatures and drier


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Friday evening)
issued at 0551 PM CDT Thursday Sep 03 2015

Not much going on locally and expecting VFR conditions through the
period with upper level ridge axis overhead. Convection should
remain to our west. Surface winds will remain southerly through
the period.


Sgf watches/warnings/advisories...


Short term...Cramer
long term...Cramer

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